Realized P&L
-$140
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
11.3%
Resolved
86
Trades
14,899
lifetime
Volume
$61.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$213
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 06-02 18:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Crypto
77% 46% $-26
Politics
12% 0% $-4
Other
10% 0% $-110
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 782 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Yes -100 $-88 86¢ $-86 +$2 06-02 18:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -320 $-58 18¢ $-59 $-2 05-30 22:39
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +244 $46 22¢ $54 +$7 05-29 09:03
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No -65 $-4 15¢ $-9 $-5 05-28 20:36
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes +60 $9 $5 $-4 05-30 18:27
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? Yes -1 $2 $-0 $-3 05-30 06:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 67¢ $0 +$0 05-29 14:57