Realized P&L
-$207.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$791
Hit rate
54.8%
Resolved
1,743
Trades
11,386
lifetime
Volume
$3.31M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$291
Open exposure
$7.12K
21 positions
First seen
2026-04-30
last 10-28 04:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 158 days
Categories
Sports
50% 48% -$125,893
Other
47% 48% -$82,987
Politics
3% 74% +$1,562
Tech
0% 50% +$168
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 273 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10,000 $1,690 16¢ $1.6K -$140 10-15 03:39
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +22,000 $1,320 6¢ $1.4K +$110 10-26 20:25
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $690 70¢ $695 +$5 10-17 16:49
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +32,141 $473 2¢ $530 +$57 10-28 04:02
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $420 45¢ $450 +$30 10-16 21:47
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,500 $390 28¢ $420 +$30 10-16 21:48
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +5,000 $400 8¢ $375 -$25 10-04 15:30
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +2,376 $451 14¢ $321 -$131 10-10 12:45
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +1,000 $150 28¢ $275 +$125 10-16 21:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,300 $230 10¢ $218 -$12 10-15 03:18
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +427 $158 42¢ $180 +$21 10-17 03:15
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Under +300 $153 50¢ $152 -$2 10-10 02:06
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes +1,665 $183 9¢ $150 -$33 09-19 10:59
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +221 $433 55¢ $123 -$311 10-22 01:50
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,674 $366 2¢ $86 -$279 09-27 21:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,143 $100 4¢ $80 -$20 10-15 22:35
will ethereum dip to 1750 by december 31 2026 20260806184731889 Yes +417 $79 13¢ $54 -$25 10-15 03:12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +245 $15 6¢ $13 -$1 09-18 22:54
will bitcoin dip to 72pt5k in october 2026 Yes +713 $136 1¢ $7 -$128 10-15 03:28
will ethereum dip to 1900 in october 2026 Yes +439 $39 1¢ $4 -$35 10-15 03:07
will bitcoin dip to 65k in october 2026 Yes +934 $30 0¢ $1 -$29 10-15 03:27