Instructive-Cereal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

147

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 09-20 17:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 83% -$9

Other

33% 66% +$5

Sports

11% 28% -$15

Politics

2% 100% +$5

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	4	$496	249	249	+0	No	$0	03-04 06:44
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 10	3	$380	253	127	+127	No	$0	03-10 08:39
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$263	132	132	+0	No	$0	03-09 07:01
US strike on Cuba by January 31?	2	$263	132	132	+0	No	$0	02-01 07:42
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$253	127	127	+0	No	$0	03-09 07:26
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$251	126	126	+0	No	$0	02-10 16:50
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$247	124	124	+0	No	$0	02-02 06:47
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	2	$218	109	109	+0	No	$0	03-24 05:04
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$215	108	108	+0	No	$0	04-24 08:50
Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$215	108	108	+0	No	$0	04-21 06:45
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$215	108	108	+0	No	$0	04-21 07:40
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$210	105	105	+0	No	$0	05-23 04:07
Will Sebastian Korda win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$208	104	104	+0	No	$0	04-20 03:11
Will San Marino win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$206	103	103	+0	No	$0	05-07 04:03
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$206	104	104	+0	No	$0	05-16 09:28
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$206	104	104	+0	No	$0	05-19 04:02
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$200	101	101	+0	No	+$0	05-16 09:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$198	99	99	+0	No	$0	05-09 09:34
Will Emma Navarro win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	2	$194	97	97	+0	No	$0	05-14 07:03
Will Ons Jabeur win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	2	$190	95	95	+0	No	$0	05-14 06:42
ethereum above 2400 on february 6	1	$135	135	0	+135	No	+$0	02-06 11:00
will the price of ethereum be less than 2600 on february 4	1	$134	135	0	+135	Yes	+$0	02-04 09:29
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 400 419	1	$134	134	0	+134	No	+$0	02-03 10:38
ethereum above 1800 on march 7	1	$133	134	0	+134	Yes	+$1	03-07 08:20
bitcoin above 72k on march 8	1	$131	132	0	+132	No	+$0	03-08 06:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 23	1	$127	127	0	+127	No	+$0	02-23 08:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 9	1	$127	127	0	+127	No	+$0	03-09 07:34
bitcoin above 62k on february 15	1	$126	127	0	+127	Yes	+$0	02-15 11:21
ethereum above 1600 on february 13	1	$126	126	0	+126	Yes	+$0	02-13 07:27
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 11	1	$125	126	0	+126	No	+$0	02-11 12:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 17:24:48	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x3a2d78…
08-28 08:27:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xb13d14…
07-10 05:28:47	msft above 330 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x5c4752…
07-10 05:27:10	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	No	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x1b7263…
06-27 11:04:31	will ng reach 4 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x0f741d…
06-26 05:20:28	nvda above 240 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xd47b83…
05-31 08:48:51	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x3f1ea9…
05-30 06:10:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x6d020d…
05-30 05:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6e6ecb…
05-28 04:26:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x836b4e…
05-28 04:24:26	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xedde6f…
05-27 11:56:31	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xce8bd4…
05-27 11:50:19	Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb4b1e1…
05-27 11:46:15	Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6938b9…
05-26 09:16:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xf139ff…
05-26 09:07:02	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2d8ab9…
05-25 03:23:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xcd9119…
05-25 03:13:56	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Dplus KIA	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0xeeafca…
05-24 09:05:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x4d4c9c…
05-24 09:03:32	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x9d2ce3…
05-23 04:16:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x3299f9…
05-23 04:07:53	Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xa4ee6c…
05-23 03:31:46	Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x6c4fda…
05-22 11:16:32	aapl above 280 on may 22 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x98c7be…
05-22 11:16:00	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $275-$280 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x96a616…
05-21 12:28:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x078358…
05-20 12:38:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x6fa351…
05-19 04:12:15	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 19?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xb8e2c3…
05-19 04:02:53	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0x5e5115…
05-19 03:46:40	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x710beb…
05-19 03:42:00	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0xe7fa4a…
05-18 12:00:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x84132e…
05-17 11:58:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x1a6bce…
05-16 10:07:27	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x026ad2…
05-16 09:56:22	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x3397f0…
05-16 09:29:56	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9094be…
