Necessary-Macrofauna — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

118

Trades

263

lifetime

Volume

$105.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$400

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 07-23 11:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Politics

43% 70% -$12

Other

29% 88% +$55

Sports

28% 60% -$2

Tech

0% 0% -$12

Crypto

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-23).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	06-14 19:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	26	$10.3K	5,200	5,200	+0	No	+$0	03-10 14:52
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$9.8K	9,868	0	+9,868	Yes	+$20	03-18 17:36
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$9.8K	5,500	5,500	+0	No	+$0	06-10 15:48
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	20	$9.0K	4,890	4,890	+0	open	—	06-10 07:18
highest temperature in hong kong on march 17 2026 18c	1	$9.0K	9,000	0	+9,000	No	+$9	03-17 09:39
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	20	$8.2K	4,402	4,402	+0	open	—	06-17 09:49
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$6.9K	4,104	4,104	+0	No	+$0	06-14 09:09
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$6.7K	3,410	3,410	+0	open	—	06-17 02:00
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	3	$5.1K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$0	06-10 13:54
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$4.5K	2,674	2,674	+0	No	+$0	06-10 12:33
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$4.5K	2,300	2,300	+0	open	—	06-11 16:59
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	5	$2.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	06-09 16:47
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	13	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-14 19:18
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-14 11:00
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$1.8K	1,050	1,050	+0	open	—	06-11 10:45
highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 48 49f	1	$833	835	0	+835	No	+$2	03-16 09:31
highest temperature in dallas on march 16 2026 62forhigher	2	$791	794	0	+794	No	+$2	03-16 09:38
highest temperature in munich on march 16 2026 13corhigher	1	$700	701	0	+701	No	+$1	03-16 09:48
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 16 2026 26c	1	$700	701	0	+701	No	+$1	03-16 09:30
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$600	6,000	6,000	+0	No	+$0	06-14 08:25
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 14 2026 35corhigher	1	$600	601	0	+601	No	+$1	03-14 11:32
highest temperature in miami on march 13 2026 88 89f	1	$599	600	0	+600	No	+$1	03-13 08:27
highest temperature in miami on march 16 2026 96forhigher	1	$482	482	0	+482	No	+$0	03-16 09:36
highest temperature in singapore on march 16 2026 35corhigher	1	$469	469	0	+469	No	+$0	03-16 09:48
highest temperature in toronto on march 15 2026 1c	1	$400	401	0	+401	No	+$1	03-15 07:44
highest temperature in atlanta on march 11 2026 71forbelow	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	03-11 09:32
highest temperature in seattle on march 16 2026 44 45f	1	$399	400	0	+400	No	+$1	03-16 09:35
highest temperature in seattle on march 13 2026 50forhigher	1	$399	400	0	+400	No	+$1	03-13 08:26
highest temperature in seattle on march 14 2026 37forbelow	1	$379	380	0	+380	No	+$1	03-14 11:34
highest temperature in miami on march 15 2026 90forhigher	1	$373	373	0	+373	No	+$0	03-15 07:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 11:16:03	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x09ec75…
07-23 11:15:45	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xaa8dd1…
06-17 09:52:01	will trump speak to maria corina machado in june	No	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x8a9a12…
06-17 09:51:52	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0x5d3b76…
06-17 09:50:10	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xbefa1f…
06-17 09:49:55	Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	18	92¢	$17	0xb4ca5b…
06-17 09:49:46	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0x65242f…
06-17 09:49:08	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	569	93¢	$528	0x869e6e…
06-17 02:00:04	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	3,410	99¢	$3,369	0xe8f358…
06-15 14:26:06	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	3,410	99¢	$3,369	0x1abc16…
06-14 19:18:57	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	833	99¢	$824	0xb27762…
06-14 17:16:39	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfb7f7f…
06-14 16:32:06	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8be201…
06-14 16:14:42	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x26254b…
06-14 15:23:10	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbeb7f3…
06-14 15:15:04	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xf4d8d2…
06-14 14:50:31	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xd3fc7a…
06-14 14:40:16	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc35b22…
06-14 14:05:39	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xdde7fd…
06-14 14:01:25	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xaa5c7c…
06-14 13:29:12	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe437c7…
06-14 12:35:03	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x1f80fe…
06-14 12:18:27	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	69	99¢	$68	0x578770…
06-14 12:07:49	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	70	94¢	$66	0xc82391…
06-14 11:12:00	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	58	94¢	$54	0xffe569…
06-14 11:00:42	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$980	0x4dc70d…
06-14 10:55:00	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	63	94¢	$59	0xfef103…
06-14 09:09:09	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2,008	84¢	$1,681	0xfc667d…
06-14 09:03:33	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xca3884…
06-14 09:03:10	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0xf443ef…
06-14 08:58:51	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	58	84¢	$49	0x979d1d…
