Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

594 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$295

$2.05K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$84

6 positions

First seen

2026-07-01

last 11-11 07:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Politics

54% 57% -$16

Other

44% 41% -$4

Sports

1% 67% $0

Tech

1% 50% -$3

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	+20	$18	97¢	$19	+$1	11-10 00:29
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	+20	$19	96¢	$19	$0	11-11 05:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	+20	$18	90¢	$18	$0	11-11 03:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	+10	$8	97¢	$10	+$1	11-10 00:31
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	+10	$8	86¢	$9	+$0	11-09 15:38
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?	No	+10	$8	84¢	$8	$0	11-10 05:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	9	$123	73	73	+0	No	+$2	08-27 18:30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	11	$83	50	40	+10	No	+$1	08-27 17:44
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	21	$70	78	78	+0	Yes	-$1	08-07 21:30
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	6	$68	46	26	+20	No	+$1	08-27 18:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	12	$65	45	45	+0	open	—	11-09 01:53
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	4	$61	41	20	+21	No	+$0	10-30 00:39
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	11-03 05:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	6	$56	40	20	+20	open	—	11-10 00:29
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	13	$54	61	61	+0	No	$0	08-08 14:57
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	7	$50	28	28	-0	No	+$1	08-14 12:47
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	7	$50	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-20 08:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?	6	$44	24	24	+0	No	+$1	08-19 18:59
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	9	$44	27	27	+0	No	$0	08-07 19:52
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	5	$43	30	20	+10	open	—	11-09 15:38
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?	4	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	11-11 07:28
Natural Disaster in 2026?	5	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	08-10 19:05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	3	$26	20	10	+10	open	—	11-10 00:31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	4	$25	15	10	+5	No	+$0	10-30 06:07
will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	14	$25	25	24	+0	Yes	-$1	07-24 23:34
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 222 252	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	08-22 21:44
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	6	$20	13	13	+0	No	$0	08-17 10:41
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	8	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-29 06:21
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 6?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	11-05 01:35
us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	4	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-22 10:15
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	11-11 05:11
Will Dana White be the next White House Press Secretary?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	11-08 07:33
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	10-26 02:35
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	2	$19	20	0	+20	No	-$19	08-25 17:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	2	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	11-11 03:11
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	4	$17	21	21	+0	Belgium	-$3	07-01 22:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 07:28:00	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xd716c3…
11-11 05:11:24	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x0315d6…
11-11 03:11:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x11dbe7…
11-11 03:11:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x6a44d8…
11-10 05:18:40	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x5ac94c…
11-10 00:31:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xcf8c9f…
11-10 00:29:37	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x37acd9…
11-09 23:13:25	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xbc333b…
11-09 15:38:25	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xf9304e…
11-09 15:01:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x7b4d58…
11-09 13:14:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xbcc29d…
11-09 13:13:30	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xc167d8…
11-09 08:03:55	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x730984…
11-09 01:55:54	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xe2ae57…
11-09 01:54:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x144607…
11-09 01:53:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xc20676…
11-09 00:17:13	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x9a41b6…
11-08 22:55:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x16fb76…
11-08 19:47:06	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x601475…
11-08 19:43:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x91866d…
11-08 18:40:04	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xcc1947…
11-08 18:38:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x73bcc2…
11-08 07:33:55	Will Dana White be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x7a67d1…
11-08 01:47:24	Will Dana White be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x14e2ff…
11-08 01:47:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x583992…
11-07 04:11:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x7e3a67…
11-05 03:02:28	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xe644b6…
11-05 01:35:27	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 6?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x540fa2…
11-04 21:22:54	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9f87e2…
11-04 19:38:28	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf7c45d…
11-04 19:34:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x0a9e70…
11-03 18:10:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xdbf1f6…
11-03 05:29:18	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x0929ff…
11-03 05:01:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb77881…
11-03 04:58:55	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x712c82…
11-03 04:57:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x89667a…
11-02 22:12:18	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf22782…
11-02 19:42:40	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xb76523…
10-30 06:07:48	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8bf95a…
10-30 01:47:40	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x1aa586…
10-30 01:00:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x80cdd4…
10-30 00:40:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x40f168…
10-30 00:39:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdcaa6d…
10-29 15:41:17	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf5a3a3…
10-29 06:21:08	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x297918…
10-29 02:54:56	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x365368…
10-29 01:28:13	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xeb1008…
10-29 01:21:43	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x819949…
10-29 01:10:07	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xe08a28…
10-29 00:56:58	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x8c2419…
10-29 00:43:53	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x77db5b…
10-29 00:30:40	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3c0384…
10-28 04:29:47	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe8401b…
10-28 04:22:37	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0xf4d8de…
10-28 04:20:55	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3f4799…
10-28 03:05:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xec0877…
10-26 18:22:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1437ed…
10-26 02:35:38	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x71988e…
10-26 00:56:05	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x130b3d…
10-25 23:22:48	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x25c3e3…
10-25 23:21:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcae986…
10-25 01:37:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x339a25…
10-25 01:14:32	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf3f23a…
10-25 01:10:48	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x915547…
10-24 23:20:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x404028…
10-22 05:30:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x5375ce…
10-22 05:30:01	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x8f3ebb…
10-22 05:29:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0xf1f488…
10-22 05:20:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0x7573ff…
10-22 05:19:12	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x10767e…
08-29 14:49:40	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfb04c9…
08-27 20:29:33	Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0a9cf1…
08-27 18:30:30	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x2b447d…
08-27 18:30:03	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x651277…
08-27 17:44:39	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xf37672…
08-27 14:56:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x514a89…
08-26 13:09:48	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xc71534…
08-26 08:39:39	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x5b8a63…
08-25 23:33:45	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe99fd4…
08-25 23:20:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x63cdc3…
08-25 20:13:24	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x838341…
08-25 19:43:25	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x9a90d2…
08-25 17:11:25	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xc8cc90…
08-25 17:00:21	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x38be50…
08-25 16:58:30	Will there be no next Mythos-Class model release by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x044201…
08-25 15:07:40	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x4a36da…
08-25 14:57:54	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x7c35d6…
08-25 14:03:12	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb08424…
08-25 13:27:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x076efe…
08-25 12:20:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x36ae5f…
08-25 10:35:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xd71d0c…
08-25 00:50:54	will idiots score at least 75 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x4ed12d…
08-24 23:09:00	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x0ae910…
08-24 22:52:15	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x4799cc…
08-24 15:24:21	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x73c84e…
08-23 17:37:03	Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 21.5m?	No	SELL	3	82¢	$3	0x8dd8a6…
08-23 14:41:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xcdbd6f…
08-22 23:17:01	us imposes new sanctions on iran by monday	Yes	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x7e9e27…
08-22 21:44:57	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 222 252	No	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x2f98c8…
08-22 20:57:00	Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 21.5m?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xea17fb…