Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$147

Unrealized P&L

-$55

Hit rate

69.7%

Resolved

1,227

Trades

24,069

lifetime

Volume

$587.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

7 positions

First seen

2026-06-09

last 07-25 17:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Politics

38% 60% +$498

Other

32% 54% -$55

Sports

23% 50% -$838

Tech

7% 56% +$310

Crypto

1% 47% -$54

Pop-Culture

0% 33% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-25).

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	+0	$19	85¢	$0	-$19	07-16 14:35
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	+0	-$2	96¢	$0	+$2	07-15 17:05
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$17	21¢	$0	-$17	07-08 21:34
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+0	$27	56¢	$0	-$27	07-07 18:40
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	+0	-$8	43¢	$0	+$8	07-06 13:23
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	Yes	+0	$2	4¢	$0	-$2	07-10 00:00
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+0	-$1	4¢	$0	+$1	07-01 03:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	303	$9.3K	9,349	9,344	+5	No	+$51	07-15 21:09
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	316	$8.3K	9,495	9,495	+1	Yes	+$381	06-20 14:20
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	244	$7.4K	8,656	8,652	+4	Yes	+$61	06-14 21:20
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	251	$7.1K	7,932	7,931	+1	Yes	-$240	06-14 21:19
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	234	$6.5K	6,927	6,926	+1	Yes	-$56	07-07 19:30
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	150	$6.4K	4,130	4,130	+0	Yes	+$102	07-25 16:31
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	135	$6.2K	6,232	6,231	+1	No	+$38	06-12 19:29
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	204	$6.1K	6,087	6,087	+0	No	+$115	07-25 16:31
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	181	$5.5K	5,708	5,708	+0	No	+$20	07-03 19:08
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	263	$5.5K	5,820	5,820	+1	No	+$62	07-25 16:31
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	246	$5.4K	5,154	5,152	+2	No	+$126	07-01 22:18
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	180	$5.1K	5,208	5,204	+4	No	+$272	06-19 01:35
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	98	$5.1K	4,155	4,154	+1	No	+$106	07-14 05:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	161	$4.8K	5,253	5,252	+2	Yes	+$154	06-20 05:53
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	150	$4.3K	3,683	3,682	+1	No	+$2	07-01 10:23
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	192	$4.3K	4,381	4,380	+1	No	+$63	07-25 16:30
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	161	$4.3K	5,089	5,088	+1	Yes	+$21	06-17 19:25
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	215	$4.3K	4,230	4,230	+0	No	+$57	07-25 16:31
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	142	$4.1K	3,984	3,983	+1	Yes	-$19	07-13 14:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	132	$3.9K	4,211	4,209	+1	No	+$68	06-17 11:25
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	59	$3.8K	2,431	2,430	+1	No	+$44	07-12 00:44
starmer out by june 22 2026	131	$3.7K	4,094	4,093	+1	Yes	-$22	06-21 21:40
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	68	$3.5K	3,582	3,577	+5	No	+$76	06-12 17:16
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	178	$3.5K	3,479	3,477	+2	Yes	+$27	06-16 01:07
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	233	$3.4K	4,139	4,138	+1	Yes	+$16	06-15 22:08
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	87	$3.3K	2,971	2,965	+6	No	+$83	07-15 16:40
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	21	$3.3K	2,580	2,580	+0	No	+$89	07-14 09:12
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	125	$3.2K	3,154	3,154	+0	No	+$79	06-19 18:07
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	92	$3.2K	2,755	2,752	+3	No	+$40	07-12 18:25
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	52	$3.2K	3,454	3,453	+1	No	+$95	07-15 20:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 17:40:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x4a735e…
07-25 17:05:42	natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	No	SELL	115	86¢	$99	0x1c6c64…
07-25 16:32:10	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xbf8f4c…
07-25 16:32:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x5f8b69…
07-25 16:32:09	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xd094e4…
07-25 16:32:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	No	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x537d8b…
07-25 16:32:07	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xf86a09…
07-25 16:32:07	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xc18ba0…
07-25 16:32:06	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xf5501d…
07-25 16:32:06	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232	Yes	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x6944de…
07-25 16:32:04	Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xf4a06e…
07-25 16:32:04	Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	No	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x9387a3…
07-25 16:32:03	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x2bfe21…
07-25 16:32:03	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x127295…
07-25 16:32:01	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xe0cbc4…
07-25 16:32:01	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x3a87bd…
07-25 16:32:01	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x09c3b6…
07-25 16:32:00	will mishal al ahmad al jaber al sabah sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950083	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xbc7683…
07-25 16:32:00	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x30751f…
07-25 16:31:58	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x8f3f4f…
07-25 16:31:58	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x4aa059…
07-25 16:31:57	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0xe82bc1…
