Realized P&L
-$187
Unrealized P&L
-$54
Hit rate
24.1%
Resolved
40
Trades
627
lifetime
Volume
$11.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$102
12 positions
First seen
2026-09-03
last 09-28 12:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
88% 19% -$131
Politics
7% 0% -$53
Pop-Culture
4% 0% -$2
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +42 $37 76¢ $31 -$5 09-25 16:08
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +35 $20 77¢ $27 +$7 09-23 10:54
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +24 $22 89¢ $21 -$1 09-18 21:42
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +41 $19 24¢ $10 -$8 09-24 20:34
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +35 $23 23¢ $8 -$15 09-26 06:34
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes +24 $4 11¢ $3 -$2 09-18 15:08
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +1 $1 75¢ $1 $0 09-26 06:09
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $0 09-20 07:45
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +0 $6 77¢ $0 -$5 09-19 01:35
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? No +1 $4 25¢ $0 -$4 09-25 16:44
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +0 $19 38¢ $0 -$19 09-09 10:33
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? No +0 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 09-13 13:41