Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$309
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
8,789
lifetime
Volume
$217.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$1.80K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-09
last 06-30 12:55
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
63%
Other
19%
Tech
9%
Sports
9%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 1237 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +429 $271 100¢ $427 +$157 06-22 19:21
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -437 $-316 75¢ $-328 $-11 06-27 03:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -300 $-238 100¢ $-298 $-60 06-26 08:38
Will Beyoncé perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +146 $138 93¢ $136 $-1 06-30 11:18
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +100 $63 90¢ $90 +$27 06-12 15:11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +77 $44 97¢ $75 +$32 06-15 20:07
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -122 $-47 52¢ $-64 $-16 06-24 11:16
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +113 $53 44¢ $50 $-3 06-17 20:33
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +266 $25 18¢ $48 +$23 06-30 18:34
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +47 $-8 99¢ $47 +$54 06-30 16:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -139 $-44 30¢ $-41 +$3 06-19 21:02
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +59 $36 62¢ $37 +$1 06-30 14:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -32 $-33 100¢ $-32 +$1 06-17 11:25
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +110 $30 26¢ $29 $-1 06-30 11:36
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +58 $31 48¢ $28 $-3 06-15 07:11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +172 $22 14¢ $24 +$2 06-30 15:02
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +12 $-28 99¢ $12 +$41 06-14 21:48
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +11 $10 99¢ $11 +$2 06-14 17:40
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $8 11¢ $7 $-1 06-17 17:54
Will Billie Eilish perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +100 $3 $3 +$0 06-30 13:08
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +13 $5 24¢ $3 $-2 06-26 04:24
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? No +3 $7 99¢ $3 $-4 06-19 12:34
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +3 $2 76¢ $2 +$0 06-26 14:07
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes -484 $-74 $-1 +$72 06-22 22:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +279 $24 $1 $-23 06-14 17:46
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -469 $-105 $-1 +$103 06-14 19:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +443 $111 $1 $-110 06-15 06:33
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $-11 100¢ $1 +$11 06-29 01:06
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30? Yes -133 $-5 $-1 +$4 06-18 01:01
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $-13 100¢ $1 +$13 06-20 03:57