Thunderous-History — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,203

lifetime

Volume

$148.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$124

Open exposure

$51

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-22 00:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 100% +$17

Other

26% 90% +$4

Sports

5% 100% +$4

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		+50	$47	97¢	$48	+$1	06-30 03:22
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes		-3	$-2	86¢	$-2	$-0	06-30 03:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	2	$2.4K	1,202	1,202	+0	Yes	+$1	05-13 15:53
will ethereum dip to 1650 on june 3	8	$2.1K	1,161	970	+191	open	—	06-04 03:37
lal rso get 2026 04 22 rso	7	$1.9K	1,622	300	+1,321	open	—	04-22 19:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	3	$1.9K	1,902	0	+1,902	open	—	06-02 15:53
cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 04 17	5	$1.8K	1,143	1,143	+0	open	—	04-17 16:16
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	11	$1.8K	1,781	0	+1,781	Milwaukee Brewers	+$2	05-09 02:02
will ethereum dip to 1550 on june 4	2	$1.7K	1,702	0	+1,702	open	—	06-05 03:24
mlb cle tex 2026 06 07	2	$1.7K	1,701	0	+1,701	open	—	06-07 21:03
por scb fam 2026 04 19 scb	3	$1.7K	830	830	+0	open	—	04-19 21:32
will ethereum dip to 2050 on april 23	5	$1.6K	802	801	+0	open	—	04-24 01:00
trump out as president by march 31	7	$1.6K	740	846	-106	open	—	03-24 18:44
Will XRP reach $1.45 on May 20?	5	$1.5K	902	615	+287	open	—	05-21 03:27
will ethereum dip to 1500 on june 7	1	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	06-08 01:11
ethereum above 1400 on june 11 2026	4	$1.3K	701	601	+100	open	—	06-11 03:37
Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 21?	3	$1.3K	1,002	301	+701	open	—	05-22 00:11
will solana dip to 55 on june 10	2	$1.3K	1,280	0	+1,280	open	—	06-11 02:52
ethereum above 1900 on april 14	2	$1.3K	632	632	+0	open	—	04-13 18:07
Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 18?	5	$1.3K	758	505	+253	open	—	05-18 21:01
ethereum above 2000 on june 10 2026	2	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	06-09 23:21
lal gir bet 2026 04 21 gir	3	$1.1K	559	557	+2	open	—	04-21 21:24
will bitcoin dip to 56k june 8 14 2026	2	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	06-14 15:50
will solana reach 105 on april 17	2	$1.0K	523	523	+0	open	—	04-17 21:41
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$1.0K	1,041	0	+1,041	Down	+$1	05-07 19:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	1	$1.0K	1,021	0	+1,021	open	—	04-30 21:54
Will XRP dip to $1.00 May 4-10?	2	$1.0K	502	502	+0	No	+$1	05-09 05:35
rus soc rub 2026 04 06 soc	1	$1.0K	1,001	0	+1,001	open	—	04-06 18:22
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 4?	2	$998	500	500	+0	open	—	05-04 15:49
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	2	$998	500	500	+0	No	+$1	05-05 03:47
will ethereum dip to 1600 on june 3	4	$961	481	481	+0	open	—	06-04 01:42
will bitcoin dip to 62k on april 6	5	$954	650	305	+345	open	—	04-06 21:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 04:40:09	will mu dip to 810 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x27e758…
07-22 00:41:00	will mu dip to 810 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0xdb9b1e…
07-21 23:30:01	will rklb dip to 54 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x66e5cb…
07-21 21:01:31	will rklb dip to 54 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x705e12…
07-21 16:24:21	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	12	61¢	$8	0x26243c…
07-21 16:23:43	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	88	61¢	$53	0x32b9da…
07-21 16:21:19	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x072a92…
07-21 01:38:03	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	402	99¢	$400	0x811eb8…
07-21 01:28:57	will openais valuation hit low 750b by december 31 995 138	No	SELL	51	57¢	$29	0x32d119…
07-21 01:28:49	will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948	No	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0xd06ef1…
07-19 18:35:16	will perplexitys valuation hit high 25b by december 31	No	SELL	80	77¢	$61	0x2059e8…
07-19 18:35:06	will perplexitys valuation hit high 22pt5b by december 31	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x0cc466…
07-18 16:40:03	will openais valuation hit low 750b by december 31 995 138	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xeff0e2…
07-18 00:30:46	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	No	SELL	52	43¢	$22	0x311ddf…
07-17 17:22:06	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x06afd5…
07-17 14:38:12	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	417	96¢	$400	0xce7826…
07-17 14:37:30	will wti dip to 10 in july 2026 851	No	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0x15a4ec…
07-17 12:15:00	will hood dip to 90 in july 2026	No	SELL	35	60¢	$21	0xb247e1…
07-17 11:52:13	will canvas valuation hit low 37pt5b by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x30da98…
07-17 11:52:00	will hood reach 130 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xb193be…
07-17 11:36:12	will perplexitys valuation hit high 25b by december 31	No	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x7b5e17…
07-17 10:06:46	will perplexitys valuation hit high 25b by december 31	No	BUY	27	77¢	$21	0xdad396…
07-17 09:21:54	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x516b0b…
07-17 08:46:39	will openais valuation hit low 750b by december 31 995 138	No	BUY	45	72¢	$32	0xa839ed…
07-17 08:30:51	will canvas valuation hit low 37pt5b by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x24d893…
07-17 07:31:43	will ng reach 3 60 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xf1cc8f…
07-17 07:23:43	will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948	No	BUY	53	53¢	$28	0xbd9a84…
07-17 07:23:43	will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x839b0e…
07-17 07:23:39	will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9717e9…
07-17 07:23:37	will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xdbb7c8…
07-17 07:23:36	will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948	No	BUY	31	53¢	$16	0xfe235d…
07-17 07:17:55	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	No	BUY	39	41¢	$16	0x8b881e…
07-17 06:01:51	will aapl reach 336 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x351cc5…
