Conventional-Backpack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.27K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.6%

Resolved

200

Trades

496

lifetime

Volume

$50.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-27 21:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$172

Other

40% 80% -$2,420

Crypto

2% 60% -$21

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	10	$6.3K	3,219	3,219	+0	No	+$7	05-17 17:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	6	$4.8K	2,429	2,429	+0	No	+$1	05-10 20:53
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	9	$4.5K	3,300	1,300	+2,000	Yes	+$64	05-20 12:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	10	$4.2K	2,156	2,156	+0	No	+$6	05-14 22:17
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	2	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$21	05-18 15:26
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	26	$3.8K	2,072	2,072	+0	open	—	05-14 23:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	3	$3.2K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$27	06-27 19:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$2.8K	1,695	1,095	+600	No	+$13	05-19 15:12
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	18	$2.5K	2,609	0	+2,609	Yes	-$2,511	06-16 22:48
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	10	$2.2K	2,238	0	+2,238	No	+$45	05-14 23:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	3	$1.1K	550	550	+0	No	+$10	05-21 17:26
will annual inflation increase by 2pt4 in january 964	2	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$10	02-13 13:30
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	5	$983	498	498	+0	No	+$7	06-27 21:23
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	1	$972	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$28	05-18 21:03
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	8	$961	500	500	+0	No	+$15	05-20 08:57
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt2 in january 965	1	$900	909	0	+909	Yes	+$9	02-13 13:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	5	$832	427	427	+0	No	+$0	05-11 17:11
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	3	$787	600	200	+400	No	+$7	05-20 05:03
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt3 in january 418	1	$594	600	0	+600	No	+$6	02-13 13:30
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	4	$591	304	304	+0	No	+$0	05-12 05:16
another 7pt0 or above earthquake by january 31 2026	9	$578	786	786	+0	No	-$4	01-19 17:08
cuba leader miguel diaz canel in us custody by june 30	3	$503	256	256	+0	No	+$6	06-27 21:57
megaquake by march 31	4	$395	250	250	+0	No	+$0	01-16 17:17
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	3	$388	205	205	+0	No	+$2	01-15 17:49
Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?	2	$197	200	0	+200	No	+$3	05-18 21:35
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	2	$196	100	100	+0	Down	+$0	05-15 16:56
Russia coup attempt in 2026?	2	$176	97	97	+0	open	—	05-16 21:12
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	3	$166	173	0	+173	No	+$7	05-22 01:56
ethereum up or down march 23 2026 6pm et	2	$100	107	0	+107	Down	+$2	03-23 22:50
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 17?	1	$95	95	0	+95	No	+$0	05-17 19:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 21:57:50	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x6e86bf…
06-27 21:57:38	cuba leader miguel diaz canel in us custody by june 30	No	SELL	256	99¢	$254	0x5bbd74…
06-27 21:23:59	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	498	99¢	$495	0x6b2fbf…
06-27 19:12:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1,600	100¢	$1,598	0x5aef89…
06-16 22:48:10	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x37ada0…
06-16 09:32:51	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x877a5a…
06-15 20:37:45	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb2b5a6…
06-14 13:47:42	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x111266…
06-12 15:14:18	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x237df2…
06-12 09:48:31	alisson 20260609165807822	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xae75d3…
06-12 08:55:45	alisson 20260609165807822	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x110282…
06-11 23:25:43	vinicius jr 20260609165807847	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xeac2c3…
06-11 23:07:15	alisson 20260609165807822	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xa4e03c…
06-11 22:20:01	alisson 20260609165807822	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x75749e…
06-11 22:19:48	alisson 20260609165807822	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf25f93…
06-11 17:10:07	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	74	95¢	$70	0x16aa8a…
06-10 21:05:07	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x21fe70…
06-10 15:19:45	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xa74072…
06-10 01:17:37	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x05de9c…
06-08 07:22:16	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	441	97¢	$428	0xd67dfd…
06-08 06:40:49	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x838e56…
06-08 06:39:55	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0xfd81fd…
06-07 19:29:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	800	98¢	$785	0x73f55d…
06-07 17:03:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	800	98¢	$786	0xb39220…
06-07 16:59:24	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	254	98¢	$250	0xf85c2d…
06-06 18:25:49	Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?	Yes	SELL	34	80¢	$27	0x7a97a2…
06-06 18:03:36	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x9dd2d9…
06-06 16:19:25	Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	77¢	$26	0x257949…
06-06 16:09:33	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x56e100…
06-05 18:37:22	cuba leader miguel diaz canel in us custody by june 30	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x027114…
