Worrisome-Elderberry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

46.8%

Resolved

Trades

269

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-22 09:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

56% — —

Politics

36% 75% +$5

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No		+5	$5	94¢	$5	+$0	06-22 09:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	11	$887	461	461	+0	No	$-0	05-10 15:27
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$433	220	220	+0	open	—	04-24 17:08
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	5	$407	213	213	+0	open	—	03-31 09:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$325	166	166	+0	No	+$1	05-08 08:33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	7	$303	472	472	+0	open	—	05-13 03:25
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$296	150	150	+0	open	—	05-06 18:13
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	2	$289	154	154	+0	open	—	03-31 15:24
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	4	$283	145	145	+0	open	—	04-26 08:14
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$283	145	145	+0	open	—	04-29 15:05
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	3	$282	144	144	+0	open	—	04-27 13:35
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$282	144	144	+0	open	—	04-04 17:40
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$282	147	147	+0	open	—	04-25 20:33
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	3	$280	148	148	+0	open	—	04-11 08:37
Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	3	$279	141	141	+0	open	—	04-25 09:41
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	3	$277	142	142	+0	open	—	04-25 02:42
Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	4	$274	139	139	+0	open	—	04-26 15:41
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	6	$273	469	469	+0	open	—	03-28 15:10
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	5	$270	140	140	+0	open	—	03-23 20:51
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$269	136	136	+0	open	—	03-23 12:16
will solana reach 120 in march 2026	4	$268	137	137	+0	open	—	03-25 14:43
will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	4	$267	135	135	+0	open	—	03-26 00:14
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$267	138	138	+0	open	—	03-24 18:42
will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$266	136	136	+0	open	—	03-25 08:57
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	11	$266	625	625	+0	No	+$1	04-24 10:37
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	3	$264	134	134	+0	open	—	04-24 02:05
Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?	3	$258	130	130	+0	open	—	04-22 21:53
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?	5	$256	142	142	+0	open	—	04-21 07:10
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$256	137	137	+0	open	—	04-20 12:18
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	4	$256	138	138	+0	open	—	04-20 08:19
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$256	130	130	+0	open	—	04-21 00:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 09:26:20	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb9de8d…
05-19 12:17:31	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0xe2529f…
05-19 05:24:33	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	66	95¢	$63	0xcdb68f…
05-18 22:25:15	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0x4effec…
05-13 10:57:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0xcd6186…
05-13 03:25:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	128	1¢	$2	0xe57e5e…
05-13 03:25:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	193	1¢	$3	0xabb5cb…
05-13 02:57:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	321	1¢	$4	0x8dd0c4…
05-12 17:37:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	286	5¢	$15	0x923c4d…
05-12 17:37:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	101	5¢	$5	0x8e888a…
05-12 12:04:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	387	5¢	$21	0xbb0cdd…
05-12 03:05:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x0c0aa0…
05-12 03:04:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xcecdeb…
05-12 03:04:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	82	97¢	$80	0x2a3f50…
05-12 01:29:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	151	97¢	$147	0x512a74…
05-10 15:27:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x89e288…
05-10 15:27:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x63f5e3…
05-10 15:27:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	95	96¢	$91	0x527054…
05-10 12:32:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xb1a048…
05-10 12:32:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	88	96¢	$85	0x4dad38…
05-10 12:32:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x2e878e…
05-10 08:00:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	153	96¢	$147	0x78be0c…
05-10 05:17:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	153	96¢	$147	0x0604c8…
05-09 09:52:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	154	97¢	$149	0x2a6aae…
05-09 08:04:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xb28262…
05-09 08:04:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	118	97¢	$114	0xace536…
05-09 03:07:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	121	98¢	$118	0xdc4328…
05-09 01:31:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	84	97¢	$82	0x56fa7b…
05-09 01:31:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x5580e5…
05-08 20:25:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	112	2¢	$3	0x9a600c…
05-08 18:27:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	112	2¢	$3	0x8a8464…
05-08 15:19:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	167	98¢	$164	0xef05a4…
