Turbulent-Spawn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

123

Trades

155

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 06-17 12:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

70% 74% +$21

Politics

19% 100% +$9

Pop-Culture

11% 100% +$2

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
more eu sanctions on russia by march 31	5	$2.2K	2,162	0	+2,162	Yes	+$2	03-16 16:33
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 16 2026 19c	1	$2.1K	2,072	0	+2,072	Yes	+$3	03-17 06:43
will massacre be said during the valorant masters grand finals	3	$1.4K	1,384	0	+1,384	No	+$4	03-16 09:40
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	3	$803	404	404	+0	No	+$3	03-19 16:19
highest temperature in madrid on march 17 2026 17c	1	$675	676	0	+676	No	+$1	03-17 12:11
highest temperature in warsaw on march 17 2026 5corbelow	1	$670	671	0	+671	No	+$1	03-17 07:32
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	2	$575	576	0	+576	No	+$1	03-19 06:31
will mojtaba khamenei tweet again on march 17	2	$514	515	0	+515	No	+$1	03-18 06:38
will starmer say mr speaker 25 times during the next prime ministers questions event	1	$500	501	0	+501	Yes	+$1	03-18 13:09
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 16 2026 20c	1	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	03-17 06:41
will mike white be voted off survivor season 50 this week 931	1	$400	400	0	+400	Yes	+$0	03-19 01:39
will charlie kirk be said at the oscars	1	$400	401	0	+401	No	+$1	03-16 03:01
will trump be said at the oscars	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	03-16 03:09
will trump say putin this week march 22	2	$384	385	0	+385	Yes	+$1	03-16 17:16
will epstein be said at the oscars	3	$320	320	0	+320	No	+$0	03-16 03:15
will chalamet be said 5 times at the oscars	1	$320	320	0	+320	No	+$0	03-16 06:12
will zionist or zionism be said at the oscars	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	03-16 03:05
Iran leadership change by March 13?	1	$250	252	0	+252	No	+$2	03-14 06:37
north korea missile test by march 31 472	2	$244	245	0	+245	Yes	+$0	03-14 06:41
will tour de force be said during the valorant masters grand finals	2	$229	229	0	+229	No	+$0	03-16 16:59
highest temperature in munich on march 14 2026 8c	1	$225	225	0	+225	No	+$0	03-14 09:30
highest temperature in shanghai on march 13 2026 16corhigher	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	03-13 07:53
will ellison be said at the oscars	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	03-16 03:04
will trump say ireland or irish 3 times during taoiseach events	1	$190	190	0	+190	Yes	+$0	03-17 16:01
cs2 rbls ursa 2026 02 25 game1	2	$185	185	0	+185	Ursa	+$0	03-14 14:46
will clutch be said 15 times during the valorant masters grand finals	1	$180	180	0	+180	No	+$0	03-16 14:33
will fake clone or fake cloning be said during the valorant masters grand finals	1	$172	172	0	+172	No	+$0	03-16 17:08
highest temperature in shanghai on march 13 2026 15c	2	$154	154	0	+154	No	+$0	03-13 10:03
will elon be said at the oscars	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	03-16 03:08
will ronja get engaged on love is blind sweden season 3	3	$146	146	0	+146	Yes	+$0	03-13 05:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 12:44:58	Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3e8922…
06-17 12:44:52	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3b9b6f…
06-17 12:44:35	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9c6205…
06-17 12:44:29	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x87ecba…
06-17 12:44:16	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9bcf92…
06-17 12:44:08	Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa898a7…
06-16 19:19:01	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb819fd…
06-16 19:18:55	Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xef1c30…
06-16 19:18:43	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6ade7d…
06-16 19:18:37	Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb12ab1…
06-16 19:18:26	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x81f6b2…
06-16 19:18:22	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe338ca…
06-16 19:18:07	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x11ca91…
06-16 19:17:59	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x78788c…
06-15 09:08:09	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd33741…
06-15 09:08:03	Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3f3c5f…
06-14 18:18:27	Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x796de8…
06-14 18:18:19	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x756738…
06-14 18:18:03	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x90bb13…
06-14 18:17:16	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x219bbb…
06-14 18:17:10	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x0395bd…
06-14 18:16:37	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc44e00…
06-14 18:15:30	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x65dcca…
06-14 18:15:00	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf9b02d…
06-14 16:46:30	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x290f81…
06-14 16:46:22	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x9ca371…
05-21 03:21:55	Will Trump praise Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x643ae3…
05-21 03:21:48	Will Trump praise Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x525a6f…
05-18 06:38:20	Will "Banana" be said 10+ times during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xfa10d2…
05-18 06:37:45	Will "Banana" be said 10+ times during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x1b99c6…
05-18 04:52:20	Will "Palace" be said 10+ times during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4804a5…
05-18 04:51:43	Will "Squeaky" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa62235…
05-18 04:50:51	Will Trump say "Shipbuilding" this week?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x74fcad…
05-18 04:49:32	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb291e…
05-18 04:49:22	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0efaf4…
05-18 04:48:45	Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbfa415…
05-17 23:57:26	Will "No Kit" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?	Yes	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x92d3b3…
05-17 16:50:35	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x165057…
05-17 11:49:31	Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xea838d…
05-17 08:02:33	Will "Expensive" be said during Eurovision?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x965030…
