Realized P&L
+$1.43K
Unrealized P&L
-$79
Hit rate
84.3%
Resolved
371
Trades
904
lifetime
Volume
$42.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$744
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 09:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Politics
55% 71% +$970
Other
41% 54% +$452
Sports
4% 67% +$16
Tech
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -191 -$174 97¢ $-185 -$11 08-23 13:51
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +173 $153 100¢ $173 +$20 11-02 20:32
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +152 $120 98¢ $150 +$30 11-04 09:44
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -120 -$119 100¢ $-119 $0 09-29 16:08
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +146 $110 22¢ $31 -$79 07-11 11:09
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +30 $22 98¢ $29 +$7 09-21 18:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +214 $60 11¢ $22 -$37 07-25 11:27
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +62 $16 32¢ $19 +$3 09-28 22:37
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +12 $5 63¢ $7 +$2 11-01 18:02
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -152 -$14 2¢ $-3 +$11 10-17 09:51
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +97 $28 3¢ $2 -$26 09-15 15:43
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4 $2 55¢ $2 $0 10-26 11:20