Embellished-Chimpanzee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

Trades

346

lifetime

Volume

$343

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-03 10:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

36% — —

Politics

30% 0% $-0

Crypto

27% 100% +$0

Tech

5% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic		-1	$-1	83¢	$-1	$-0	06-02 07:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	10	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-14 06:11
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 07:29
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 06:49
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve on january 30 2026	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-30 08:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-02 07:12
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-24 10:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-01 08:55
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	06-29 09:37
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 08:47
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 10:09
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 07:36
Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-20 08:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 09:33
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-04 08:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 22?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-22 09:46
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 07:07
will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be between 2 and 3	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-23 06:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-17 09:11
bitcoin above 64k on march 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 08:42
will openai have the best ai model for math on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 08:44
highest temperature in toronto on april 3 2026 8c	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 07:09
bitcoin above 68k on march 14	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 06:36
OpenGradient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-22 07:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-25 08:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 07:51
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-28 08:17
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 04:35
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-26 07:30
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 09:31
bitcoin above 80k on march 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 06:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 08:23:35	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xad4722…
07-04 08:11:59	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe86ea9…
07-03 10:22:56	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa1e245…
07-03 10:08:25	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc0c2d0…
07-02 09:10:08	Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xea8af0…
07-02 09:00:50	Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x318e9d…
07-02 08:54:34	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x084ef5…
07-02 08:40:49	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x44da7d…
07-02 08:35:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3b5b16…
07-02 08:24:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9cd96f…
07-01 08:17:56	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x0efaa8…
07-01 08:15:22	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2cbb4e…
07-01 08:00:58	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xab9795…
07-01 07:50:23	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2ab04c…
06-30 08:30:52	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xdb7ecd…
06-30 08:21:49	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0e419b…
06-30 08:18:22	iran successfully targets shipping on july 1 20260625225210242	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x5cdc23…
06-30 08:05:01	iran successfully targets shipping on july 1 20260625225210242	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x958642…
06-29 09:37:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x244723…
06-29 09:35:26	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xcfb4fd…
06-29 09:20:43	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbc09cf…
06-29 09:09:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x790e5b…
06-27 09:17:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xc90c46…
06-27 09:12:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x0f41ab…
06-27 08:56:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb3f68e…
06-27 08:52:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe23c7b…
06-26 10:09:19	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x12457a…
06-26 09:58:41	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x601c4a…
06-25 08:50:52	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x007cde…
06-25 08:40:11	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf287c9…
06-25 08:34:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x06efee…
06-25 08:25:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd41705…
06-24 10:10:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x83eae3…
06-24 10:09:40	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xec489a…
06-24 10:02:34	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x912587…
06-24 09:57:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xef246e…
06-23 09:22:44	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb5e005…
06-23 08:55:02	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa8f84f…
06-23 08:41:19	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x35269d…
06-23 08:13:25	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd37b35…
06-22 09:33:47	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9b8a3f…
06-22 08:58:05	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x853e45…
06-21 09:14:10	will bitcoin reach 68k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb55edb…
06-21 09:04:26	will bitcoin reach 68k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf06c9e…
06-18 09:21:32	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x14e946…
06-18 09:05:20	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf5ac21…
06-17 09:11:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xff69c6…
06-17 08:39:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa1f271…
06-16 09:09:33	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x7f27b7…
06-16 09:08:10	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7d8a6a…
06-16 08:58:07	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfe078b…
06-16 08:48:52	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x994994…
06-15 08:16:34	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xabb329…
06-15 07:57:24	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x905114…
06-15 07:51:07	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x80daca…
06-13 09:35:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xa52f2d…
06-13 09:27:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa00379…
06-12 09:39:54	jonathan tah 20260609173253872	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x00cfda…
06-12 09:28:49	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x6d9e47…
06-12 09:05:54	jonathan tah 20260609173253872	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaf4b24…
06-12 09:01:51	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x07ff54…
06-11 09:46:15	will bret johnsen be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212483	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x21d802…
06-11 09:33:45	will bret johnsen be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212483	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x059639…
06-11 09:22:45	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xbcc957…
06-11 09:22:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xd257a6…
06-11 09:21:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x9890ac…
06-11 09:20:40	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x85b56e…
06-09 06:29:01	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9e698c…
06-09 06:15:49	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6534d9…
06-09 06:09:06	will jd vance attend the g7 summit	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0722cf…
06-09 04:33:19	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa322c9…
06-09 04:26:24	will jd vance attend the g7 summit	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbedfbc…
06-08 06:10:10	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x108102…
06-08 06:09:25	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x01f05e…
06-08 04:29:55	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x44bb6a…
06-08 04:26:42	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa1ec13…
06-06 08:54:34	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x3a1b67…
06-06 08:37:09	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9daa2e…
06-05 08:09:49	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x529ff3…
06-05 08:07:57	will xauusd reach 5200 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc6c74b…
06-05 07:46:31	will xauusd reach 5200 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcc72a3…
06-05 07:41:15	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xee79bb…
06-04 08:46:39	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x8a774e…
06-04 08:42:25	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x2630c0…
06-04 08:17:30	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x99dd11…
06-04 08:11:09	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xffdcaa…
06-03 08:32:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x448273…
06-03 08:12:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3c2845…
06-02 07:49:07	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x8a6f62…
06-02 07:48:35	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xfcb6bc…
06-01 08:55:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x3292ad…
06-01 08:54:21	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc06986…
06-01 08:41:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8aa250…
06-01 08:37:43	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5f9bde…
05-30 08:36:19	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb1a4fd…
05-30 08:34:32	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x60e8fd…
05-30 08:20:18	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa773de…
05-30 08:14:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe7bae0…
05-29 07:16:32	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x5c4eb1…
05-29 07:14:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5fecde…