06-05 09:33:42	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0x2fcdb7…
06-05 09:33:24	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0x7b586f…
06-05 09:33:04	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xc4bced…
06-04 19:55:21	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x871977…
06-04 19:33:43	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0xc4f77e…
06-03 18:58:48	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	148	97¢	$143	0xea8732…
05-23 01:47:53	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	900	95¢	$856	0x3f50aa…
05-22 01:56:02	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xd5480e…
05-21 21:38:31	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x9d1e6a…
05-21 19:49:44	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0x633c8a…
05-21 17:26:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	550	97¢	$534	0x3cd707…
05-21 08:57:49	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x649f3b…
05-20 15:01:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x1a6218…
05-20 15:01:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x53cede…
05-20 12:39:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	583	97¢	$564	0xa699ba…
05-20 12:38:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	417	97¢	$402	0xca3c6c…
05-20 11:50:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	97¢	$974	0x43b06b…
05-20 11:47:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	SELL	1,000	97¢	$973	0x07dbac…
05-20 10:44:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	97¢	$970	0xaf06b1…
05-20 10:03:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xb64a8a…
05-20 10:01:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0xff719d…
05-20 09:55:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xf1719c…
05-20 08:57:13	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	SELL	481	98¢	$469	0x5818bb…
05-20 08:48:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x522eee…
05-20 05:03:04	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8d562c…
05-20 03:58:40	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	No	SELL	198	99¢	$196	0xc15a3a…
05-19 20:26:35	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	300	95¢	$286	0xaec159…
05-19 20:25:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	250	95¢	$238	0xd45ada…
05-19 16:22:40	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xa13969…
05-19 15:12:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	600	99¢	$595	0x2eb6f1…
05-19 12:44:49	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x16876f…
05-19 11:25:42	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd2f858…
05-19 11:25:42	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$2	0xbcd953…
05-19 11:25:38	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xb466db…
05-19 11:25:38	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5d4e44…
05-18 21:35:49	Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x645670…
05-18 21:24:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1,095	99¢	$1,084	0x278c6d…
05-18 21:21:56	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$473	0x1b334b…
05-18 21:03:30	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$972	0x2eb2eb…
05-18 20:51:53	Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x439db0…
05-18 20:45:35	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	No	BUY	600	98¢	$590	0x16ee32…
05-18 20:43:49	Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?	No	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0x2b129c…
05-18 18:50:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0xf7c2d1…
05-18 18:49:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$983	0x419efa…
05-18 15:26:32	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,980	0xc4056b…
05-17 19:03:59	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 17?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x2ee009…
05-17 18:42:26	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,959	0x7f696c…
05-17 17:53:01	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x947336…
05-17 17:25:05	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2,214	98¢	$2,163	0x6b0e92…
05-17 09:56:35	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	627	98¢	$615	0xdd44dc…
05-17 09:15:54	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	310	98¢	$304	0x1bcc24…
05-17 07:40:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0x9fe4e3…
05-17 07:22:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x238e7e…
05-16 21:12:16	Russia coup attempt in 2026?	No	SELL	97	90¢	$87	0x299715…
05-16 19:25:21	Ebola emergency by June 30?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x7ec757…
05-16 14:49:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$983	0x497549…
05-16 06:05:24	Ebola emergency by June 30?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x787c42…
05-16 04:30:10	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	800	98¢	$785	0x60fb34…
05-16 00:34:00	Ebola emergency by June 30?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x0c00f4…
05-15 22:48:29	Ebola emergency by June 30?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x8dc4e9…
05-15 22:28:56	Russia coup attempt in 2026?	No	BUY	97	91¢	$88	0x17553f…
05-15 16:56:35	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x3f7398…
05-15 16:02:37	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x335df6…
05-14 23:23:10	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	138	97¢	$135	0xf5baab…
05-14 23:21:27	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	800	92¢	$740	0x696d5a…
05-14 22:17:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	456	98¢	$444	0x5795d5…
05-14 21:15:51	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$58	0x2e38ab…
05-14 21:14:19	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xc2a509…
05-14 21:13:42	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x6f0acf…
05-14 21:11:22	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x8c3e0d…