05-17 02:47:01	Will "Dream" be said during Eurovision?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xbfd375…
05-16 21:13:05	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb60ab6…
05-16 17:25:21	Will Trump say "Inflation" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x681549…
05-16 16:28:36	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x742270…
05-16 15:41:52	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x56b76c…
05-16 14:11:26	Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1dccb9…
05-16 14:11:12	Will Trump say "My Father" or "Fred" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe5b67…
05-16 14:10:24	Will Trump say "Jensen" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x056e8f…
05-16 14:10:07	Will Trump say "Moon" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0ff9a…
05-16 14:09:55	Will Trump say "Obama" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe863aa…
05-16 14:09:39	Will Trump say "COVID" or "Pandemic" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ca8d9…
05-14 12:10:14	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x73a134…
05-13 05:23:01	Will "Right" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3c50ec…
05-13 05:12:02	Will "Right" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x85d2ae…
05-13 05:11:44	Will "Right" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x185aaf…
03-19 16:19:01	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	SELL	404	100¢	$403	0x5173a3…
03-19 06:31:43	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x7d733e…
03-19 06:30:09	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x546b7c…
03-19 01:39:49	will mike white be voted off survivor season 50 this week 931	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x207e2c…
03-18 14:17:17	will starmer say trump during the next prime ministers questions event	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4cea25…
03-18 13:10:11	will starmer say constructive during the next prime ministers questions event	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa2439d…
03-18 13:09:49	will starmer say mr speaker 25 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x328c80…
03-18 06:38:51	will mojtaba khamenei tweet again on march 17	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x072f7b…
03-18 06:20:33	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xaf2cd8…
03-18 06:20:07	will mojtaba khamenei tweet again on march 17	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xc0aab6…
03-18 05:30:27	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x84cf1b…
03-18 02:42:53	highest temperature in singapore on march 18 2026 28c	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9b092a…
03-17 16:01:05	will trump say ireland or irish 3 times during taoiseach events	Yes	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x123520…
03-17 12:11:47	highest temperature in madrid on march 17 2026 17c	No	BUY	676	100¢	$675	0x889ab9…
03-17 07:32:27	highest temperature in warsaw on march 17 2026 5corbelow	No	BUY	671	100¢	$670	0x1ab971…
03-17 06:43:17	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 16 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	2,072	100¢	$2,069	0xa7de55…
03-17 06:41:39	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 16 2026 20c	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0xb8b080…
03-16 17:16:15	will trump say putin this week march 22	Yes	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0xecb79b…
03-16 17:12:31	cricnt20c abb lah 2026 03 16	Abbottabad Region	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb3b4b2…
03-16 17:09:35	will trump say putin this week march 22	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x83730a…
03-16 17:08:25	will fake clone or fake cloning be said during the valorant masters grand finals	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0xc3f86e…
03-16 17:03:51	will trump say hillary or clinton this week march 22	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8ce527…
03-16 17:03:13	will trump say hillary or clinton this week march 22	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xfe1411…
03-16 17:02:53	will trump say drone this week march 22	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x9ffb43…
03-16 16:59:05	will tour de force be said during the valorant masters grand finals	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x92bb97…
03-16 16:58:53	will tour de force be said during the valorant masters grand finals	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x6e9f85…
03-16 16:33:33	more eu sanctions on russia by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x6d1d1a…
03-16 16:33:21	more eu sanctions on russia by march 31	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x1bc291…
03-16 16:33:05	more eu sanctions on russia by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xeba3dc…
03-16 15:02:31	more eu sanctions on russia by march 31	Yes	BUY	490	100¢	$490	0x039f5d…
03-16 15:01:37	more eu sanctions on russia by march 31	Yes	BUY	490	100¢	$490	0xc60567…
03-16 14:33:13	will clutch be said 15 times during the valorant masters grand finals	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xbf7858…
03-16 13:09:41	cs2 gz1 rstr 2026 03 16 game1	Ground Zero	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7f03b1…
03-16 11:35:03	highest temperature in shanghai on march 16 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfe4680…
03-16 11:32:37	highest temperature in shanghai on march 16 2026 13c	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xea9abc…
03-16 10:41:47	dota2 l1ga nemiga 2026 03 16 game2	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x52f5c8…
03-16 09:40:17	will massacre be said during the valorant masters grand finals	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xece765…
03-16 09:36:39	will massacre be said during the valorant masters grand finals	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xf7605d…
03-16 08:35:29	will massacre be said during the valorant masters grand finals	No	BUY	1,003	100¢	$1,000	0x5e130c…
03-16 06:24:45	chatgpt outage by march 15	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x0cea5d…
03-16 06:12:53	will chalamet be said 5 times at the oscars	No	BUY	320	100¢	$320	0x284c53…
03-16 03:19:13	will frankenstein win exactly 3 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3626ae…
03-16 03:18:49	will frankenstein win exactly 3 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x64eff0…
03-16 03:17:55	will marty supreme win no awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd11a23…
03-16 03:15:43	will epstein be said at the oscars	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb0c73d…