Orange-Register — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$50

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

5.7%

Resolved

Trades

556

lifetime

Volume

$25.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

$176

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-27 08:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

48% — —

Other

45% 0% $-4

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

3% 50% +$54

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+200	$130	68¢	$135	+$5	06-23 07:54
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+200	$56	19¢	$38	$-18	06-04 01:26
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+4	$3	88¢	$3	+$1	06-02 17:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	15	$1.3K	555	905	-350	Down	$-4	05-12 19:08
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$1.2K	800	600	+200	open	—	02-27 11:27
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	19	$737	893	893	+0	open	—	03-25 16:32
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	4	$695	570	570	+0	open	—	03-01 10:59
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	11	$678	628	628	+0	open	—	03-23 16:31
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$678	389	404	-15	open	—	01-27 10:55
spx opens up or down on february 23 2026	9	$632	700	700	+0	open	—	02-22 23:00
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	14	$576	400	400	+0	open	—	02-27 10:37
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	5	$525	400	200	+200	open	—	02-22 22:12
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$454	280	280	+0	open	—	03-27 17:08
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?	10	$453	346	350	-4	open	—	03-05 15:32
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	5	$450	240	240	+0	open	—	02-18 22:00
hood up or down on february 17 2026	2	$424	400	400	+0	open	—	02-17 14:34
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	6	$408	485	485	+0	open	—	03-04 17:04
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	5	$390	240	240	+0	open	—	03-27 17:17
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	2	$376	400	0	+400	open	—	01-18 21:05
will the us invade iran by march 31	3	$354	200	200	+0	open	—	03-27 18:32
iran strike on israel by february 28	9	$352	200	200	+0	open	—	02-17 18:22
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	8	$334	282	282	+0	open	—	02-22 15:41
will paradex launch a token on march 5	4	$333	256	256	+0	open	—	03-05 15:55
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	5	$329	270	270	+0	open	—	02-28 23:13
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$329	280	280	+0	open	—	02-28 21:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$316	200	200	+0	open	—	02-22 13:07
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	5	$306	200	200	+0	open	—	02-18 17:01
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$296	300	0	+300	open	—	02-23 22:38
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	3	$292	299	0	+299	open	—	02-18 21:39
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	4	$291	300	0	+300	open	—	02-18 11:58
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	7	$287	200	200	+0	open	—	02-28 20:49
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	9	$284	297	297	+0	open	—	03-04 17:05
will crude oil cl hit high 70 by end of march 696 795 574 483 322 319 847	6	$269	140	140	+0	open	—	03-02 10:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 08:27:46	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	66	0¢	$0	0x7e4d49…
06-27 08:27:32	will xauusd reach 4700 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x8ee1a1…
06-25 17:11:22	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc45335…
06-23 07:54:40	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xb836bb…
06-23 07:38:40	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	67¢	$35	0x5184e4…
06-23 07:35:29	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	67¢	$32	0xb8104b…
06-20 15:32:29	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x8cbe18…
06-19 13:05:37	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x5153ca…
06-18 18:24:44	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	60	86¢	$52	0x844681…
06-15 22:38:43	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	7	81¢	$5	0x38bf4e…
06-15 20:53:09	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x3ea697…
06-15 14:06:36	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x5ac577…
06-15 11:48:31	will hyperliquid reach 70 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x8c7463…
06-15 11:47:55	will hyperliquid reach 70 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xe14498…
06-15 11:43:12	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	64	43¢	$27	0x3ac2a3…
06-15 11:42:46	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	107	55¢	$59	0x386c6e…
06-15 11:41:54	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x5fb46c…
06-14 12:17:27	will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	41	19¢	$8	0xc7ddaf…
06-10 18:17:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0x38f608…
06-04 11:50:55	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x8dc230…
06-04 01:26:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x073a9d…
06-04 01:25:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	28¢	$26	0x51a3c2…
06-03 14:44:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x435b66…
06-02 17:55:07	Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x810556…
06-02 17:29:23	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xbdb754…
06-02 16:20:12	Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0x3e7f48…
06-02 12:40:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x0afad7…
06-02 10:04:02	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0x8ddf54…
06-02 09:16:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x17619c…
06-01 19:03:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x563143…
05-18 05:12:12	Will Hyperliquid reach $62 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0xf52c7d…
05-18 05:10:08	Will Hyperliquid reach $62 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0xdec1ee…
05-18 05:10:02	Will Hyperliquid reach $62 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xba1b83…