07-17 05:56:07	will perplexitys valuation hit high 22pt5b by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb5b55e…
07-17 05:32:27	will hood dip to 90 in july 2026	No	BUY	35	62¢	$22	0xae5222…
07-17 05:23:00	will aapl reach 336 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0xdcd504…
07-17 05:16:45	will hood reach 130 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xf4e48e…
07-17 04:53:15	will amzn reach 288 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xb73016…
07-17 04:10:15	will aapl reach 336 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xcbfa94…
07-17 03:29:18	will ethereum dip to 1400 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xd3c66e…
07-17 03:28:54	will ethereum reach 2500 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xa26eee…
07-17 01:56:30	will wti reach 90 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x5301cf…
07-17 01:55:28	will googl dip to 350 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	150	64¢	$96	0x5f6c82…
07-17 00:20:20	will googl dip to 345 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x3f3772…
07-16 23:46:44	will hood reach 122 50 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xdc8531…
07-16 19:49:46	will spy reach 790 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xc3868e…
07-16 19:48:26	will xagusd reach 68 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0xe7f7fb…
07-16 19:48:14	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$6	0x70dc71…
07-16 18:09:02	will googl dip to 350 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x6b362c…
07-16 17:15:52	will open reach 5 25 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0x6c8726…
07-16 17:15:08	will open reach 5 25 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x8255b8…
07-16 16:47:07	will hood reach 122 50 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x6de7fb…
07-16 15:03:16	will ng dip to 2 60 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	89	8¢	$7	0x3220af…
07-16 13:49:19	will rklb reach 90 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x3ee247…
07-16 13:47:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x1dd8b6…
07-16 13:33:11	will googl reach 385 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	30	85¢	$25	0x846ba6…
07-16 13:24:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0x8426cb…
07-16 09:06:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xde0f12…
07-16 08:11:32	will rklb dip to 70 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0xe60f8f…
07-16 08:09:05	will googl reach 385 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xd3add0…
07-16 08:06:34	will ng dip to 2 60 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x16b082…
07-16 06:13:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	31	61¢	$19	0xfc66e7…
07-16 06:13:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	69	61¢	$42	0xedd342…
07-16 05:52:13	will rklb reach 90 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x9d7824…
07-15 16:45:35	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	31	10¢	$3	0x763b82…
07-15 16:35:02	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x827dc1…
07-15 15:51:52	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x9a09c4…
07-15 15:27:10	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x681ff9…
07-15 14:28:43	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0xa6e65b…
07-15 13:22:22	will xagusd reach 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7e2f11…
07-15 10:36:58	will xagusd reach 66 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x797fd2…
07-15 10:25:31	will xagusd reach 68 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x61de05…
07-15 08:24:56	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xa00c12…
07-15 08:15:17	will spy reach 790 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x7125d1…
07-15 07:30:31	will ng dip to 2 60 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x4ceaa7…
07-15 07:28:25	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x992936…
07-15 06:38:31	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	292	6¢	$18	0xa6140d…
07-15 06:17:40	will wti reach 90 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xa9d91f…
07-15 03:57:52	will ethereum dip to 1300 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x89ee7d…
07-01 21:45:53	will coin reach 185 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	40	44¢	$18	0x5dd946…
07-01 20:07:16	will spy dip to 730 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0x2a776f…
07-01 20:05:41	will hood reach 130 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x686af0…
07-01 20:00:46	will hood reach 130 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xeacd17…
07-01 19:55:04	will coin reach 185 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x675144…
07-01 16:05:25	will wti dip to 10 in july 2026 851	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x90a218…
07-01 16:05:14	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xc0c9d7…
07-01 15:57:13	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0xbdd8c1…
07-01 15:56:52	will wti dip to 10 in july 2026 851	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x412d01…
07-01 14:52:40	will wti reach 95 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x83642e…
07-01 03:42:01	will wti reach 100 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x4674c0…
07-01 03:33:52	will wti reach 100 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x05fcbe…
06-30 20:27:58	will bitcoin dip to 53k on june 30	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x008659…
06-30 14:24:40	will bitcoin reach 66k on june 30	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x01fad8…
06-30 04:40:10	will xauusd dip to 3750 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0x77eed0…
06-30 04:00:55	ethereum above 1800 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9e3cd7…
06-30 03:58:32	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x2bd668…
06-30 03:22:19	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xca896f…
06-30 02:13:29	will xauusd dip to 3750 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x01d181…
06-29 16:43:11	will ethereum dip to 1400 on june 29	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x45a7a9…
06-29 16:42:16	will ethereum dip to 1350 on june 29	No	BUY	259	100¢	$259	0x602fcc…