Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,189
lifetime
Volume
$15.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$217
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 07-21 00:00
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
57%
Other
41%
Crypto
1%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +104 $88 86¢ $90 +$2 06-11 19:24
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +77 $66 90¢ $69 +$3 07-20 21:32
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +55 $34 66¢ $36 +$3 06-11 19:47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +39 $8 24¢ $9 +$1 07-17 12:38
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +18 $7 36¢ $7 $-0 07-20 21:08
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 88¢ $-4 $-0 07-15 03:52
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? No -3 $-3 99¢ $-3 $-0 07-15 03:52