Musty-Resist — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$385

Unrealized P&L

-$4.06K

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,267 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$4.38K

$467.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$369

Open exposure

$2.04K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-14 16:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 138 days

Categories

Politics

84% 53% +$3,659

Other

10% 48% -$882

Sports

6% 85% +$1,294

Crypto

0% 38% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+7,579	$5,281	19¢	$1.4K	-$3,834	11-11 19:28
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	No	+974	$424	24¢	$230	-$194	11-14 16:03
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?	No	+418	$88	52¢	$217	+$129	11-14 16:00
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+481	$250	24¢	$114	-$136	11-14 16:03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	+300	$27	8¢	$23	-$5	11-14 16:11
Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	+761	$28	1¢	$5	-$23	11-09 07:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	28	$20.5K	12,143	12,143	+0	No	-$345	04-15 21:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	21	$20.1K	11,496	11,496	+0	No	+$175	05-13 08:56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	34	$18.6K	11,566	11,566	+0	No	+$260	04-28 14:31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	21	$14.5K	8,729	8,729	+0	No	+$532	05-28 16:12
israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	21	$13.4K	7,743	7,743	+0	No	+$1,315	04-13 12:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	5	$12.8K	6,948	6,948	+0	Yes	+$292	06-16 10:30
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	10	$11.9K	6,676	6,676	+0	No	+$558	04-18 08:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	7	$11.1K	7,281	7,281	+0	Yes	-$267	06-10 11:45
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	15	$11.1K	9,194	9,194	+0	Yes	+$906	05-22 21:58
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	9	$9.8K	5,616	5,616	+0	No	-$303	05-25 22:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	16	$8.9K	6,277	6,277	+0	No	-$247	05-24 14:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	5	$8.8K	4,618	4,618	+0	No	+$455	05-01 05:34
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$8.1K	4,067	4,067	+0	No	+$16	04-01 05:05
internet access restored in iran by april 30 2026	22	$8.1K	4,476	4,476	+0	No	+$115	04-28 10:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	28	$6.7K	8,299	720	+7,579	open	—	11-11 19:28
israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	12	$6.6K	3,879	3,879	+0	No	+$109	08-18 17:10
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	7	$6.3K	3,380	3,380	+0	Yes	+$106	04-21 16:59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	8	$6.0K	5,408	2,416	+2,993	Yes	+$823	06-14 20:36
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	17	$5.4K	4,020	4,020	+0	Yes	+$292	04-16 15:44
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?	7	$5.3K	4,431	1,015	+3,416	Yes	-$7	04-09 18:43
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	3	$5.2K	2,824	2,554	+270	Yes	-$78	05-25 07:46
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	4	$5.0K	2,566	2,566	+0	Yes	+$37	04-10 13:05
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$5.0K	2,820	2,820	+0	No	+$162	07-15 20:55
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?	2	$4.7K	2,462	2,462	+0	No	+$38	08-02 11:36
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	8	$4.6K	2,622	2,622	+0	No	+$165	03-27 04:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	4	$4.5K	2,356	2,356	+0	No	+$192	05-04 17:14
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	16	$4.3K	5,174	1,139	+4,035	No	+$698	03-27 04:24
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	2	$4.0K	2,248	2,248	+0	No	+$42	05-25 20:56
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	2	$4.0K	2,116	2,116	+0	No	+$16	05-11 04:42
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	13	$3.9K	2,992	2,992	+0	No	+$25	01-30 14:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 16:11:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	BUY	300	9¢	$27	0x4f26a7…
11-14 16:10:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18?	No	SELL	1,113	2¢	$25	0x933ba3…
11-14 16:03:40	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	868	53¢	$462	0x9b6720…
11-14 16:03:13	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	481	52¢	$250	0xd71b0e…
11-14 16:02:05	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,095	54¢	$591	0x3aadcd…
11-14 16:01:05	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30?	No	SELL	409	33¢	$135	0x43dfba…
11-14 16:00:55	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	106	53¢	$56	0x25e2cc…
11-14 16:00:40	Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	418	60¢	$250	0xa73537…
11-14 15:59:50	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	SELL	510	61¢	$311	0xc1882d…
11-12 14:07:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18?	No	BUY	462	4¢	$21	0x12f5ad…
11-12 14:06:18	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?	Yes	SELL	171	11¢	$20	0x699fad…
11-12 13:52:37	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	SELL	566	0¢	$2	0x98ddc3…
11-12 08:45:15	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x24bb13…
11-12 08:45:00	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0xfffe1c…
11-12 08:44:43	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	579	49¢	$287	0xed4250…
11-12 08:33:31	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	66	48¢	$32	0x8bddd1…
11-12 08:32:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	357	9¢	$32	0xfafea4…
11-11 19:28:30	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?	Yes	BUY	171	29¢	$49	0x44ef7f…
11-11 19:28:00	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0xd71618…
11-11 19:27:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	152	65¢	$99	0x58b16c…
11-11 17:35:33	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x3581aa…
11-11 07:26:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18?	No	BUY	651	4¢	$25	0x59b301…
11-11 06:38:39	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	BUY	510	49¢	$250	0x2b6be0…
11-11 06:31:39	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30?	No	BUY	409	33¢	$135	0x0bc33a…
11-11 06:30:01	Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	1,307	50¢	$648	0x7026f0…
11-09 18:31:57	Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	173	57¢	$99	0x0d3080…
11-09 13:50:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	41¢	$38	0xaf650e…
