Double-Oxford-Happening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved

Trades

535

lifetime

Volume

$5.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-24 08:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

65% 44% +$23

Sports

20% 15% $-12

Politics

12% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	13	$188	352	352	+0	open	—	05-13 18:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$171	568	568	+0	open	—	05-13 17:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	7	$121	995	995	+0	open	—	05-12 21:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$106	619	619	+0	open	—	05-13 06:21
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	6	$105	140	140	+0	open	—	05-13 18:45
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	6	$95	69	69	+0	open	—	05-22 14:10
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	6	$88	145	145	+0	open	—	05-13 18:10
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	5	$88	80	80	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$12	05-12 18:23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	2	$86	62	62	+0	Andrey Rublev	+$38	05-12 18:22
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffs	8	$86	75	75	+0	open	—	05-22 16:38
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	8	$66	55	55	+0	open	—	05-22 09:47
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	8	$63	61	61	+0	open	—	05-20 19:12
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs	4	$53	41	41	+0	open	—	05-18 14:06
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	4	$53	42	42	+0	Seattle Mariners	$-1	05-13 01:09
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs	2	$53	36	36	+0	open	—	05-22 20:40
Palermo FC vs. US Catanzaro 1929: Both Teams to Score	2	$52	41	41	+0	open	—	05-20 19:40
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5	2	$51	33	33	+0	open	—	05-22 21:52
LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs	2	$50	32	32	+0	open	—	05-22 21:53
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$49	64	64	+0	Cavaliers	$-1	05-12 16:22
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry	2	$48	54	54	+0	open	—	05-20 13:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$46	357	357	+0	open	—	05-12 16:22
Bengaluru 2: Maximus Jones vs Amit Vales	2	$46	34	34	+0	Maximus Jones	+$21	05-13 11:04
Valorant: 9z Team vs Leviatán Academy (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season	2	$45	31	31	+0	open	—	05-18 20:53
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)	2	$45	28	28	+0	open	—	05-21 10:06
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	4	$45	35	35	+0	open	—	05-22 23:49
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	4	$44	135	135	+0	Cleveland Guardians	$-4	05-13 18:08
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	2	$42	24	24	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	+$7	05-13 01:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	4	$40	28	28	+0	open	—	05-13 18:45
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	4	$39	43	43	+0	open	—	05-13 18:45
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$39	29	29	+0	open	—	05-22 23:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 08:43:49	LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs	Deep Cross Gaming	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x11e84a…
05-24 08:43:44	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	EDward Gaming	SELL	13	64¢	$8	0x399b8e…
05-24 07:26:26	LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs	Deep Cross Gaming	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x820690…
05-24 06:52:05	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	EDward Gaming	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xc0a447…
05-24 02:42:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	39¢	$5	0x3ee204…
05-24 02:25:47	San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x762b60…
05-24 02:12:13	San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xe8a00e…
05-24 01:32:44	Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	G2 Esports	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x79cda9…
05-24 00:45:20	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0xa4f4c0…
05-24 00:44:35	Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0xf68b1b…
05-24 00:27:15	FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0x12fa78…
05-24 00:22:53	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xa1788d…
05-24 00:22:25	Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5	Under	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x6bdbf8…
05-24 00:06:38	Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5	Under	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x8c30ac…
05-24 00:05:30	Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x41142a…
05-23 22:58:33	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0xb8def2…
05-23 22:56:26	Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x46d01a…
05-23 22:53:52	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x391261…
05-23 21:30:28	FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x0f89dc…
05-23 21:27:33	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x279e97…
05-23 21:22:13	LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner	FlyQuest	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x8df150…
05-23 21:16:41	LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner	FlyQuest	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb9793e…
05-23 21:16:18	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x242602…
05-23 21:15:46	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xe84472…
05-23 21:14:05	Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xf9c15e…
05-23 21:08:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x84ce6b…
05-23 21:08:39	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x285ab7…
05-23 20:52:42	Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - XPortal Playoffs	BASEMENT BOYS	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x1ec9c0…
05-23 20:52:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xcf2dad…
05-23 20:52:21	LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOS	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x61acee…
05-23 20:52:16	Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs	Wildcard	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x5f7c93…
05-23 20:11:21	Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - XPortal Playoffs	BASEMENT BOYS	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x822d13…
05-23 19:23:01	Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0x5f12f6…
05-23 19:00:09	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffs	Alliance	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xa2cd4b…
05-23 17:37:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x01ee17…
05-23 17:36:32	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Falcons	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x3a7766…
05-23 17:36:00	Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky	Chicago Sky	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0xc3d384…
05-23 17:28:50	Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs	Wildcard	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0xdc9e39…
05-23 16:34:05	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Karmine Corp	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0x963a56…
05-23 16:32:09	Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky	Chicago Sky	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x7eadbe…
