Unrealistic-Hassock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$929

Unrealized P&L

-$260

Hit rate

45.5%

Resolved

484

Trades

2,976

lifetime

Volume

$16.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$115

19 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 10-31 20:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Other

80% 32% -$822

Politics

11% 54% -$24

Crypto

5% 50% -$19

Tech

3% 58% -$36

Sports

1% 0% -$19

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 237 trades/day

Open positions (19) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+258	$41	15¢	$39	-$2	10-24 01:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	+637	$130	3¢	$20	-$110	10-30 01:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	+142	$43	10¢	$13	-$29	10-30 01:12
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	+13	$7	70¢	$9	+$2	09-26 20:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+785	$127	1¢	$8	-$119	10-30 01:11
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+13	$7	60¢	$8	+$1	10-18 19:20
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	+6	$5	90¢	$5	$0	09-23 20:34
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	+5	$4	84¢	$4	+$0	09-26 04:37
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	+15	$5	16¢	$2	-$2	09-22 12:57
next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026	Yes	+5	$3	36¢	$2	-$1	10-16 22:51
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+52	$3	2¢	$1	-$2	09-24 13:46
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+9	-$1	12¢	$1	+$2	10-30 02:22
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	+6	$1	14¢	$1	$0	09-25 14:07
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5	$0	12¢	$1	+$0	10-05 23:07
Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+216	$1	0¢	$0	$0	10-10 16:18
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	Yes	+2	$0	3¢	$0	+$0	10-01 20:40
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	Yes	+16	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	10-20 02:35
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?	Yes	+20	$0	0¢	$0	$0	09-22 06:44
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?	Yes	+11	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	10-02 02:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ballon dor 2026 kylian mbappe or lamine yamal to finish higher	71	$1.3K	1,395	1,395	+0	Mbappé	-$72	10-19 15:36
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	4	$525	357	357	+0	open	—	10-21 02:56
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?	58	$435	442	442	+0	Yes	-$274	10-14 20:13
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 21?	137	$428	407	407	+0	Up	-$33	09-20 22:05
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?	64	$306	180	180	+0	Yes	-$18	09-21 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 14?	3	$290	151	151	+0	Yes	+$6	10-14 08:11
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	2	$261	152	152	+0	No	+$12	10-20 08:39
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?	2	$246	131	131	+0	Yes	+$10	10-05 18:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 6?	13	$220	217	217	+0	Yes	+$42	10-06 06:38
Gorka Guruzeta: Anytime Goalscorer	2	$191	100	100	+0	No	+$7	09-19 15:15
Will Tunisia vs. Mali end in a draw?	3	$180	95	95	+0	Yes	+$7	10-01 06:50
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	3	$180	94	94	+0	Yes	+$2	10-13 22:53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	5	$171	104	104	+0	No	+$11	10-19 15:54
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 11?	28	$157	624	345	+280	No	-$42	10-11 18:25
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on September 24?	5	$153	82	82	+0	Yes	+$8	09-24 21:33
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	2	$144	109	109	+0	No	-$21	09-28 05:54
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	2	$133	442	442	+0	open	—	09-26 02:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	4	$130	637	0	+637	open	—	10-30 01:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$127	785	0	+785	open	—	10-30 01:11
cs2 ttbs oldmix 2026 10 05	4	$122	98	98	+0	Teletubisie	+$44	10-05 11:06
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	2	$117	68	68	+0	open	—	09-22 22:35
Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?	3	$112	60	60	+0	No	+$5	09-26 18:12
Will Morocco vs. Ghana end in a draw?	7	$111	62	57	+5	Yes	-$1	10-01 09:43
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	7	$111	90	90	+0	open	—	10-22 12:44
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 15?	2	$106	68	68	+0	No	+$28	10-15 00:00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 11?	8	$94	64	64	+0	Yes	-$1	10-10 20:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 18?	6	$93	51	51	+0	Yes	+$5	10-18 04:06
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	6	$89	350	350	+0	Yes	+$28	04-19 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 17?	4	$88	116	116	+0	Yes	+$0	10-17 02:35
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	14	$88	52	52	+0	Yes	+$9	09-23 17:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 20:01:12	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x84f1f3…
10-31 18:27:01	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc21cef…
10-31 18:20:01	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa5a4d7…
10-31 17:05:03	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x18e4fa…
10-31 03:14:52	Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x245438…
10-30 21:27:16	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xb16aca…
10-30 13:21:42	Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0x98fc54…
10-30 09:07:46	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xeca7b2…
10-30 02:22:40	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0x5e54a8…
10-30 01:12:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0x4a8ed8…
10-30 01:12:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	475	20¢	$96	0xb82915…
10-30 01:11:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xa8ec1f…
10-30 01:11:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x871bef…
10-30 01:11:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x838262…
10-30 01:11:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x7b2646…
10-30 01:11:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	785	16¢	$127	0xa3bf3b…
10-30 01:11:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	97	21¢	$20	0x0ee1cc…
10-30 01:11:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0x791b37…
10-30 01:11:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x304049…
10-30 01:11:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	105	30¢	$32	0x156528…
10-29 20:39:39	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x597797…
10-29 02:49:32	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xa2b0b3…
10-28 21:29:53	Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x2af39e…
