Thunderous-History — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,113

lifetime

Volume

$145.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$130

Open exposure

$49

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-01 03:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 100% +$17

Other

25% 90% +$4

Sports

6% 100% +$4

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		+50	$47	94¢	$47	$-0	06-30 03:22
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes		-3	$-2	84¢	$-2	+$0	06-30 03:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	2	$2.4K	1,202	1,202	+0	Yes	+$1	05-13 15:53
will ethereum dip to 1650 on june 3	8	$2.1K	1,161	970	+191	open	—	06-04 03:37
lal rso get 2026 04 22 rso	7	$1.9K	1,622	300	+1,321	open	—	04-22 19:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	3	$1.9K	1,902	0	+1,902	open	—	06-02 15:53
cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 04 17	5	$1.8K	1,143	1,143	+0	open	—	04-17 16:16
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	11	$1.8K	1,781	0	+1,781	Milwaukee Brewers	+$2	05-09 02:02
will ethereum dip to 1550 on june 4	2	$1.7K	1,702	0	+1,702	open	—	06-05 03:24
mlb cle tex 2026 06 07	2	$1.7K	1,701	0	+1,701	open	—	06-07 21:03
por scb fam 2026 04 19 scb	3	$1.7K	830	830	+0	open	—	04-19 21:32
will ethereum dip to 2050 on april 23	5	$1.6K	802	801	+0	open	—	04-24 01:00
trump out as president by march 31	7	$1.6K	740	846	-106	open	—	03-24 18:44
Will XRP reach $1.45 on May 20?	5	$1.5K	902	615	+287	open	—	05-21 03:27
will ethereum dip to 1500 on june 7	1	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	06-08 01:11
ethereum above 1400 on june 11 2026	4	$1.3K	701	601	+100	open	—	06-11 03:37
Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 21?	3	$1.3K	1,002	301	+701	open	—	05-22 00:11
will solana dip to 55 on june 10	2	$1.3K	1,280	0	+1,280	open	—	06-11 02:52
ethereum above 1900 on april 14	2	$1.3K	632	632	+0	open	—	04-13 18:07
Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 18?	5	$1.3K	758	505	+253	open	—	05-18 21:01
ethereum above 2000 on june 10 2026	2	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	06-09 23:21
lal gir bet 2026 04 21 gir	3	$1.1K	559	557	+2	open	—	04-21 21:24
will bitcoin dip to 56k june 8 14 2026	2	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	06-14 15:50
will solana reach 105 on april 17	2	$1.0K	523	523	+0	open	—	04-17 21:41
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$1.0K	1,041	0	+1,041	Down	+$1	05-07 19:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	1	$1.0K	1,021	0	+1,021	open	—	04-30 21:54
Will XRP dip to $1.00 May 4-10?	2	$1.0K	502	502	+0	No	+$1	05-09 05:35
rus soc rub 2026 04 06 soc	1	$1.0K	1,001	0	+1,001	open	—	04-06 18:22
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 4?	2	$998	500	500	+0	open	—	05-04 15:49
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	2	$998	500	500	+0	No	+$1	05-05 03:47
will ethereum dip to 1600 on june 3	4	$961	481	481	+0	open	—	06-04 01:42
will bitcoin dip to 62k on april 6	5	$954	650	305	+345	open	—	04-06 21:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 03:42:01	will wti reach 100 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x4674c0…
07-01 03:33:52	will wti reach 100 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x05fcbe…
06-30 20:27:58	will bitcoin dip to 53k on june 30	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x008659…
06-30 14:24:40	will bitcoin reach 66k on june 30	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x01fad8…
06-30 04:40:10	will xauusd dip to 3750 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0x77eed0…
06-30 04:00:55	ethereum above 1800 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9e3cd7…
06-30 03:58:32	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x2bd668…
06-30 03:22:19	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xca896f…
06-30 02:13:29	will xauusd dip to 3750 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x01d181…
06-29 16:43:11	will ethereum dip to 1400 on june 29	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x45a7a9…
06-29 16:42:16	will ethereum dip to 1350 on june 29	No	BUY	259	100¢	$259	0x602fcc…
06-29 08:54:08	will wti dip to 40 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0xd78470…
06-28 23:59:02	will xauusd dip to 3750 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x5794f7…
06-28 23:50:50	will wti reach 95 by june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x725a01…
06-28 23:49:23	will wti reach 95 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc0c848…
