Neat-Anarchist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$58

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$311

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 00:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% +$58

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$70	77	5	+72	Up	+$8	05-04 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$48	52	0	+52	Up	+$4	05-04 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	5	$36	66	0	+66	Down	+$30	05-05 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$21	23	0	+23	Down	+$2	05-04 23:34
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$18	18	0	+18	Up	+$1	05-04 21:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	2	$16	0	19	-19	Down	$-2	05-04 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$14	15	0	+15	Up	+$1	05-04 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$11	14	0	+14	Down	+$3	05-04 20:01
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$11	12	0	+12	Down	+$1	05-04 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$10	7	18	-11	Up	+$6	05-04 20:24
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$7	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-04 21:19
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$7	8	0	+8	Down	+$1	05-04 20:19
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$6	0	17	-17	Down	+$6	05-04 21:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-04 23:09
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-04 22:59
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$5	7	0	+7	Up	$-0	05-04 20:44
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-04 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-04 23:59
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-05 00:05
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	$-1	05-05 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$1	0	3	-3	Down	$-1	05-04 21:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Up	+$1	05-04 21:39
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$1	1	1	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$1	0	10	-10	Down	+$1	05-04 22:29
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Up	$-0	05-04 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Down	$-0	05-04 22:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$0	4	0	+4	Down	$-0	05-04 22:59
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$0	3	0	+3	Down	$-0	05-04 21:09
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$0	4	0	+4	Down	$-0	05-04 23:24
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$0	4	0	+4	Up	$-0	05-04 23:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 00:09:46	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xab6c82…
05-05 00:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x564a96…
05-05 00:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x04443b…
05-05 00:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x15893f…
05-05 00:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x8da146…
05-05 00:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0xb1eb1a…
05-05 00:05:04	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb7ceae…
05-05 00:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xf53d80…
05-05 00:04:48	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x1f493e…
05-04 23:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x5bb9c7…
05-04 23:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x4a2d98…
05-04 23:54:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xeaed4a…
05-04 23:44:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	57¢	$1	0x3141a9…
05-04 23:44:48	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0xada3cb…
05-04 23:44:48	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x12f244…
05-04 23:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0xfe0b1e…
05-04 23:29:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x9d9589…
05-04 23:24:48	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x1f30b0…
05-04 23:14:48	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x572610…
05-04 23:09:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa39227…
05-04 23:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x0d3603…
05-04 22:59:48	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x059654…
05-04 22:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0x82eb6d…
05-04 22:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf47828…
05-04 22:49:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	15	84¢	$12	0xbdba48…
05-04 22:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x195c64…
05-04 22:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xca7cee…
05-04 22:39:48	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xbf53b0…
05-04 22:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xc7334c…
05-04 22:09:48	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x27c850…
05-04 21:59:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x34be21…
05-04 21:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x18d74e…
05-04 21:59:48	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x0e994b…
05-04 21:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x6aa86a…
05-04 21:54:48	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xd8ee8e…
05-04 21:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x0b1f70…
05-04 21:44:48	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xbf545d…
05-04 21:44:34	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0xdcf7e0…
05-04 21:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	77	91¢	$70	0xdbfd3a…
05-04 21:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x280bcd…
05-04 21:39:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x51d9a3…
05-04 21:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x5b0a4d…
05-04 21:19:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0xd25b95…
05-04 21:14:48	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x7ea093…
05-04 21:09:48	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x8975a9…
05-04 21:09:48	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$18	0x659bcd…
05-04 21:04:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x208da3…
05-04 20:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x058c2b…
05-04 20:44:48	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x923bb4…
05-04 20:44:48	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x4a1cd1…
05-04 20:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0x851f98…
05-04 20:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd60833…
05-04 20:19:20	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x4e4bb4…
05-04 20:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0xdaabef…
05-04 20:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	52	92¢	$48	0xb50ead…
05-04 20:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x69f3a9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	15	$871	29	05-05 00:05
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	12	$891	36	05-05 00:49
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	9	$1.34K	30	05-05 00:09
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	8	$640	11	05-05 00:09
Hidden-Plywood 0xee34…4f48	7	$605	12	05-05 00:09
Slow-Minute 0xdf0d…9f79	6	$2.38K	6	05-05 00:09
Charming-Tourism 0x57f1…5b0f	6	$910	10	05-04 23:04
United-Designer 0xa2a0…15a1	5	$2.40K	6	05-05 00:09