05-08 08:33:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	166	98¢	$163	0x348cf7…
05-08 06:55:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	166	97¢	$162	0xe61815…
05-07 23:46:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	81	3¢	$2	0x33e311…
05-07 21:47:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	81	3¢	$2	0x6e6448…
05-07 03:32:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0xfeb33b…
05-07 03:32:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	128	5¢	$6	0xe9cf40…
05-06 23:44:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	166	5¢	$9	0x14400b…
05-06 18:13:39	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	122	98¢	$120	0xa9a48e…
05-06 18:13:39	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0x33289a…
05-06 12:46:40	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x342e88…
05-06 10:41:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	14¢	$9	0x557480…
05-06 06:21:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0x25c9d5…
04-29 23:02:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	96	98¢	$95	0x98ea59…
04-29 20:13:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x15ae4e…
04-29 15:51:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	104	98¢	$102	0xa7fb59…
04-29 15:05:08	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	145	98¢	$142	0x5ee3ae…
04-29 10:08:48	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x2a4c8f…
04-29 10:08:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	126	97¢	$123	0x05612c…
04-27 22:06:54	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	381	4¢	$13	0x857e06…
04-27 22:06:54	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0x3fa858…
04-27 20:41:30	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	418	3¢	$14	0x967181…
04-27 13:35:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x1af441…
04-27 13:35:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x0e974b…
04-27 10:46:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	144	98¢	$141	0x71c012…
04-27 10:43:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	116	2¢	$2	0x0c091e…
04-27 10:43:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	130	2¢	$2	0xf6ce07…
04-27 10:43:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x875d00…
04-27 10:43:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	84	2¢	$1	0x38e6fd…
04-27 04:58:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	343	2¢	$6	0x691ca1…
04-27 00:43:10	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	105	1¢	$1	0xd13636…
04-27 00:43:10	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	98	1¢	$1	0x66349d…
04-27 00:43:10	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	151	1¢	$2	0x197d42…
04-27 00:43:10	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x06ad26…
04-26 21:46:48	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	364	1¢	$4	0x61498a…
04-26 15:41:40	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x984f83…
04-26 15:41:40	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0x371707…
04-26 12:00:14	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x8f5b85…
04-26 12:00:14	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0x7f5985…
04-26 08:14:32	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x6fb29a…
04-26 08:14:32	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	130	98¢	$127	0x33230f…
04-26 03:39:06	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0xdf6c9c…
04-26 03:39:06	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	68	98¢	$66	0x1e6af5…
04-25 23:52:06	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	85	96¢	$82	0x829a2f…
04-25 23:52:06	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x6115b7…
04-25 20:56:40	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0xaa7247…
04-25 20:56:40	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	99	96¢	$95	0x161afc…
04-25 20:33:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	147	97¢	$142	0xf0c03f…
04-25 13:13:06	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	147	95¢	$139	0x563121…
04-25 09:41:30	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0x5e2814…
04-25 09:41:28	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0xc82d78…
04-25 05:32:00	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	141	99¢	$139	0xe4260c…
04-25 02:42:54	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0xedb43e…
04-25 02:42:54	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x537707…
04-24 22:20:56	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	142	97¢	$138	0x147c2d…
04-24 17:08:58	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0xdb23f5…
04-24 14:09:04	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xdcafe4…
04-24 10:37:14	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x4b4e33…
04-24 10:37:12	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0xce39f0…
04-24 10:37:12	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x963e2c…
04-24 07:19:46	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	124	98¢	$122	0x81c259…
04-24 02:05:22	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	106	98¢	$104	0x9a883d…
04-24 02:05:22	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0x0469a7…
04-24 00:24:14	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	134	98¢	$132	0xe89814…
04-23 12:53:44	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0xe5208c…
04-23 12:53:44	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	285	7¢	$21	0x526b34…
04-23 10:32:22	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	325	4¢	$14	0x475f2b…
04-23 06:56:00	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	129	2¢	$2	0xfa0875…
04-23 06:55:58	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	245	2¢	$4	0xf143ff…