Realized P&L
-$144
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
59.4%
Resolved
107
Trades
155
lifetime
Volume
$1.53K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$86
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-24 20:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Other
86% 61% -$141
Tech
9% 73% -$2
Politics
4% 57% +$3
Sports
1% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
1% 33% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +59 $50 84¢ $50 +$0 08-10 17:59
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +105 $10 17¢ $18 +$8 10-24 20:22
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +12 $10 92¢ $11 +$1 05-27 04:03
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes -7 -$6 74¢ $-5 +$1 09-08 03:01
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +10 $5 15¢ $1 -$4 06-04 22:01
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -8 -$1 10¢ $-1 +$0 10-24 20:19
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1 $1 26¢ $-0 -$2 10-24 20:23