05-16 09:28:11	Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0xc82161…
05-16 07:52:47	Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x3e4843…
05-15 13:00:01	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xbdf184…
05-14 07:10:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0x4b4483…
05-14 07:03:00	Will Emma Navarro win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xf8e9b4…
05-14 06:50:46	Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x166d69…
05-14 06:45:24	Will Emma Navarro win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x25798a…
05-14 06:42:59	Will Ons Jabeur win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0xd97964…
05-14 06:16:21	Will Ons Jabeur win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x59e84a…
05-12 06:54:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xe086fe…
05-11 12:17:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xd81653…
05-10 07:29:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x85d230…
05-09 09:40:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x292751…
05-09 09:34:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0xfc9d23…
05-09 08:49:13	Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x18fad6…
05-08 06:01:25	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $670 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xf07e43…
05-07 04:13:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x3563c7…
05-07 04:03:26	Will San Marino win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x54cad2…
05-07 03:22:02	Will San Marino win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x939778…
05-05 07:02:28	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 5?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x8569e0…
05-04 05:08:06	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xc569cb…
05-03 09:07:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x6caf29…
05-02 06:30:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x606d07…
05-01 10:38:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x813c3c…
04-30 07:24:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xa6c41e…
04-29 06:28:56	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x543894…
04-27 07:54:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$107	0x199ab6…
04-26 07:12:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x27a53d…
04-25 07:22:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x36fe47…
04-24 11:02:44	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x4a547b…
04-24 08:50:14	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xc11e76…
04-24 07:50:08	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x867719…
04-23 04:56:58	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 84000 on april 23	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x673ee4…
04-22 10:07:14	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 115 139	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x5cabdb…
04-21 07:45:18	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	No	BUY	108	100¢	$107	0xb92f51…
04-21 07:40:30	Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$107	0x80c7cb…
04-21 06:47:58	Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x2e19ff…
04-21 06:45:30	Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xa3ca59…
04-21 06:20:48	Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xd6bbb3…
04-20 03:22:22	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 20	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xd4140f…
04-20 03:11:48	Will Sebastian Korda win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x4778d5…
04-20 02:53:40	Will Sebastian Korda win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x6b0c3b…
04-19 12:41:50	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x7e93a5…
04-15 03:57:36	ethereum above 2600 on april 15	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x20cd8f…
04-14 10:49:13	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	BUY	109	100¢	$108	0x86f0ab…
04-13 05:35:07	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 13	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x9b6ba6…
04-12 12:37:55	nba was cle 2026 04 12	Cavaliers	BUY	10	82¢	$9	0x2a8cf4…
04-12 12:36:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 12	Yes	BUY	900	0¢	$2	0xd64d72…
04-12 12:35:09	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$2	0x36426b…
04-11 11:54:09	bitcoin above 70k on april 11	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x98af15…
04-11 11:44:29	ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	Johnny Walker	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x2b02b8…
04-10 10:01:57	ethereum above 2400 on april 10	No	BUY	114	100¢	$113	0xb3437b…
04-09 08:05:31	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x01dd92…
04-08 07:26:01	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 140 164	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x96866c…
04-08 07:13:51	val xlg nova 2026 04 08	XLG Gaming	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x3e5626…
04-07 07:42:55	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 7	No	BUY	113	100¢	$112	0x3b48ce…
04-06 02:54:13	bitcoin above 62k on april 6	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xcd4a81…
04-05 10:56:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 5	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x5e4aff…
04-04 05:07:39	ethereum above 2200 on april 4	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xf67a70…
04-03 03:47:27	bitcoin above 72k on april 3	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x13bc77…
04-02 11:36:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 2	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x9e4033…
03-31 09:43:59	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	112	100¢	$111	0x55ac30…
03-30 08:48:06	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	112	100¢	$111	0xb5ddbd…
03-29 03:46:32	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 29	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xe70a03…