06-14 08:56:24	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x9982a3…
06-14 08:55:46	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x296656…
06-14 08:52:06	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xc6af5b…
06-14 08:41:36	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x128b25…
06-14 08:37:54	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x5ea7b1…
06-14 08:36:18	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x84ab76…
06-14 08:35:36	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	732	84¢	$612	0x00cef3…
06-14 08:30:48	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x8a1aea…
06-14 08:25:12	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,796	5¢	$90	0xd4716f…
06-14 08:24:15	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0xa703c3…
06-14 08:24:15	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x9362f3…
06-14 08:23:04	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x275d1b…
06-14 08:22:49	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xc96738…
06-14 08:22:43	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,134	84¢	$949	0x45b450…
06-14 08:22:27	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,000	5¢	$200	0x53ce89…
06-14 08:19:51	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x96bade…
06-14 08:18:03	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	34	5¢	$2	0x52e214…
06-14 08:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 15?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x9a65fd…
06-14 08:13:01	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0x41ead4…
06-14 08:11:45	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$980	0x3c2816…
06-14 08:10:55	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	770	94¢	$721	0x28ee27…
06-14 08:09:10	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6,000	5¢	$300	0x28a1a8…
06-14 08:07:15	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	4,104	84¢	$3,435	0xe3e6dc…
06-12 05:33:03	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	869	94¢	$814	0xd39ecb…
06-12 04:57:54	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	65	94¢	$61	0xdc7c60…
06-12 01:43:42	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	343	94¢	$321	0x4d498c…
06-12 01:35:06	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	392	94¢	$367	0xd4cabb…
06-12 00:25:37	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0x9b96cf…
06-12 00:25:34	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	71	94¢	$66	0xbf3b2b…
06-11 23:10:31	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	67	94¢	$63	0x9de099…
06-11 22:55:49	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xe6cca4…
06-11 22:25:06	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xab85d6…
06-11 21:47:01	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0xd2f55e…
06-11 21:08:07	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0xa84706…
06-11 20:59:13	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0xb16861…
06-11 19:28:39	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,625	94¢	$1,521	0xc749d2…
06-11 18:13:30	Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7c68c4…
06-11 16:59:52	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0xe58358…
06-11 15:52:46	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2,184	99¢	$2,155	0x11b60c…
06-11 10:45:19	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	1,050	86¢	$903	0x4320a3…
06-11 08:19:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on June 11?	No	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0x994c2d…
06-11 08:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 11?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xfab01d…
06-11 08:18:34	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2,300	99¢	$2,270	0x424ad9…
06-11 08:16:40	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3,632	94¢	$3,400	0xf93df6…
06-10 15:48:07	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	939	89¢	$836	0x0e399e…
06-10 15:35:54	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	172	89¢	$154	0x5c79cb…
06-10 15:32:18	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	29	89¢	$25	0xf2e340…
06-10 15:28:48	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	50	89¢	$45	0xbd8036…
06-10 15:19:06	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2,200	89¢	$1,960	0x341900…
06-10 15:18:21	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	13	89¢	$11	0xd95d43…
06-10 15:06:31	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	106	89¢	$95	0x1dd1b5…
06-10 15:04:31	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,991	89¢	$1,774	0x9faef4…
06-10 14:02:28	Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf9f665…
06-10 14:02:16	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xd3130a…
06-10 14:01:51	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5,500	89¢	$4,900	0xa3d01d…
06-10 13:54:51	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	201	85¢	$171	0x5aa19a…
06-10 13:47:00	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,799	85¢	$2,379	0x5021a5…
06-10 12:33:58	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	2,674	85¢	$2,273	0x0ffcce…
06-10 08:40:31	Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0xfc8fe3…
06-10 08:39:43	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xe92e88…
06-10 08:39:21	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	2,674	85¢	$2,273	0x508145…
06-10 08:36:06	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,000	85¢	$2,550	0xe19e93…
06-10 07:18:22	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x39bee7…
06-10 06:57:25	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	431	92¢	$397	0x3f3d88…
06-10 06:26:31	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	41	92¢	$38	0x88580d…
06-10 05:56:25	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	46	92¢	$42	0x44527c…
06-10 05:18:21	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	215	92¢	$199	0x94a511…
06-10 05:17:57	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	215	92¢	$199	0x030d3f…
06-10 05:17:31	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	215	92¢	$199	0x7c33a5…