(anonymous) 0x0b2e17…b6bb34
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
-$113
Hit rate
93.5%
Resolved
4
Trades
123
lifetime
Volume
$7.32K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$5.32K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-06
last 10-28 05:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
52% 67% -$4
Other
48% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,215 $2,082 94¢ $2.1K -$11 10-06 12:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,815 $1,552 82¢ $1.5K -$72 10-24 15:59
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +724 $693 97¢ $701 +$8 09-15 17:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +290 $278 97¢ $280 +$2 09-15 15:36
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +163 $135 82¢ $133 -$2 10-25 09:40
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +150 $124 79¢ $119 -$5 09-15 15:37
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +72 $68 94¢ $68 +$1 09-15 15:36
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553 No +70 $51 88¢ $61 +$10 09-15 15:36
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +51 $43 86¢ $43 +$0 09-23 23:49
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? No +42 $40 96¢ $40 +$0 09-15 15:32
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +275 $33 12¢ $34 +$1 10-16 00:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +256 $63 12¢ $29 -$34 10-16 00:49
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +31 $29 96¢ $29 +$1 09-15 15:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +212 $28 12¢ $26 -$1 10-16 00:48
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +27 $15 91¢ $25 +$10 09-18 11:01
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +25 $24 95¢ $24 $0 09-15 15:32
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +25 $23 96¢ $24 +$1 09-15 15:32
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +22 $18 92¢ $20 +$2 09-15 15:32
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +30 $18 60¢ $18 -$1 10-28 05:51
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +16 $15 95¢ $15 $0 09-06 15:11
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +16 $15 88¢ $14 $0 09-16 13:50
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? No +12 $12 95¢ $11 $0 09-06 15:11
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? Yes +88 $21 12¢ $11 -$10 10-19 13:54
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +14 $9 75¢ $10 +$2 10-28 01:35
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes +51 $5 15¢ $7 +$2 09-22 09:37
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 09-06 15:11
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes +70 $16 7¢ $5 -$11 09-24 21:26
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No +6 $5 89¢ $5 $0 09-15 15:32
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes +29 $3 12¢ $4 +$0 09-06 15:11
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +22 $8 16¢ $3 -$4 10-17 07:40