Double-Oxford-Happening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$351

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.2%

Resolved

331

Trades

848

lifetime

Volume

$8.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-24 08:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

69% 33% -$297

Sports

14% 31% +$24

Politics

13% 20% -$58

Crypto

3% 33% -$7

Tech

1% 0% -$4

Pop-Culture

1% 33% -$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	14	$192	274	274	+0	Yes	-$5	05-13 17:55
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	13	$188	352	352	+0	No	-$6	05-13 18:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$171	568	568	+0	No	-$10	05-13 17:55
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	10	$158	177	177	+0	Yes	-$2	05-13 10:16
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	10	$141	210	210	+0	No	-$8	05-13 18:48
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	6	$131	84	84	+0	Yes	+$3	05-12 15:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	7	$121	995	995	+0	No	-$16	05-12 21:08
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	6	$108	147	147	+0	open	—	05-13 17:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	10	$107	165	165	+0	No	-$3	05-13 18:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$106	619	619	+0	No	-$11	05-13 06:21
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	6	$105	140	140	+0	No	-$1	05-13 18:45
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	6	$95	69	69	+0	No	+$1	05-22 14:10
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	6	$88	145	145	+0	Yes	-$8	05-13 18:10
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	5	$88	80	80	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$12	05-12 18:23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	2	$86	62	62	+0	Andrey Rublev	+$38	05-12 18:22
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffs	8	$86	75	75	+0	paiN Academy	+$37	05-22 16:38
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	6	$69	140	140	+0	No	-$3	05-13 06:21
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	8	$66	55	55	+0	Yes	-$4	05-22 09:47
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	8	$63	61	61	+0	No	-$7	05-20 19:12
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	4	$57	76	76	+0	No	$0	05-19 04:39
Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?	4	$56	38	38	+0	Yes	+$10	05-18 16:18
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	4	$55	58	58	+0	Yes	-$1	05-19 08:59
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs	4	$53	41	41	+0	BIG Academy	+$12	05-18 14:06
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	8	$53	52	52	+0	Yes	-$10	05-22 09:47
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	4	$53	42	42	+0	Seattle Mariners	-$1	05-13 01:09
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs	2	$53	36	36	+0	Wildcard	+$19	05-22 20:40
Palermo FC vs. US Catanzaro 1929: Both Teams to Score	2	$52	41	41	+0	No	+$12	05-20 19:40
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5	2	$51	33	33	+0	Under	+$15	05-22 21:52
LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs	2	$50	32	32	+0	CCG Esports	+$14	05-22 21:53
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$49	64	64	+0	Cavaliers	-$1	05-12 16:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 08:43:49	LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs	Deep Cross Gaming	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x11e84a…
05-24 08:43:44	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	EDward Gaming	SELL	13	64¢	$8	0x399b8e…
05-24 08:43:38	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-05-24?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x07ca0e…
05-24 08:43:05	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?	No	SELL	11	61¢	$7	0x2a3eaa…
05-24 07:26:26	LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs	Deep Cross Gaming	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x820690…
05-24 06:52:05	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	EDward Gaming	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xc0a447…
05-24 04:57:13	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-05-24?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x585670…
05-24 03:37:37	Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x807642…
05-24 03:03:44	Will CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x5f1f4e…
05-24 03:01:33	Will CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0xb0a43b…
05-24 02:43:42	Will CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xe60597…
05-24 02:42:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	39¢	$5	0x3ee204…
05-24 02:25:47	San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x762b60…
05-24 02:12:13	San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xe8a00e…
05-24 02:10:32	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-23?	No	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x601291…
05-24 02:03:51	Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-05-23?	No	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0xc38c85…
05-24 01:43:05	Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xa9ad58…
05-24 01:42:55	Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-23?	No	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x5d159c…
05-24 01:34:53	Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x9c9997…
05-24 01:32:44	Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	G2 Esports	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x79cda9…
05-24 00:56:50	Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-23?	No	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0xc4bfa9…
05-24 00:46:13	Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x48ab5a…
05-24 00:45:20	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0xa4f4c0…
05-24 00:44:35	Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0xf68b1b…
05-24 00:29:04	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xdd8051…
05-24 00:27:15	FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0x12fa78…
05-24 00:22:53	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xa1788d…
05-24 00:22:25	Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5	Under	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x6bdbf8…
05-24 00:06:38	Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5	Under	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x8c30ac…
05-24 00:05:30	Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x41142a…
05-23 23:53:29	Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xbba565…
05-23 23:51:35	Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-23?	No	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x345aca…
05-23 23:48:50	Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-23?	No	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0xa15777…
05-23 22:58:33	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0xb8def2…
05-23 22:56:26	Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x46d01a…