05-18 05:07:56	Will Hyperliquid reach $62 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x865639…
05-18 05:07:42	Will Hyperliquid reach $62 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	37¢	$21	0x6b6df5…
05-18 05:06:55	Will Hyperliquid reach $62 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0xfa46eb…
05-18 05:05:47	Will Hyperliquid reach $62 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x214f99…
05-17 23:45:16	Will Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	39¢	$21	0xbc95a9…
05-17 18:39:13	Robert Lewandowski: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5b00ec…
05-17 13:16:33	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	60	81¢	$49	0x08a3fa…
05-17 12:46:15	Robert Lewandowski: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	43	57¢	$24	0xfccf35…
05-17 12:39:03	SV Darmstadt 98 vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xb34591…
05-17 12:38:35	SV Darmstadt 98 vs. SC Paderborn 07: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	61	70¢	$42	0xaca903…
05-17 12:38:07	SG Dynamo Dresden vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xcecfea…
05-17 12:37:39	SG Dynamo Dresden vs. Holstein Kiel: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0x8f9c55…
05-15 18:37:09	Ollie Watkins: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	58	34¢	$20	0xcd6418…
05-15 18:30:35	Ollie Watkins: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x76dae4…
05-15 18:18:15	Ollie Watkins: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0x22194c…
05-15 17:28:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	19	91¢	$18	0x35aa97…
05-15 17:25:59	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	42	91¢	$38	0x8b8979…
05-15 17:09:30	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0xd8e0d4…
05-15 16:55:02	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xcb36df…
05-13 14:18:45	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x7fa53c…
05-12 19:08:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	405	97¢	$391	0xfe65d0…
05-12 18:34:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x01cd5d…
05-12 18:32:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x89e844…
05-12 18:28:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x3dbafa…
05-12 18:26:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xf9cbf2…
05-12 18:08:12	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x128e2b…
05-12 17:23:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x7d669a…
05-12 17:22:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0xdfa97e…
05-12 17:03:21	Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0409b7…
05-12 17:02:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x972d5d…
05-12 16:57:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x064012…
05-12 16:55:59	Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5	Yes	BUY	45	57¢	$26	0x8d5cdd…
05-12 16:36:58	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xa04767…
05-12 15:44:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	350	97¢	$341	0x3eb2ed…
05-12 15:39:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x50555a…
05-12 15:31:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	88	98¢	$86	0x20ea55…
05-12 15:30:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x06523d…
05-12 15:30:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x9cd293…
05-12 15:26:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xeeef59…
05-12 15:07:29	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa0bc89…
05-09 10:27:19	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x9f1329…
05-08 13:42:45	Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 22.5	Yes	BUY	130	39¢	$51	0xf636b9…
05-08 10:30:08	Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x8cd3a0…
05-04 23:54:16	Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x5ad1a5…
05-04 22:26:08	OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5	Yes	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0xe08dd8…
05-04 22:03:22	Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0xbef008…
05-04 21:54:50	Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x3489cf…
04-28 18:50:50	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xd74008…
04-28 18:28:12	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xad3cd3…
04-28 18:26:54	Luis Diaz: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	26	29¢	$7	0xc1403a…
04-24 21:00:46	Spread: Rockets (-10.5)	Lakers	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x2de0bd…
04-22 16:03:58	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 bar	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xd02a94…
04-22 13:36:46	el1 car pvl 2026 04 03 car	Yes	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x85a5bb…
04-22 12:37:10	lal rso get 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x2da725…
04-20 11:00:46	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	90	98¢	$89	0x36c2f9…
04-07 21:53:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	200	68¢	$136	0x7d24f2…
04-05 11:18:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	60	64¢	$38	0xbaed79…
04-04 21:50:15	nba det phi 2026 04 04 points jalen duren 22pt5	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x61963b…
04-04 17:00:09	nba det phi 2026 04 04 points jalen duren 22pt5	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xec5292…
04-04 16:57:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x0efa95…
04-04 16:53:09	nba det phi 2026 04 04 spread away 2pt5	Pistons	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x6f218d…
04-04 15:50:07	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 btts	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x3b6b5e…
04-04 15:04:15	bun fre bay 2026 04 04 btts	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x494c93…
04-04 14:58:17	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 btts	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x67b9e6…
04-04 14:57:17	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x3f7002…
04-04 07:00:09	highest temperature in munich on april 4 2026 19corhigher	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x025513…
04-03 23:50:43	highest temperature in munich on april 4 2026 19corhigher	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3d1624…