Realized P&L (30d)
-$28
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
60.6%
Resolved (30d)
67
Trades (30d)
21
202,267 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$134
$2.50M lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$953
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 20:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 230 days
Categories
Other
77% 88% +$1,238
Sports
10% 91% +$694
Politics
8% 88% +$21
Crypto
5% 89% -$597
Tech
1% 74% -$1,159
Pop-Culture
0% 87% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +100 $99 100¢ $100 +$1 04-29 04:32
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +100 $94 100¢ $100 +$6 04-29 04:32
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +100 $97 100¢ $100 +$3 04-29 04:32
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +100 $99 100¢ $100 +$1 04-29 04:32
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +100 $84 100¢ $100 +$16 04-29 04:32
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +100 $76 99¢ $99 +$23 04-29 04:32
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No +75 $69 98¢ $74 +$4 05-06 19:25
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No +75 $34 84¢ $63 +$28 05-06 19:25
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No +75 $52 56¢ $42 -$10 05-06 19:25
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No +15 $2 88¢ $13 +$11 04-30 21:36
Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? Yes -75 -$14 14¢ $-11 +$3 11-05 20:41
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 04-30 23:52
Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-20 07:40
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-20 07:40
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-20 07:40
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-20 07:40
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 05-20 07:40
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-20 07:40
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 $0 04-30 23:52
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-20 07:40
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 $0 04-30 23:52
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 $0 05-20 07:40
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 05-20 07:40
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 04-30 23:52
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$2 04-30 23:52
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +5 $3 99¢ $5 +$2 05-02 08:58
Will Viktor Orbán be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? Yes -75 -$1 3¢ $-2 -$2 11-05 20:43
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -70 $0 3¢ $-2 -$2 11-05 20:44
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No +15 $15 12¢ $2 -$13 04-30 21:36
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +100 $45 2¢ $2 -$43 04-29 04:32