Realized P&L (30d)
+$140
Unrealized P&L
+$42
Hit rate
69.2%
Resolved (30d)
310
Trades (30d)
1,779
48,461 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$438
$17.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$36
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-20
last 11-11 07:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 264 days
Categories
Other
72% 28% +$1,950
Crypto
12% 31% +$557
Sports
9% 28% +$478
Politics
6% 58% +$293
Tech
0% 41% +$38
Pop-Culture
0% 21% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 200 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 299.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +20 $1 52¢ $10 +$10 09-20 17:22
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-06 House election by 10%-20%? No +115 $2 8¢ $9 +$6 11-10 04:55
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,750,000 and 2,900,000? No +58 $1 14¢ $8 +$8 11-10 12:57
Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +2 $0 82¢ $2 +$2 08-23 21:29
Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +20 $0 3¢ $1 +$0 11-05 14:24
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +21 $0 3¢ $1 +$0 11-09 07:40
Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +25 $0 2¢ $1 +$0 11-08 16:39
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%? No +5 -$2 10¢ $1 +$3 11-10 20:41
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 15%-20%? Yes +20 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-09 23:15
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? Yes +42 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-04 19:34
Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +2 -$9 18¢ $0 +$9 08-31 02:18
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $0 7¢ $-0 $0 09-23 15:40
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 6%-9%? No +5 $0 6¢ $0 $0 11-10 02:04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 20%-25%? No +8 $1 4¢ $0 $0 11-05 02:10
Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +8 -$1 4¢ $0 +$1 11-09 11:40
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 9%-12%? Yes +20 $0 1¢ $0 +$1 11-05 01:12
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 6%-9%? Yes -6 -$1 4¢ $-0 +$1 11-09 20:29
Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on November 13, 2026? Yes +4 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 11-10 23:17
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +6 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 11-10 13:00
Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +7 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 11-05 02:31
Will Christian Watson have 799.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +12 $0 1¢ $0 $0 11-08 23:50
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes +4 $0 3¢ $0 $0 11-10 14:05
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-10 01:31
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%? Yes +6 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-10 21:01
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%? Yes +26 $0 0¢ $0 $0 11-07 07:50
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -4 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 10-20 19:30
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.5T? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 $0 11-09 02:36
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026? Yes +1 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 10-19 17:01
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-24 03:00
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -0 $0 26¢ $-0 $0 09-24 16:32