Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
75.3%
Resolved
9
Trades
32
lifetime
Volume
$434
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$181
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 18:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
55% 83% +$31
Politics
25%
Sports
16% 67% $-23
Crypto
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +91 $33 32¢ $29 $-3 05-13 06:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes -52 $-16 55¢ $-29 $-13 05-12 09:17
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? No -23 $-12 100¢ $-23 $-11 05-13 17:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Yes +49 $18 36¢ $18 $-0 05-12 16:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -55 $-16 29¢ $-16 +$1 05-13 06:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes +191 $17 $12 $-5 05-12 16:27
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? No +29 $12 42¢ $12 $-0 05-13 06:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +105 $15 10¢ $10 $-5 05-13 16:22
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes -32 $-15 28¢ $-9 +$6 05-13 06:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? Yes -13 $-7 55¢ $-7 $-1 05-13 18:47
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes +12 $7 58¢ $7 $-0 05-13 16:32
Starmer out by May 31, 2026? Yes -44 $-11 14¢ $-6 +$5 05-13 18:47
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? Yes -54 $-16 $-3 +$13 05-12 19:55