Realized P&L (7d)
+$23
Unrealized P&L
+$71
Hit rate
83.8%
Resolved (7d)
44
Trades (7d)
21
202,267 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$134
$2.50M lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$902
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 20:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 227 days
Categories
Other
77% 88% +$1,238
Sports
10% 91% +$694
Politics
8% 88% +$37
Crypto
5% 89% -$597
Tech
1% 74% -$1,159
Pop-Culture
0% 87% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +100 $99 100¢ $100 +$0 04-29 04:32
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +100 $97 100¢ $100 +$3 04-29 04:32
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +100 $99 100¢ $100 +$1 04-29 04:32
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +100 $94 100¢ $100 +$6 04-29 04:32
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +100 $84 100¢ $100 +$16 04-29 04:32
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +100 $76 99¢ $99 +$23 04-29 04:32
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No +75 $69 99¢ $74 +$5 05-06 19:25
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +15 $8 100¢ $15 +$7 05-28 12:56
Will Trump deport 600-700k people? No +15 $15 98¢ $15 $0 05-05 05:12
Will Trump deport 500-600k people? No — +15 $13 94¢ $14 +$1 05-05 05:12
Will Trump deport 300-400k people? No — +15 $8 90¢ $13 +$5 05-05 05:12
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 04-30 23:52
Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-20 07:40
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-20 07:40
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-20 07:40
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 05-20 07:40
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-20 07:40
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-20 07:40
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 $0 04-30 23:52
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-20 07:40
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 $0 04-30 23:52
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 05-20 07:40
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 04-30 23:52
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 $0 05-20 07:40
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +10 $1 98¢ $10 +$8 05-01 11:24
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$2 04-30 23:52
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No +15 $2 58¢ $9 +$6 04-30 21:36
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No +15 $15 44¢ $7 -$8 04-30 21:36
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes -5 -$1 100¢ $-5 -$4 07-17 14:23
Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? Yes — -75 -$4 5¢ $-4 +$0 11-05 20:43