Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$386

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

1,702

Trades

4,076

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-12

last 10-20 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 51% -$417

Other

14% 41% -$9

Politics

8% 62% +$40

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes		+1	$0	1¢	$0	$0	07-13 21:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	100	$570	590	590	+0	Yes	+$1	07-14 16:29
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	37	$262	267	267	+0	No	-$2	07-14 16:29
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	42	$260	286	285	+1	No	-$7	07-14 16:29
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	30	$221	205	205	+0	Yes	+$7	07-13 23:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	10	$168	145	115	+30	Yes	-$10	07-14 01:15
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	30	$161	225	145	+80	Yes	+$41	07-13 14:27
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	22	$126	136	136	+0	No	+$0	07-14 16:22
Fed rate hike in 2026?	15	$124	99	99	+0	Yes	$0	07-14 16:29
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	24	$90	197	137	+60	Yes	+$6	07-14 01:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 07:50 UTC	4	$82	153	0	+153	Down	+$11	07-15 07:54
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	12	$77	75	75	+0	No	-$1	07-13 23:25
will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	9	$68	60	60	+0	Yes	-$2	07-14 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 07:35 UTC	5	$62	147	0	+147	Up	+$66	07-15 07:39
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	17	$60	109	109	+0	No	+$2	07-13 23:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	3	$59	50	50	+0	open	—	07-13 23:25
will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	7	$51	60	30	+30	Yes	-$2	07-14 01:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 19:55 UTC	13	$44	100	0	+100	Down	+$6	07-14 19:58
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	6	$42	60	30	+30	No	$0	07-14 01:15
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	3	$37	30	30	+0	No	-$1	07-14 01:15
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	3	$35	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-14 16:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	10	$35	87	87	+0	open	—	07-13 23:25
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	7	$34	45	45	+0	No	+$0	07-13 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 19:35 UTC	9	$34	70	0	+70	Down	-$4	07-14 19:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 19:30 UTC	15	$33	89	0	+89	Down	-$13	07-14 19:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 09:00 UTC	20	$32	1,838	0	+1,838	Up	-$32	07-15 09:04
tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	5	$29	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	07-14 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 20:15 UTC	9	$29	70	0	+70	Down	+$11	07-14 20:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 19:40 UTC	9	$27	60	0	+60	Up	+$3	07-14 19:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 18:45 UTC	6	$25	50	0	+50	Up	+$5	07-14 18:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$25	30	30	+0	No	-$1	07-14 01:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 15:45:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xf00d0d…
10-20 15:18:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x75c463…
10-20 15:18:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x915ab4…
10-20 15:03:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x800b5f…
10-20 14:49:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x79bac1…
10-20 14:47:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x27d000…
10-20 14:34:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xab6582…
10-20 14:27:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x8bd774…
10-20 14:18:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x403bda…
10-20 14:02:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x22d18a…
10-20 14:02:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf58eb5…
10-20 13:48:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x108268…
10-20 13:47:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x369440…
10-20 13:32:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x0b5ac0…
10-20 13:32:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x31aeb2…
10-20 13:18:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa3c0a9…
10-20 13:18:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xf5ffe2…
10-20 13:13:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0xd9d2d4…
10-20 13:03:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x375583…
10-20 13:02:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x54cfc8…
10-20 12:37:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xecded8…
10-20 12:37:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0x674f9d…
10-20 12:37:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4c748c…
10-20 12:18:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x266011…
10-19 20:06:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd6facf…
10-19 19:47:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xbfe1a8…
10-19 19:47:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x795052…
10-19 19:24:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa04152…
10-19 18:52:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x28fad9…
10-19 18:51:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x0e51c9…
10-19 18:34:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0xeeea47…
10-19 18:34:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x2f266f…
10-19 18:33:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x6accde…
10-19 18:19:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd9a051…
10-19 18:18:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2971af…
10-19 18:04:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xae76e2…
10-19 18:03:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8dc21a…
10-19 17:47:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdf6f08…
10-19 17:47:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xcf7327…
10-19 17:36:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xa7eb2c…
10-19 17:32:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd7ebdf…
10-19 17:18:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe98fe1…
10-19 17:18:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xeeb603…
10-19 17:04:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa5a676…
10-19 16:55:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x65f889…
10-19 16:48:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xfff7c6…
10-19 16:36:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x243c16…
10-19 16:34:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x0f12ab…
10-19 16:25:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xf836fc…
10-19 16:23:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x2077d7…
10-19 16:03:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x3928b7…
10-19 16:02:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x24b547…
10-19 15:47:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x879ffd…
10-19 15:47:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x5067ca…
10-19 15:33:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x924589…
10-19 15:21:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x65e39a…
10-19 15:21:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf02e5b…
10-19 15:04:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe07650…
10-19 15:04:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3f8124…
10-19 14:50:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x1097d4…
10-19 14:48:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xcf9389…
10-19 14:34:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x134b43…
10-19 14:33:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1c76e9…
10-19 14:24:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x83af81…
10-19 14:18:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4470f3…
10-19 14:03:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x6a37b9…
10-19 14:02:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xead573…
10-19 13:50:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9ae488…
10-19 13:50:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa91928…
10-19 13:31:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5e7e3b…
10-19 13:31:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x640004…
10-19 12:25:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x7b67cd…
10-19 12:25:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x02ac7e…
10-19 12:17:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x137b93…
10-19 12:06:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xdccc55…
10-19 12:06:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x37e66e…
10-18 19:04:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xd8dab3…
10-18 18:49:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x9904c7…
10-18 18:48:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xd2f5ca…
10-18 18:35:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xe57353…
10-18 18:32:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x641d0d…
10-18 18:32:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x37e176…
10-18 18:20:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x9ac1d0…
10-18 18:20:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x7f54d0…
10-18 18:18:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xcb4383…
10-18 18:17:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x0b2c81…
10-18 18:03:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x522b1e…
10-18 17:49:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xf6c1e1…
10-18 17:48:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xa9175c…
10-18 17:40:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xbfd4e1…
10-18 17:40:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x5e7234…
10-18 17:32:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x4cbf77…
10-18 16:47:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x6242c9…
10-18 16:47:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0xbb943f…
10-18 16:47:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb64d60…
10-18 16:47:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x2e14d7…
10-18 16:17:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x994b1d…
10-18 16:17:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xce7891…
10-18 15:49:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x52386f…
10-18 15:49:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x4be11b…