Realized P&L (90d)
+$541
Unrealized P&L
+$33
Hit rate
70.1%
Resolved (90d)
1,443
Trades (90d)
4,352
43,928 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.86K
$16.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$29
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-20
last 11-09 12:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 262 days
Categories
Other
72% 28% +$1,952
Crypto
12% 31% +$558
Sports
9% 28% +$478
Politics
6% 58% +$293
Tech
0% 41% +$38
Pop-Culture
0% 21% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 200 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 299.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +20 $1 52¢ $10 +$10 09-20 17:22
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,750,000 and 2,900,000? No +61 $2 14¢ $8 +$7 11-06 21:19
Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No — +2 $0 82¢ $2 +$2 08-23 21:29
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.25T? Yes +30 $0 2¢ $1 +$0 11-09 02:37
Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +20 $0 3¢ $1 +$0 11-05 14:24
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +21 $0 3¢ $1 +$0 11-09 07:40
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on November 9? Yes +6 $1 9¢ $1 $0 11-09 12:34
Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +25 $0 2¢ $1 +$0 11-08 16:39
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? Yes +42 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 11-04 19:34
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +38 $1 1¢ $0 $0 11-07 02:06
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 15%-20%? Yes +21 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-05 02:09
will benjamin netanyahu be arrested by december 31 20260720194516249 Yes +14 -$2 3¢ $0 +$2 11-05 05:31
Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes — +2 -$9 18¢ $0 +$9 08-31 02:18
will ethereum dip to 2000 on november 9 2026 Yes +6 $0 7¢ $0 +$0 11-09 05:22
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $0 7¢ $-0 $0 09-23 15:40
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes +10 $0 3¢ $0 $0 11-06 11:28
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 20%-25%? No +8 $1 4¢ $0 $0 11-05 02:10
Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +8 -$1 4¢ $0 +$1 11-09 11:40
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 9%-12%? Yes +20 $0 1¢ $0 +$1 11-05 01:12
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 38.0 on November 13, 2026? Yes +6 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 11-09 00:33
Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +7 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 11-05 02:31
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.5T? Yes +10 $0 2¢ $0 $0 11-09 02:36
Will Christian Watson have 799.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +12 $0 1¢ $0 $0 11-08 23:50
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%? Yes +26 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-07 07:50
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 09-24 03:00
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -4 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 10-20 19:30
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026? Yes +1 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 10-19 17:01
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -0 $0 32¢ $-0 $0 09-24 16:32
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 30% or more? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 $0 11-04 16:09
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election? Yes +0 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 11-07 17:34