11-09 13:50:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	577	7¢	$38	0xb98e31…
11-09 13:09:43	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	40¢	$40	0xe2b747…
11-09 11:25:10	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 8?	No	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x34ba09…
11-09 11:24:24	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 9?	No	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x9ef0be…
11-09 10:29:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	577	4¢	$21	0x47821c…
11-09 07:54:34	Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	761	4¢	$28	0x5610c7…
11-08 21:13:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0xc54f5d…
11-08 08:16:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	261	67¢	$175	0xe20d55…
11-08 08:15:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	34¢	$75	0x297c0c…
11-07 21:57:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	682	66¢	$450	0x122156…
11-07 06:58:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	180	5¢	$9	0x99bba6…
11-07 06:51:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	653	5¢	$36	0xc014b3…
11-07 06:13:10	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	523	48¢	$250	0x0a9016…
11-07 05:59:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	41¢	$70	0x4d9662…
11-07 00:12:22	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	SELL	278	95¢	$264	0xa252e7…
11-07 00:11:49	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	SELL	678	85¢	$576	0x52c3b8…
11-07 00:10:12	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	SELL	156	85¢	$133	0x3bb96e…
11-06 22:22:21	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	SELL	370	60¢	$222	0x46ddaf…
11-06 21:55:27	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	429	6¢	$24	0x16b503…
11-06 21:55:06	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	238	63¢	$150	0xcb5587…
11-06 19:28:31	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	510	19¢	$97	0x7d8928…
11-06 19:28:13	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	161	60¢	$97	0x1dc2d1…
11-05 23:52:31	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026?	No	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0x165dfb…
11-05 22:10:55	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x454c57…
11-05 22:09:33	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	472	18¢	$85	0xe30689…
11-05 22:09:13	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	850	23¢	$191	0x5ddd79…
11-05 22:07:51	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x8ac196…
11-05 22:07:43	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	500	17¢	$85	0xf2f8ae…
11-05 22:07:25	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	850	23¢	$192	0xf5b4a5…
10-19 11:09:44	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	10¢	$6	0x315a08…
10-18 12:35:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	651	7¢	$46	0x7a0e82…
10-18 12:35:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	SELL	227	3¢	$6	0xe09c8a…
10-18 12:34:56	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	240	19¢	$46	0xe118ea…
10-17 08:47:53	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	34¢	$46	0x3c9798…
10-17 08:47:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	SELL	676	3¢	$20	0x0da067…
10-17 08:47:26	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	82	32¢	$26	0x231339…
10-16 19:55:02	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	338	7¢	$25	0xd0303e…
10-16 19:54:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	338	7¢	$25	0x90b678…
10-16 19:54:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0xe9a586…
10-16 18:28:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x1b5e4c…
10-16 18:27:49	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	20¢	$48	0xb72b46…
10-16 18:27:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	SELL	1,089	6¢	$66	0x53b9e5…
10-16 18:27:26	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	SELL	1,329	6¢	$82	0xe0276d…
10-16 15:47:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	82	31¢	$25	0x88f7d4…
10-16 15:47:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	626	4¢	$27	0x6dfcf0…
10-16 15:47:00	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	267	20¢	$53	0x0690bd…
10-16 15:37:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	1,089	5¢	$50	0xee4914…
10-16 15:37:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	702	4¢	$31	0xf1c185…
10-16 15:36:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	233	35¢	$82	0x6cdd8a…
10-15 20:51:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	233	37¢	$86	0x8aa7de…
10-15 20:51:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	SELL	1,382	6¢	$86	0xc134cf…
10-15 16:58:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	1,382	6¢	$90	0xb653a0…
10-15 16:58:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	395	23¢	$90	0x38e3ba…
10-10 20:56:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	412	7¢	$28	0x52df81…
10-10 20:55:58	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	688	4¢	$28	0x827b71…
10-09 08:53:03	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	327	28¢	$90	0x778da5…
10-09 08:18:37	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	24¢	$97	0x53a95a…
10-09 05:50:48	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	32¢	$54	0x2dd71c…
10-09 05:50:35	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	411	14¢	$58	0xe04ad4…
10-08 22:28:15	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	411	11¢	$45	0xa34565…
10-08 22:28:02	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	5¢	$50	0xfdbd9d…
10-08 18:09:23	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	698	6¢	$39	0x97f9df…
10-08 18:09:06	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	17¢	$27	0x03bdec…
10-08 18:09:00	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	339	4¢	$15	0xcc26b3…
10-08 12:27:41	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,780	6¢	$98	0x20bdb8…
10-08 12:27:09	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	471	22¢	$104	0x84c7db…
10-06 19:28:23	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	338	12¢	$41	0x95ef2b…
10-06 19:11:18	Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xaadb64…
10-06 18:30:12	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	15¢	$25	0xb29d0a…
10-06 17:50:15	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	339	6¢	$20	0x50c8d0…
10-06 15:23:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	50¢	$100	0x22ec27…
10-06 14:47:05	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	290	26¢	$75	0xe74cb7…
10-06 14:46:48	Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	265	28¢	$75	0x8cc3db…