Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

132

Trades

202

lifetime

Volume

$422

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

4 positions

First seen

2026-10-14

last 10-29 02:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

67% 66% +$11

Crypto

29% 64% -$10

Politics

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+5	$4	96¢	$4	+$0	10-26 20:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	+3	$3	100¢	$3	+$0	10-24 19:06
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+1	$1	68¢	$1	+$0	10-28 20:54
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+1	$1	68¢	$1	+$0	10-28 20:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-10-17?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	10-17 17:39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?	2	$19	11	11	+0	Yes	+$2	10-18 21:09
Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	4	$18	21	21	+0	Yes	-$6	10-18 20:52
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Alanyaspor: Both Teams to Score	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	10-17 18:00
AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Score	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-17 20:44
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	1	$10	13	0	+13	Yes	+$3	10-20 19:55
FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	+$5	10-21 17:32
Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score	1	$8	12	0	+12	Yes	+$4	10-21 18:34
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	1	$8	18	0	+18	No	-$8	10-21 17:30
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-22?	1	$8	11	0	+11	Yes	+$3	10-22 19:06
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	1	$7	9	0	+9	Yes	+$2	10-21 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	3	$7	7	2	+5	Down	+$0	10-29 03:08
Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	1	$7	10	0	+10	Yes	+$3	10-17 16:24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	1	$7	10	0	+10	Yes	+$3	10-17 16:22
ucl rom rma 2026 10 14 btts	1	$7	10	0	+10	Yes	+$3	10-14 14:16
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-22?	1	$7	11	0	+11	Yes	+$4	10-22 19:23
AS Roma vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Both Teams to Score	2	$7	20	0	+20	No	+$0	10-20 20:32
Manchester City FC vs. AEK: Both Teams to Score	1	$6	9	0	+9	Yes	-$6	10-20 20:03
Deportivo Alavés vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Score	2	$6	6	6	+0	Yes	+$4	10-23 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	10-25 23:08
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-28?	1	$5	9	0	+9	No	-$5	10-28 11:17
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	10-24 18:39
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	1	$4	8	0	+8	No	-$4	10-27 11:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	10-25 02:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	10-26 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	10-29 02:37
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-10-17?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	-$4	10-17 21:16
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-10-22?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	-$4	10-22 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	Up	+$0	10-29 02:47
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-10-22?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	10-22 19:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 03:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2881c5…
10-29 03:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x790800…
10-29 03:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x94e885…
10-29 03:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x7a9937…
10-29 03:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x2766e7…
10-29 02:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2ab568…
10-29 02:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf6660d…
10-29 02:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xde5e08…
10-29 02:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x90ddad…
10-29 02:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x4bda20…
10-29 02:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x4d2a5b…
10-29 02:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa9855f…
10-29 02:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xbec0c9…
10-29 02:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1a2750…
10-29 02:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x4c29bf…
10-29 02:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x88c2bd…
10-29 02:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xb517be…
10-29 02:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc2787c…
10-29 00:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x912255…
10-29 00:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xcfabee…
10-29 00:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xc32712…
10-29 00:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x47bc49…
10-28 23:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xed93c0…
10-28 23:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x4420f3…
10-28 23:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x71b3c3…
10-28 23:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x000c01…
10-28 23:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9641f9…
10-28 22:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x18bee3…
10-28 22:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6e495a…
10-28 22:43:19	Nashville SC vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4cb17c…
10-28 22:42:16	Will Nashville SC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x818234…
10-28 22:35:08	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x17adf2…
10-28 22:31:52	Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9c1531…
10-28 22:25:07	Inter Miami CF vs. FC Cincinnati: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x41321d…
10-28 22:24:01	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x135b9e…
10-28 21:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x5eb34d…
10-28 21:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x189f5b…
10-28 21:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x1e571b…
10-28 21:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe90fa6…
10-28 21:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6d7b7a…
10-28 21:19:19	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x3950aa…
10-28 21:17:55	Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x318e5b…
10-28 21:09:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xf851ae…
10-28 20:55:01	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x26f78e…
10-28 20:54:40	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc318c0…
10-28 20:52:05	Guangzhou Open: Claire Liu vs Katerina Siniakova	Katerina Siniakova	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe697ca…
10-28 20:47:55	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x27d046…
10-28 20:45:14	Courmayeur: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Ayla Aksu	Lucrezia Stefanini	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2b4487…
10-28 20:35:50	Genoa CFC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x44a55b…
10-28 20:15:14	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x59a5bd…
10-28 19:51:52	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x37822a…
10-28 15:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x9885a4…
10-28 15:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd2ba31…
10-28 15:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x148141…
10-28 15:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x176cd6…
10-28 11:30:13	Will Persib Bandung win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc5fce0…
10-28 11:28:17	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xfb39c9…
10-28 11:27:08	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf897fd…
10-28 11:24:35	FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6835c0…
10-28 11:17:02	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x305411…
10-28 11:12:55	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xe0e274…
10-28 11:08:58	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson	Alexandra Eala	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xce0cc6…
10-27 13:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8373e9…
10-27 13:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x8ed8b4…
10-27 13:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3c0894…
10-27 13:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xaea429…
10-27 13:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xcd9b96…
10-27 13:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x27f4b7…
10-27 11:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x99368d…
10-27 11:33:38	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$4	0x1f6142…
10-27 00:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xc4891a…
10-27 00:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x107a23…
10-26 23:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x8a934f…
10-26 23:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1fce26…
10-26 23:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x660f1f…
10-26 23:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe7191e…
10-26 23:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x5582c2…
10-26 23:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb32d70…
10-26 23:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdfd0d2…
10-26 23:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x623482…
10-26 23:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1e7e48…
10-26 23:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x0f4835…
10-26 23:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xdba2a9…
10-26 22:55:41	Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x7aea47…
10-26 22:53:38	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc86ad3…
10-26 22:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x5bd460…
10-26 22:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x79b4fd…
10-26 22:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x49e55e…
10-26 22:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x831db6…
10-26 22:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xece7a7…
10-26 22:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa4fae9…
10-26 21:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5c2519…
10-26 21:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4504da…
10-26 21:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xb1151f…
10-26 21:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4ee830…
10-26 21:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xcade06…
10-26 21:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4f5185…
10-26 20:58:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf3f648…
10-26 20:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x184db6…
10-26 20:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6b6f68…