06-27 18:07:47	will ethereum dip to 1200 june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xdfbb6f…
06-27 18:07:34	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xf5a3f0…
06-26 20:56:08	btc updown 5m 1782507300	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb58937…
06-25 15:58:28	wta ribera montgom 2026 06 25	Robin Montgomery	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x31fe74…
06-24 01:04:34	ethereum above 1400 on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x549f79…
06-24 01:04:23	ethereum above 1400 on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x02d94d…
06-24 01:03:02	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 23	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x73c52b…
06-22 03:27:19	dota2 xctn mental 2026 06 21	Execration	SELL	214	87¢	$186	0xdd6a95…
06-22 03:22:22	dota2 xctn mental 2026 06 21	Execration	BUY	93	86¢	$80	0xfdc25f…
06-22 03:22:22	dota2 xctn mental 2026 06 21	Execration	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0xb4d4ad…
06-22 03:22:22	dota2 xctn mental 2026 06 21	Execration	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x86c803…
06-22 03:22:22	dota2 xctn mental 2026 06 21	Execration	BUY	46	86¢	$40	0x5fc536…
06-16 16:34:34	will ethereum reach 2050 on june 16	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x5daac3…
06-16 16:34:13	will ethereum dip to 1550 on june 16	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf7bcd5…
06-16 16:34:01	will ethereum dip to 1500 on june 16	No	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0x8018d0…
06-16 16:33:35	will ethereum dip to 1450 on june 16	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x34b15d…
06-16 16:33:13	will ethereum reach 2050 on june 16	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x8990ad…
06-16 16:32:26	will ethereum reach 2100 on june 16	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x87738f…
06-16 16:31:40	will bitcoin reach 73k on june 16	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x4f1564…
06-16 01:32:39	ethereum above 1600 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x14f0fa…
06-14 15:50:54	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x81faf7…
06-14 15:50:48	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	900	100¢	$899	0xb62fd3…
06-11 03:37:03	ethereum above 1400 on june 11 2026	Yes	SELL	538	100¢	$538	0xfb86f9…
06-11 03:29:04	ethereum above 1400 on june 11 2026	Yes	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x25e9a0…
06-11 02:52:00	will solana dip to 55 on june 10	No	BUY	380	100¢	$380	0xc27965…
06-11 02:51:28	will solana dip to 55 on june 10	No	BUY	900	100¢	$899	0xb1840f…
06-11 01:57:58	ethereum above 1400 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x167ac7…
06-11 01:57:34	ethereum above 1400 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	601	100¢	$600	0x39b1d4…
06-11 01:57:06	bitcoin above 56k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	701	100¢	$700	0x3117f9…
06-11 01:55:48	will ethereum dip to 1500 on june 10	No	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0xdf692b…
06-10 19:00:39	bitcoin above 56k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa90755…
06-10 19:00:24	btc updown 5m 1781117700	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xde97b8…
06-10 18:59:22	btc updown 5m 1781117700	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0033e8…
06-10 00:37:18	ethereum above 1300 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x04e27a…
06-09 23:59:30	wta bartunk vandewi 2026 06 09	Hanne Vandewinkel	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x91167b…
06-09 23:21:52	ethereum above 2000 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x17e5d6…
06-09 23:21:42	ethereum above 2000 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	900	100¢	$899	0x362200…
06-09 23:21:13	ethereum above 1400 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xf5f694…
06-09 23:20:58	ethereum above 1300 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	221	100¢	$221	0x62029d…
06-09 20:52:22	wta bartunk vandewi 2026 06 09	Hanne Vandewinkel	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x092c88…
06-09 16:59:15	bitcoin above 61800 on june 9 2026 1pm et	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x0dfaba…
06-09 16:57:43	bitcoin above 60800 on june 9 2026 1pm et	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x31ba70…
06-09 16:54:13	bitcoin above 60400 on june 9 2026 1pm et	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x491279…