05-23 22:53:52	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x391261…
05-23 21:33:44	Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x382e7b…
05-23 21:30:28	FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x0f89dc…
05-23 21:27:33	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x279e97…
05-23 21:24:52	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?	No	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xa082c1…
05-23 21:22:13	LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner	FlyQuest	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x8df150…
05-23 21:16:41	LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner	FlyQuest	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb9793e…
05-23 21:16:18	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x242602…
05-23 21:15:46	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xe84472…
05-23 21:14:05	Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xf9c15e…
05-23 21:08:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x84ce6b…
05-23 21:08:39	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x285ab7…
05-23 21:02:25	Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xafdd1c…
05-23 20:54:41	Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xe5ecaa…
05-23 20:54:29	Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x399e94…
05-23 20:52:47	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-23?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xf62908…
05-23 20:52:42	Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - XPortal Playoffs	BASEMENT BOYS	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x1ec9c0…
05-23 20:52:33	Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x74e18b…
05-23 20:52:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xcf2dad…
05-23 20:52:21	LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOS	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x61acee…
05-23 20:52:16	Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs	Wildcard	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x5f7c93…
05-23 20:52:11	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x54e2e4…
05-23 20:32:36	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x0e381d…
05-23 20:11:21	Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - XPortal Playoffs	BASEMENT BOYS	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x822d13…
05-23 19:31:02	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x0c564f…
05-23 19:29:07	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x5ee4a7…
05-23 19:23:01	Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0x5f12f6…
05-23 19:02:25	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x753261…
05-23 19:00:09	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffs	Alliance	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xa2cd4b…
05-23 17:48:29	Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-05-23?	No	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0xbb6d21…
05-23 17:37:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x01ee17…
05-23 17:36:32	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Falcons	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x3a7766…
05-23 17:36:00	Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky	Chicago Sky	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0xc3d384…
05-23 17:28:50	Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs	Wildcard	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0xdc9e39…
05-23 17:24:24	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xb98164…
05-23 17:23:50	Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x59a89a…
05-23 17:20:55	Will El Ittihad SC El Iskandary win on 2026-05-23?	No	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x7036dc…
05-23 17:04:53	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x5db964…
05-23 17:04:35	Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x0e46dc…
05-23 16:34:05	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Karmine Corp	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0x963a56…
05-23 16:32:43	Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xab43bf…
05-23 16:32:09	Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky	Chicago Sky	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x7eadbe…
05-23 16:29:00	Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x177824…
05-23 16:22:23	Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xaa7876…
05-23 16:10:22	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Karmine Corp	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0xaa8725…
05-23 16:08:53	Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffs	Sashi Esport	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xe2ce1a…
05-23 15:54:23	Will NK Varaždin win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x06b008…
05-23 15:53:50	Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?	No	SELL	24	65¢	$16	0xae95ea…
05-23 15:51:11	Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - XPortal Playoffs	BASEMENT BOYS	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x85f6e9…
05-23 15:24:21	Will El Ittihad SC El Iskandary win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x886ef7…
05-23 15:15:09	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffs	Alliance	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x1b3e21…
05-23 15:11:34	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner	G2 Esports	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x0da4cd…
05-23 14:35:56	LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOS	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x71ee47…
05-23 14:33:11	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0xad731e…
05-23 14:16:48	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	PARIVISION	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0x464356…
05-23 14:02:25	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xd2d518…
05-23 13:54:13	Will NK Varaždin win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x4a6bb7…
05-23 13:27:02	Will FC Zlín win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0x2d0bd8…
05-23 13:26:55	Will FK Mladá Boleslav win on 2026-05-23?	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x50ce54…
05-23 13:26:34	Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-23?	No	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x9cd1e4…
05-23 13:26:15	Will FC Baník Ostrava win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x72e982…
05-23 13:25:40	Counter-Strike: Omega vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B	Omega	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xae1e91…
05-23 13:21:30	Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xf125e9…
05-23 13:11:40	LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Playoffs	MVK Esports	SELL	17	61¢	$10	0x383ada…
05-23 12:57:07	Will FK Mladá Boleslav win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x67c5c8…