(anonymous) 0x11f864…d91c4e
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$44
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
13,806
lifetime
Volume
$355.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$656
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-09
last 07-21 05:17
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
51% — —
Other
25% — —
Sports
14% — —
Tech
8% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 1237 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -437 $-316 89¢ $-389 $-72 06-27 03:45
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -122 $-47 60¢ $-74 $-26 06-24 11:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +100 $63 72¢ $73 +$10 06-12 15:11
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +113 $53 38¢ $43 $-10 06-17 20:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -139 $-44 22¢ $-30 +$14 06-19 21:02
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +58 $34 40¢ $23 $-11 07-06 13:23
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $8 9¢ $5 $-2 06-17 17:54
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +4 $-5 94¢ $4 +$9 07-14 01:10
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +3 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 06-26 14:07
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +13 $5 18¢ $2 $-2 07-10 06:04
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 88¢ $2 +$1 07-06 19:47
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +3 $6 56¢ $2 $-5 07-14 16:12
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +1 $-0 82¢ $1 +$1 06-28 12:42
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $-13 100¢ $1 +$13 06-20 03:57
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +1 $-3 64¢ $1 +$3 06-22 13:51
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +1 $-5 80¢ $1 +$5 06-26 14:01
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +1 $2 66¢ $1 $-1 07-08 23:47
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +1 $3 62¢ $0 $-3 07-14 10:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $-5 99¢ $0 +$6 07-11 15:11
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +1 $-24 48¢ $0 +$25 07-13 16:52
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +1 $-10 71¢ $0 +$11 07-14 20:19
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1 $-11 54¢ $0 +$11 07-08 21:08
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +1 $-5 69¢ $0 +$5 07-14 05:32
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $62 57¢ $0 $-61 07-07 08:49
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +1 $5 38¢ $0 $-5 07-06 15:04
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $-1 46¢ $0 +$1 07-10 09:57
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +0 $-1 84¢ $0 +$1 07-04 17:52
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $-31 55¢ $0 +$31 06-11 03:44
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +1 $-5 29¢ $0 +$6 07-04 10:32
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +1 $-0 42¢ $0 +$1 06-19 11:39