06-09 16:53:48	bitcoin above 60200 on june 9 2026 1pm et	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xf38505…
06-09 00:04:57	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 08	New York Yankees	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x839080…
06-09 00:04:48	mlb sea bal 2026 06 08	Seattle Mariners	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0cc599…
06-08 01:13:07	will xrp reach 1pt25 on june 7	No	BUY	291	100¢	$290	0xf9988e…
06-08 01:12:09	will xrp dip to 1pt05 on june 7	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xfe0a75…
06-08 01:11:00	will ethereum dip to 1500 on june 7	No	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0xf6b22b…
06-08 01:10:37	will ethereum dip to 1450 on june 7	No	BUY	630	100¢	$629	0xcdedd1…
06-08 01:07:22	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 7	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa27e9d…
06-08 01:03:31	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 7	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x87cf66…
06-08 00:59:18	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 7	No	BUY	459	100¢	$458	0x5f65a7…
06-07 21:03:46	mlb cle tex 2026 06 07	Texas Rangers	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0x1ec110…
06-07 21:02:28	mlb cle tex 2026 06 07	Texas Rangers	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xa4d9f2…
06-06 22:05:09	will xrp dip to 0pt95 on june 6	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x6665ae…
06-06 22:04:45	will xrp dip to 0pt9 on june 6	No	BUY	451	100¢	$450	0x50ef6d…
06-05 03:24:51	will ethereum dip to 1550 on june 4	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa64c86…
06-05 02:34:55	will ethereum dip to 1550 on june 4	No	BUY	1,700	100¢	$1,698	0x3b6dd3…
06-05 00:27:15	bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3e088b…
06-05 00:25:40	will bitcoin reach 67k on june 4	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc812b7…
06-05 00:25:09	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 4	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xfe9dfe…
06-04 03:47:37	will xrp dip to 1pt1 on june 3	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x2178e3…
06-04 03:37:03	will ethereum dip to 1650 on june 3	No	SELL	461	100¢	$461	0x4ef74a…
06-04 03:36:34	will ethereum dip to 1650 on june 3	No	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0x311ca8…
06-04 03:35:51	will ethereum dip to 1650 on june 3	No	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0x5ff55f…
06-04 03:35:48	will ethereum dip to 1650 on june 3	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1d0ac3…
06-04 03:34:18	will ethereum dip to 1650 on june 3	No	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0x978330…
06-04 01:42:22	will ethereum dip to 1600 on june 3	No	SELL	455	100¢	$454	0x587300…
06-04 00:52:00	will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 3	Yes	SELL	23	78¢	$18	0x81d24b…
06-04 00:49:33	will ethereum dip to 1650 on june 3	No	BUY	461	100¢	$460	0x02cbea…
06-03 23:49:37	will ethereum dip to 1600 on june 3	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd99339…
06-03 23:49:19	will ethereum dip to 1650 on june 3	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd53e7e…
06-03 22:12:42	mlb nym sea 2026 06 03	New York Mets	BUY	450	100¢	$450	0xa0daf3…
06-03 22:12:18	will ethereum dip to 1600 on june 3	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x10e411…
06-03 22:11:58	will xrp dip to 1pt1 on june 3	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x9466ca…
06-03 22:10:31	will ethereum dip to 1650 on june 3	No	BUY	700	100¢	$697	0x50b768…
06-03 22:09:57	will ethereum dip to 1550 on june 3	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x6af76c…
06-03 22:09:37	will ethereum dip to 1600 on june 3	No	BUY	481	100¢	$480	0x10cd0f…
06-03 22:08:27	will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 3	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x3f62bf…
06-03 22:07:57	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 3	No	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x16d73b…
06-03 00:50:13	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 3?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x41309b…
06-03 00:49:59	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0xda5e5f…
06-03 00:49:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?	No	BUY	901	100¢	$900	0x560b6e…
06-02 15:53:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x189425…