10-28 17:34:53	Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xc427a8…
10-28 17:16:47	Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	7¢	$4	0x88a4ed…
10-28 17:07:23	Will Google be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	71	4¢	$3	0xf02f8e…
10-28 17:07:20	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0xda4f0b…
10-28 17:06:46	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	80¢	$43	0xacb802…
10-28 17:06:43	Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	7¢	$4	0xae2d42…
10-28 17:06:31	Will Google be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	71	46¢	$32	0x976a37…
10-27 10:30:17	Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xaa589c…
10-26 16:52:39	Will annual inflation be 4.1% in October?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x4f02d7…
10-26 13:58:36	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0xb0bb8c…
10-26 03:09:35	Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf2b23c…
10-26 02:46:23	Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xa5cac8…
10-26 01:49:05	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	27	70¢	$19	0xcbcac5…
10-25 19:37:27	Will Bayern Munich qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x515688…
10-25 11:46:29	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	78	0¢	$0	0x17f7bc…
10-25 09:38:17	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	No	SELL	124	12¢	$15	0x054d9f…
10-24 15:53:06	Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x40b2e6…
10-24 11:52:14	Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x7614c4…
10-24 10:39:09	Will annual inflation be 4.1% in October?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x9461c4…
10-24 01:09:41	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	258	16¢	$41	0x587bd8…
10-23 14:48:17	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	No	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x608898…
10-23 13:42:42	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0xb772f3…
10-23 05:44:11	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$15	0xd0f322…
10-23 04:11:54	Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x942bf3…
10-23 00:59:24	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xe5a009…
10-23 00:59:24	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8337df…
10-23 00:50:42	Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x1a6ee9…
10-23 00:50:32	Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xbac0bd…
10-23 00:50:20	Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x3fc2ff…
10-23 00:50:15	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0x667cd7…
10-23 00:50:15	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	28	16¢	$5	0x0ba1e0…
10-23 00:50:12	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x716a09…
10-23 00:50:11	Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x7f8db5…
10-22 23:29:38	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x692738…
10-22 17:36:47	Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x7642c9…
10-22 15:22:48	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?	No	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0x0f224e…
10-22 13:17:09	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October?	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0xffcbed…
10-22 12:44:36	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xf80947…
10-22 10:42:51	Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x928d82…
10-22 10:42:51	Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x123553…
10-21 18:58:50	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x92e6cb…
10-21 18:58:39	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x5d2457…
10-21 13:42:32	Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	64	18¢	$12	0x2969af…
10-21 06:19:45	Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x0f27ab…
10-21 04:21:41	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xf5f9a3…
10-21 04:01:59	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x461513…
10-21 04:01:51	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x8c04ac…
10-21 03:08:36	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x54c522…
10-21 02:56:56	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	357	58¢	$208	0x502246…
10-21 00:26:05	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xf50d82…
10-20 20:42:50	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?	No	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0x60472e…
10-20 20:01:30	Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0xc9d01f…
10-20 20:01:30	Will Meta be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x20d938…
10-20 19:50:36	Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x93c4b1…
10-20 18:19:41	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xdd7b48…
10-20 12:42:00	Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	61¢	$23	0xe6f897…
10-20 11:16:17	Will Real Madrid finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xa3244e…
10-20 08:39:19	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	SELL	152	90¢	$137	0xa60183…
10-20 08:34:28	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x3aa8cb…
10-20 08:21:35	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xeb0796…
10-20 08:16:43	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x727b37…
10-20 02:35:53	Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xc7f363…
10-20 00:40:41	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% in October?	No	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x7a9479…
10-20 00:13:29	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% in October?	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xb625c4…
10-20 00:08:03	Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x1bb30e…
10-19 23:27:11	Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x8eed09…
10-19 22:34:45	Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x0b25bd…
10-19 22:24:20	Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xa82779…
10-19 22:24:11	Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x567eac…
10-19 22:18:09	Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x203c36…
10-19 22:14:29	Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x93dd5e…
10-19 22:13:12	Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x953c29…
10-19 21:09:03	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x63f454…
10-19 21:01:19	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	74	35¢	$26	0xea3d2d…
10-19 19:42:47	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.43% in October?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xace44d…
10-19 19:22:59	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?	No	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0x454100…
10-19 17:10:50	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$21	0x6e0353…