False-Birdbath — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$34

Unrealized P&L

-$56

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

15 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$399

$399 lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 21:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up		+95	$59	4¢	$3	$-56	05-05 21:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$59	95	0	+95	open	—	05-05 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$49	39	47	-8	open	—	05-05 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$44	36	36	+0	open	—	05-05 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	1	$30	55	0	+55	open	—	05-05 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$30	45	0	+45	Up	+$15	05-04 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$30	53	0	+53	open	—	05-05 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$30	50	0	+50	open	—	05-05 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$30	50	0	+50	Up	+$20	05-05 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	1	$30	50	0	+50	open	—	05-05 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$30	37	0	+37	open	—	05-05 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$21	0	49	-49	open	—	05-05 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	1	$18	0	43	-43	open	—	05-05 17:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 21:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	47	62¢	$29	0x803968…
05-05 21:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	47	63¢	$30	0x267497…
05-05 20:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	79¢	$30	0x294d98…
05-05 19:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	36	39¢	$14	0xa65d30…
05-05 19:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	82¢	$30	0x22bac0…
05-05 18:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xed772e…
05-05 18:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	55	54¢	$30	0x81cbc1…
05-05 17:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	43	41¢	$18	0xb6d241…
05-05 16:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	49	43¢	$21	0xc61e0f…
05-05 14:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0xa8b75e…
05-05 12:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x484b00…
05-05 12:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	47	42¢	$20	0x5d57a1…
05-05 08:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xbf9cc7…
05-05 01:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x902791…
05-04 21:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x2f44e7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	12	$698	57	05-05 21:10
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	11	$3.72K	128	05-05 21:09
Constant-Relation 0x01b7…2eca	11	$729	34	05-05 21:10
Zesty-Mosque 0xdf65…c36d	11	$655	31	05-05 21:10
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	10	$3.17K	73	05-05 20:12
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	10	$2.37K	102	05-05 20:07
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	8	$542	47	05-05 20:12
Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68	7	$658	67	05-05 19:38