07-25 16:31:57	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xd4a2df…
07-25 16:31:57	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x18f0a6…
07-25 16:31:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x8bbbf4…
07-25 16:31:54	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x6e0bf6…
07-25 16:31:54	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x383906…
07-25 16:31:52	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x75233c…
07-25 16:31:52	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x64fa91…
07-25 16:31:51	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xe43bd1…
07-25 16:31:51	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xa8354b…
07-25 16:31:49	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x9b2815…
07-25 16:31:49	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x675aac…
07-25 16:31:48	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0xb5f633…
07-25 16:31:48	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xaf1e37…
07-25 16:31:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x708284…
07-25 16:31:46	Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xae7d57…
07-25 16:31:46	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x19ca8e…
07-25 16:31:45	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x93716e…
07-25 16:31:45	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x55c0da…
07-25 16:31:43	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xeeceed…
07-25 16:31:43	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xcc4b6b…
07-25 16:31:43	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x7d2569…
07-25 16:31:42	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x630043…
07-25 16:31:42	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x4b8f6f…
07-25 16:31:40	Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?	No	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x398f36…
07-25 16:31:39	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xbe9175…
07-25 16:31:39	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xa761b2…
07-25 16:31:39	meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x407a4b…
07-25 16:31:37	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x725be4…
07-25 16:31:37	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x102e17…
07-25 16:31:36	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xc40eb4…
07-25 16:31:36	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x5c9630…
07-25 16:31:34	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xd2ed89…
07-25 16:31:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xceb757…
07-25 16:31:33	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x56ad81…
07-25 16:31:33	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x0f1ec3…
07-25 16:31:31	Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xa5baf6…
07-25 16:31:31	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x6c1810…
07-25 16:31:30	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x856f09…
07-25 16:31:30	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x610bd6…
07-25 16:31:30	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x37cecc…
07-25 16:31:28	Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xdfbce6…
07-25 16:31:27	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xd45a73…
07-25 16:31:27	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xc7fb91…
07-25 16:31:25	Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xde8905…
07-25 16:31:25	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xcd7760…
07-25 16:31:25	Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x2a3017…
07-25 16:31:24	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x526d0f…
07-25 16:31:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x0c28d5…
07-25 16:31:22	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xdea2e3…
07-25 16:31:22	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x44d5bd…
07-25 16:31:21	Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x8fb196…
07-25 16:31:21	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1a9b3d…
07-25 16:31:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	SELL	1	85¢	$0	0xebdf4c…
07-25 16:31:18	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x63f204…
07-25 16:31:18	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	56¢	$0	0x59479a…
07-25 16:31:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x16402c…
07-25 16:31:16	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	1	64¢	$0	0x8302a6…
07-25 16:31:16	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x6652f3…
07-25 16:31:15	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$0	0xe64202…
07-25 16:31:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x86342b…
07-25 16:31:15	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$0	0x7db2fe…
07-25 16:31:13	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xff2e0a…
07-25 16:31:12	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x9f05ee…
07-25 16:31:12	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0x6a6bac…
07-25 16:31:12	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x0ddbd8…
07-25 16:31:10	Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xb99b73…
07-25 16:31:09	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x303d05…
07-25 16:31:09	Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1c1c59…
07-25 16:31:07	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xffcdbc…
07-25 16:31:07	Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x760c59…
07-25 16:31:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2f1064…
07-25 16:31:07	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x00163f…
07-25 16:31:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	1	58¢	$0	0x240620…
07-25 16:31:04	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$0	0x559114…
07-25 16:31:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x1ef3d5…
07-25 16:31:03	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf5b831…
07-25 16:31:03	Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$0	0x2b7945…
07-25 16:31:01	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x9e1c94…