05-23 16:22:23	Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xaa7876…
05-23 16:10:22	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Karmine Corp	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0xaa8725…
05-23 16:08:53	Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffs	Sashi Esport	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xe2ce1a…
05-23 15:51:11	Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - XPortal Playoffs	BASEMENT BOYS	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x85f6e9…
05-23 15:15:09	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffs	Alliance	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x1b3e21…
05-23 15:11:34	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner	G2 Esports	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x0da4cd…
05-23 14:35:56	LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOS	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x71ee47…
05-23 14:33:11	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0xad731e…
05-23 14:16:48	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	PARIVISION	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0x464356…
05-23 13:25:40	Counter-Strike: Omega vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B	Omega	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xae1e91…
05-23 13:11:40	LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Playoffs	MVK Esports	SELL	17	61¢	$10	0x383ada…
05-23 12:24:39	World Championships: Latvia vs. USA	USA	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x045521…
05-23 12:19:47	Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x894efd…
05-23 12:05:50	Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffs	Sashi Esport	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf05fd9…
05-23 12:05:13	LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Playoffs	MVK Esports	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0xda7c20…
05-23 12:00:16	Counter-Strike: Omega vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B	Omega	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x61ec84…
05-23 11:53:44	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x8ee4ff…
05-23 11:40:10	Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs	FOKUS	SELL	12	27¢	$3	0x71b41d…
05-23 10:57:23	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0x3ce042…
05-23 10:57:21	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xf91682…
05-23 10:52:25	World Championships: Latvia vs. USA	USA	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x8cf150…
05-23 10:48:34	Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs	FOKUS	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xb0f1b3…
05-23 10:44:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x821f6f…
05-23 10:41:54	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xaabdb6…
05-23 10:23:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x6aaba4…
05-23 10:22:07	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	MIBR	SELL	36	23¢	$8	0x8f6041…
05-23 09:56:22	Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2	DRX	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0x4e5ce7…
05-23 09:53:27	Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2	DRX	SELL	21	39¢	$8	0x517e07…
05-23 09:50:27	LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Playoffs	MVK Esports	BUY	34	45¢	$15	0x3fc113…
05-23 09:08:18	Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2	DRX	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x1dd983…
05-23 07:55:07	LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In	Team WE	SELL	29	39¢	$11	0x46c567…
05-23 06:44:08	LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In	Team WE	BUY	29	58¢	$17	0xfd7999…
05-23 06:37:50	LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner	Team WE	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x128e14…
05-23 06:37:46	LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner	Team WE	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xbfa8af…
05-23 06:10:56	Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. Júbilo Iwata: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x28db7b…
05-23 05:26:50	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	31	50¢	$16	0x266964…
05-23 04:05:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x252122…
05-23 03:28:48	Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm	Connecticut Sun	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0x94f288…
05-23 00:16:51	Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	NRG	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0x6ff6e3…
05-23 00:11:20	LoL: Supernova vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs	Supernova	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x097793…
05-22 23:53:29	Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5	Under	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x9a1faa…
05-22 23:53:28	Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5	Under	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x6b5abf…
05-22 23:49:49	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	SELL	16	69¢	$11	0x818139…
05-22 23:48:18	Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 168.5	Over	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0x04e4ba…
05-22 23:46:59	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	13	28¢	$4	0x8473cd…
05-22 23:24:30	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	29	69¢	$20	0xba12de…
05-22 23:21:00	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x7561bd…
05-22 23:15:29	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0xc4079c…
05-22 22:46:00	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0xe926a5…
05-22 22:36:21	Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner	Leviatán Esports	SELL	28	25¢	$7	0x0934ee…
05-22 22:31:06	Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner	Leviatán Esports	BUY	28	56¢	$16	0xb92ca9…
05-22 22:05:29	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xdbbd8b…
05-22 21:53:05	LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs	CCG Esports	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x20b078…
05-22 21:53:02	Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffs	EYEBALLERS	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0df189…
05-22 21:52:51	Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x6bddb5…
05-22 21:50:40	Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0xf19ded…
05-22 21:44:50	Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x15f7bd…
05-22 21:41:43	Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 168.5	Over	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x81b993…
05-22 21:36:00	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x503ae2…
05-22 21:11:02	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x9813c3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Conscious-Outfielder 0xdb83…1e50	132	$120.9K	3,165	05-24 08:55
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	129	$49.7K	14,154	05-31 21:11
Trivial-Player 0xbfd7…f0bf	117	$88.6K	1,317	05-24 09:29
Sorrowful-Bellows 0xa9f5…937f	114	$35.4K	1,106	05-24 10:46
Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5	112	$273.9K	10,548	05-24 08:56
Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef	109	$240.0K	2,407	05-24 05:21
Radiant-Chimpanzee 0x5210…bd53	108	$3.01K	626	05-23 17:20
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	107	$976.5K	7,104	05-24 02:31