Realized P&L
-$221
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
10.2%
Resolved
231
Trades
1,748
lifetime
Volume
$14.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$117
9 positions
First seen
2026-09-20
last 10-26 21:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
78% 15% -$195
Politics
10% 12% -$5
Tech
7% 23% -$10
Pop-Culture
2% 0% -$3
Sports
2% 0% -$3
Crypto
1% 40% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +60 $33 64¢ $39 +$6 10-16 18:30
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +35 $19 88¢ $31 +$12 10-12 15:36
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? No +60 $28 36¢ $21 -$7 10-16 18:30
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +15 $12 93¢ $14 +$2 10-21 18:17
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +7 $4 73¢ $5 +$1 10-26 15:56
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? No +34 $16 12¢ $4 -$12 10-12 15:36
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? No +6 $3 27¢ $2 -$1 10-26 15:56
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +15 $3 7¢ $1 -$2 10-21 18:17
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? Yes +0 $2 66¢ $0 -$2 10-15 19:01