Smug-Equal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,742

lifetime

Volume

$8.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 06-09 12:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

79% 96% +$0

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-26 05:56
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 05:36
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-24 17:22
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-26 20:25
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-09 07:09
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
Will Mikes Evans play for Tennessee Titans in 2026-27?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-10 06:11
Will Mikes Evans play for Seattle Seahawks in 2026-27?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-10 06:11
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-23 13:53
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
f1 chinese grand prix sprint winner russell 2026 03 13	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-14 05:27
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 01:47
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$10	5	5	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
mlb sf cin 2026 04 16 spread away 2pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-16 19:14
cs2 leo2 ww 2026 02 27 game1	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-27 15:03
cs2 bmb csdiil 2026 02 25	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-25 19:16
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 27c	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-25 05:20
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Basquet Club Andorra	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-02 20:55
arg bar cas 2026 04 02 total 2pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-02 20:53
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria	1	$5	5	0	+5	Tatjana Maria	+$0	05-06 10:22
hr1 sla haj 2026 04 17 total 3pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-17 18:13
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 8 2026 15corhigher	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-08 11:25
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	1	$5	5	0	+5	Texas Rangers	+$0	05-10 21:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 12:20:12	itf khayndr aydemir 2026 06 09	Defne Aydemir	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5d48ec…
06-09 00:21:16	col1 atn cjf 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	CDPJuniorFC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8774e1…
06-08 21:37:15	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x59a474…
06-08 12:03:43	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xae1c65…
06-07 23:59:19	lol lll vks 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf72992…
06-07 21:58:15	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x069ab3…
06-07 19:14:03	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set handicap away 1pt5	Cobolli	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x10d8eb…
06-07 18:11:13	itf souz fullana 2026 06 07	Luiza Fullana	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x27725a…
06-07 17:39:00	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc87414…
06-07 16:59:30	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x319e42…
06-07 00:58:55	crint can2 usa3 2026 06 06	USA	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd5d40c…
06-06 23:09:45	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3f078c…
06-06 14:19:18	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x33ada1…
06-06 11:32:34	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x359ffc…
06-06 11:32:30	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x21f019…
06-06 02:51:27	mlb wsh ari 2026 06 05 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x43b569…
06-05 17:13:57	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set totals 3pt5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa87626…
06-05 15:45:13	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe51278…
06-05 01:24:01	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e5fa7…
06-03 16:51:40	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x537660…
06-03 16:04:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x43819b…
06-03 04:48:16	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x759675…
06-02 22:56:05	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x704913…
06-02 15:24:30	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x44abe9…
06-02 14:02:11	Will Pepe be included in Portugal's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x92604b…
06-01 20:47:49	Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x81b470…
06-01 18:08:31	Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xafbabf…
06-01 01:16:34	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2e79f3…
05-31 19:09:29	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3dd40a…
05-31 17:30:08	Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Wang (+1.5)	Cirstea	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ec6a8…
05-31 15:36:43	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2fb3af…
05-31 14:19:36	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55c9be…
05-31 12:12:15	Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2	Nongshim RedForce	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x436603…
05-30 22:09:41	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5111d3…
05-30 16:24:49	Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x747872…
05-30 15:55:11	Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)	NIP	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x763f9f…
05-30 15:51:43	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh	Scotland	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf8adfc…
05-30 14:25:16	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfaa86e…
05-30 07:45:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x076ce5…
05-30 05:36:42	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfd209c…
05-30 04:48:14	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x59a068…
05-29 23:44:54	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf68e1c…
05-29 21:58:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x15427c…
05-29 21:05:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc6e70a…
05-29 21:01:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdde00d…
05-29 20:26:11	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xced20b…
05-29 19:20:06	Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd22b2d…
05-29 13:57:04	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc674c6…
05-29 08:22:56	ITF Tsaghkadzor: Daria Kuznetsova vs Anna Bazderova	Anna Bazderova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfd8b5f…
05-28 17:33:02	Hurkacz vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 40.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x311b12…
05-28 16:52:16	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2109a…
05-28 12:33:00	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc2f6b6…
05-28 03:31:54	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6df85a…
05-28 02:32:34	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x32c697…
05-28 00:14:40	Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)	CR Vasco da Gama	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd3d574…
05-27 19:37:41	Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84b19f…
05-27 17:43:14	Anadolu Efes vs. Turk Telekom	Anadolu Efes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xec6e47…
05-27 07:24:59	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb4cb54…
05-26 20:01:32	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcfb8fb…
05-26 14:03:24	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f1c9a…
05-26 13:17:57	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc018eb…
05-25 19:18:07	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56f79a…
05-25 17:50:25	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x600322…
05-25 08:09:09	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x327571…
05-25 04:48:29	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a3701…
05-25 01:24:37	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x500dcb…
05-24 22:57:07	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6649e3…
05-24 19:25:18	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x89f77d…
05-24 17:22:12	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x31657e…
05-24 16:02:13	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa7ebf2…
05-24 15:29:52	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7462ae…
05-24 08:02:47	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeafc2c…
05-23 22:55:07	Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7bf6c2…
05-23 21:01:38	Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)	Levante UD	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde9ca4…
05-23 16:16:05	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3422ac…
05-23 16:09:09	CSKA Moscow vs. Lokomotiv Kuban	CSKA Moscow	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2d76e6…
05-23 01:24:50	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x819a6e…
05-22 20:37:19	Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd36add…
05-22 17:12:39	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4dcf2f…
05-22 11:51:14	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb9e4d4…
05-21 20:07:43	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x44752b…
05-21 13:39:24	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c95a7…
05-21 11:20:11	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e502b…
05-21 04:32:23	mlb oak laa 2026 05 20 total 13pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x31f758…
05-20 21:43:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x281e73…
05-20 21:22:35	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc73074…
05-20 21:17:32	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x463aa9…
05-20 19:30:00	El Masry SC vs. El Ahly SC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x87c272…
05-20 19:29:25	Lokomotiv Kuban vs. CSKA Moscow	CSKA Moscow	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc38b99…
05-20 19:13:54	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe54600…
05-20 16:45:59	World Championships: Czechia vs. Italy	Czechia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa53932…
05-20 15:47:43	Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)	Yunnan Yukun FC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x03a010…
05-20 11:43:32	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Ugo Blanchet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x86a32d…
05-20 09:47:39	First Blood in Game 1?	T1	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe5b667…
05-20 08:53:26	ITF Wuning: Yuhan Chen vs Yingqun Sun	Yingqun Sun	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x31268d…
05-20 04:04:50	Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 170.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf09111…
05-20 02:09:00	Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f7162…
05-20 01:31:58	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1f1052…
05-19 21:13:57	BC Zenit vs. Unics Kazan	BC Zenit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x53bdfa…
05-19 20:50:09	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x178713…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frigid-Meteorology 0x7970…3710	722	$20.9K	780	06-08 21:55
Snoopy-Daikon 0x81db…466d	721	$7.38K	740	06-08 21:37
Well-Off-Willingness 0x6004…87d4	716	$7.34K	745	06-09 00:21
Sinful-Pepperoni 0x90d5…0376	713	$3.65K	735	06-08 21:37
Tall-Earrings 0x4662…03e9	703	$20.3K	747	06-08 21:58
Automatic-Molding 0x2890…2283	701	$20.2K	756	06-09 00:21
Tragic-Economics 0x5e9d…6a86	698	$39.9K	770	06-06 23:10
Snarling-Screwdriver 0x845b…1737	696	$19.8K	740	06-09 00:21