Damaged-Mailbox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$25

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-14 12:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

40% — —

Politics

28% 100% +$0

Sports

20% — —

Crypto

12% 33% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	05-14 05:41
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	No	+5	$5	95¢	$5	+$0	05-13 19:11
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	+5	$5	90¢	$5	$-0	05-14 12:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 12:14:09	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5cd243…
05-14 05:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5217b1…
05-13 21:13:13	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x496b58…
05-13 19:11:39	Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x453404…
05-11 00:15:08	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf24fa5…
05-05 03:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x26e2f1…
05-05 03:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xcddf75…
05-04 20:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfc11a2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521	4	$1.20K	56	05-14 01:30
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	4	$634	43	05-14 06:06
Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507	3	$1.90K	52	05-14 03:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-13 21:13
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 12:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 05:41
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 19:11
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	05-11 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	$-1	05-05 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-04 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$1	0	5	-5	Down	+$1	05-05 03:27