Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

264

lifetime

Volume

$1.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$39

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 06-19 14:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

60% 100% +$15

Other

29% 100% +$4

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$18	92¢	$18	+$0	06-18 16:17
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	+10	$8	97¢	$10	+$2	06-10 15:59
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	+10	$9	87¢	$9	$-0	06-19 14:12
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	Yes	+20	$2	6¢	$1	$-0	06-18 16:11
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	+5	$1	12¢	$1	$-1	06-11 11:50
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	-5	$-1	3¢	$-0	+$1	06-10 15:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$140	105	52	+52	open	—	03-31 12:35
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$126	95	95	+0	open	—	04-10 13:24
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$99	105	105	+0	open	—	04-08 12:10
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$68	70	0	+70	open	—	03-06 12:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$42	25	25	+0	open	—	02-12 14:34
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?	3	$39	40	0	+40	open	—	06-01 13:05
will zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on march 15	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	02-18 12:23
us strike on somalia by january 31 563	5	$36	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	01-30 17:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	02-10 13:05
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	02-18 12:23
will seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in january 339	1	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	01-30 16:57
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	6	$32	26	21	+5	open	—	03-31 12:41
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	3	$29	30	10	+20	open	—	03-03 12:12
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	04-22 19:04
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	2	$27	22	22	+0	open	—	03-13 18:10
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	8	$26	250	250	-0	open	—	02-11 16:58
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	04-13 18:13
us strikes iraq by february 28	3	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	03-04 11:13
will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	2	$24	26	0	+26	open	—	03-16 17:43
will iran strike israel on march 10	3	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	03-13 13:00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	03-09 12:47
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$20	32	32	+0	open	—	02-26 18:38
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-16 17:42
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 452	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	02-12 16:33
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	2	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	02-13 12:36
will the dhs shutdown last 21 days or more 531	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	03-05 12:53
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	06-18 16:17
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	3	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	03-02 11:51
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-12 16:33
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	01-29 14:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 14:12:26	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xc3c2ff…
06-18 16:17:38	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xc8787b…
06-18 16:11:41	Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xabe0df…
06-17 20:19:16	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x73c513…
06-16 12:21:24	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xa09371…
06-11 17:28:03	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x920b51…
06-11 11:50:18	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa84f82…
06-10 15:59:42	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x0b848b…
06-10 15:59:16	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x6b9f51…
06-10 15:55:19	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x24f394…
06-09 13:40:52	will belgium reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120759	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x3e2f79…
06-09 13:40:10	will germany reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120751	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x95ed04…
06-09 13:39:22	will canada reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120739	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xebfbfd…
06-09 11:44:40	will endrick score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x0b0b8f…
06-01 13:05:42	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0x8a5d14…
06-01 12:40:06	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x300936…
06-01 12:22:48	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x20ddcf…
05-06 20:32:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x2c4df0…
05-06 16:12:07	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3ffadc…
05-05 20:50:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xb7b9f2…
05-05 20:48:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x2b278e…
05-04 12:00:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xcbd8bd…
04-23 12:33:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xdb9b2e…
04-22 19:04:58	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x050962…
04-22 19:04:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xc5a52d…
04-14 12:06:39	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x89f2e3…
04-13 18:14:29	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x5e7e57…
04-13 18:14:13	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x9af52e…
04-13 18:13:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xad82cd…
04-10 17:30:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x67d049…
04-10 13:26:49	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xd47521…
04-10 13:24:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	95	44¢	$41	0x34a3e3…
04-09 17:39:49	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x6175ad…
04-09 16:48:31	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x74e2bc…
04-09 16:48:01	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x0474d0…
04-09 16:46:19	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x6d792b…
04-09 12:52:23	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x9fe5bb…
04-09 12:50:45	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x50063d…
04-09 12:48:39	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xf638c1…
04-08 12:10:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0xe75ac7…
04-08 12:08:47	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5ab40b…
04-07 21:22:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	51	89¢	$45	0x1a6d50…
04-07 21:21:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	39	89¢	$35	0x9d8169…
04-07 16:21:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xdbe236…
04-07 12:02:47	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x97e538…
04-07 12:02:35	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xad2ac8…
04-07 11:42:09	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x0adf45…
04-07 11:41:13	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x0adae3…
04-07 11:39:57	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa3fe4e…
04-05 13:20:01	chess jsinda agiri 2026 04 05 r7 white	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xacff8a…
04-05 13:17:33	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x3f1e5b…
04-05 13:15:21	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x45ac26…
04-03 15:42:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x8fcac6…
04-03 15:38:05	will spacex file for an ipo by april 3 2026	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7ab8ab…
04-03 15:34:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x65cb61…
04-02 15:38:41	will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x38e47e…
04-02 15:36:15	will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xfdec6a…
04-02 12:32:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x72b451…
04-01 13:52:57	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xb00f26…
04-01 13:49:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc8a34b…
04-01 13:49:01	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x4ba476…
03-31 12:42:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x73a861…
03-31 12:41:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xaba22a…
03-31 12:41:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x42bfb6…
03-31 12:40:05	any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xaa21f8…
03-31 12:36:43	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xec8dae…
03-31 12:35:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x8faf6f…
03-31 12:30:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc1ecb4…
03-30 13:42:41	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x409bbf…
03-30 13:36:51	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x2794fa…
03-30 13:34:17	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9d49ea…
03-27 18:02:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe812c0…
03-27 18:01:17	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7f16f0…
03-26 11:42:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x6156a2…
03-25 12:36:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	80	83¢	$66	0x942cca…
03-23 12:32:07	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xbdf822…
03-23 12:31:45	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0x4e5e63…
03-23 12:31:05	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa70c38…
03-23 12:30:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x6fd608…
03-23 12:17:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	18	65¢	$12	0x94dc6d…
03-20 11:58:47	Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x921e41…
03-20 11:57:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x9847f2…
03-19 17:35:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	No	SELL	6	79¢	$4	0xce8a76…
03-19 17:30:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x348b12…
03-19 13:59:55	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0dd1f2…
03-19 13:58:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xd524b5…
03-19 13:57:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x52793c…
03-19 13:55:21	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xc21a21…
03-19 13:15:05	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xaddb7f…
03-18 18:06:11	Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x98e55a…
03-17 12:30:45	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x223ae3…
03-16 17:53:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xf19865…
03-16 17:53:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x262281…
03-16 17:52:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb4f92f…
03-16 17:51:39	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa0b2a7…
03-16 17:49:49	another us bank failure by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xd6dcce…
03-16 17:43:35	will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x103348…
03-16 17:42:17	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7c7c1b…
03-16 11:50:49	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x5564be…
03-16 11:42:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xcec97f…