Instructive-Cereal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

Trades

139

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 06-27 11:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 100% +$2

Other

26% 50% $-0

Sports

9% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	4	$496	249	249	+0	No	$-0	03-04 06:44
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 10	3	$380	253	127	+127	open	—	03-10 08:39
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$263	132	132	+0	open	—	03-09 07:01
US strike on Cuba by January 31?	2	$263	132	132	+0	open	—	02-01 07:42
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$253	127	127	+0	open	—	03-09 07:26
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$251	126	126	+0	open	—	02-10 16:50
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$247	124	124	+0	open	—	02-02 06:47
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	2	$218	109	109	+0	open	—	03-24 05:04
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$215	108	108	+0	open	—	04-24 08:50
Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$215	108	108	+0	open	—	04-21 06:45
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$215	108	108	+0	open	—	04-21 07:40
Will Sebastian Korda win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$208	104	104	+0	open	—	04-20 03:11
ethereum above 2400 on february 6	1	$135	135	0	+135	open	—	02-06 11:00
will the price of ethereum be less than 2600 on february 4	1	$134	135	0	+135	open	—	02-04 09:29
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 400 419	1	$134	134	0	+134	open	—	02-03 10:38
ethereum above 1800 on march 7	1	$133	134	0	+134	open	—	03-07 08:20
bitcoin above 72k on march 8	1	$131	132	0	+132	open	—	03-08 06:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 23	1	$127	127	0	+127	open	—	02-23 08:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 9	1	$127	127	0	+127	open	—	03-09 07:34
bitcoin above 62k on february 15	1	$126	127	0	+127	open	—	02-15 11:21
ethereum above 1600 on february 13	1	$126	126	0	+126	open	—	02-13 07:27
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 11	1	$125	126	0	+126	open	—	02-11 12:12
bitcoin above 70k on february 10	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	02-10 16:59
bitcoin above 74k on february 9	1	$125	126	0	+126	open	—	02-09 12:50
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 4	1	$124	124	0	+124	open	—	03-04 06:49
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 165 189	1	$123	124	0	+124	open	—	02-02 06:57
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$122	126	0	+126	open	—	02-27 07:22
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 6	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	03-06 03:23
ethereum above 1600 on march 3	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	03-03 04:12
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 340 359	1	$118	118	0	+118	open	—	03-17 06:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 11:04:31	will ng reach 4 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x0f741d…
06-26 05:20:28	nvda above 240 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xd47b83…
05-30 06:10:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x6d020d…
05-28 04:26:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x836b4e…
05-27 11:46:15	Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6938b9…
05-26 09:16:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xf139ff…
05-26 09:07:02	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2d8ab9…
05-25 03:23:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xcd9119…
05-25 03:13:56	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Dplus KIA	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0xeeafca…
05-24 09:05:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x4d4c9c…
05-24 09:03:32	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x9d2ce3…
05-23 04:16:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x3299f9…
05-22 11:16:32	aapl above 280 on may 22 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x98c7be…
05-20 12:38:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x6fa351…
05-19 03:46:40	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x710beb…
05-18 12:00:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x84132e…
05-17 11:58:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x1a6bce…
05-15 13:00:01	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xbdf184…
05-14 07:10:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0x4b4483…
05-14 06:50:46	Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x166d69…
05-12 06:54:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xe086fe…
05-11 12:17:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xd81653…
05-10 07:29:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x85d230…
05-09 09:40:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x292751…
05-08 06:01:25	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $670 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xf07e43…
05-07 04:13:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x3563c7…
05-03 09:07:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x6caf29…
05-02 06:30:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x606d07…
05-01 10:38:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x813c3c…
04-30 07:24:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xa6c41e…
04-27 07:54:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$107	0x199ab6…
04-26 07:12:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x27a53d…
04-25 07:22:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x36fe47…
04-24 11:02:44	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x4a547b…
04-24 08:50:14	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xc11e76…
04-24 07:50:08	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x867719…
04-23 04:56:58	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 84000 on april 23	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x673ee4…
04-22 10:07:14	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 115 139	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x5cabdb…
04-21 07:45:18	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	No	BUY	108	100¢	$107	0xb92f51…
04-21 07:40:30	Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$107	0x80c7cb…
04-21 06:47:58	Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x2e19ff…
04-21 06:45:30	Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xa3ca59…
04-21 06:20:48	Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xd6bbb3…
04-20 03:22:22	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 20	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xd4140f…
04-20 03:11:48	Will Sebastian Korda win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x4778d5…
04-20 02:53:40	Will Sebastian Korda win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x6b0c3b…
04-19 12:41:50	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x7e93a5…
04-15 03:57:36	ethereum above 2600 on april 15	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x20cd8f…
04-14 10:49:13	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	BUY	109	100¢	$108	0x86f0ab…
04-13 05:35:07	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 13	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x9b6ba6…
04-12 12:37:55	nba was cle 2026 04 12	Cavaliers	BUY	10	82¢	$9	0x2a8cf4…
04-12 12:36:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 12	Yes	BUY	900	0¢	$2	0xd64d72…
04-12 12:35:09	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$2	0x36426b…
04-11 11:54:09	bitcoin above 70k on april 11	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x98af15…
04-11 11:44:29	ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	Johnny Walker	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x2b02b8…
04-10 10:01:57	ethereum above 2400 on april 10	No	BUY	114	100¢	$113	0xb3437b…
04-09 08:05:31	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x01dd92…
04-08 07:26:01	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 140 164	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x96866c…
04-08 07:13:51	val xlg nova 2026 04 08	XLG Gaming	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x3e5626…
04-07 07:42:55	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 7	No	BUY	113	100¢	$112	0x3b48ce…
04-06 02:54:13	bitcoin above 62k on april 6	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xcd4a81…
04-05 10:56:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 5	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x5e4aff…
04-04 05:07:39	ethereum above 2200 on april 4	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xf67a70…
04-03 03:47:27	bitcoin above 72k on april 3	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x13bc77…
04-02 11:36:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 2	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x9e4033…
03-31 09:43:59	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	112	100¢	$111	0x55ac30…
03-30 08:48:06	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	112	100¢	$111	0xb5ddbd…
03-29 03:46:32	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 29	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xe70a03…
03-28 09:26:51	bitcoin above 62k on march 28	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$111	0x30bb11…
03-27 12:26:55	bitcoin above 70k on march 27	No	BUY	112	100¢	$111	0x902649…
03-25 12:01:03	ethereum above 2000 on march 25	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x072995…
03-24 07:26:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 24	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x4951bf…
03-24 05:13:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 24	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x15a5ef…
03-24 05:05:29	atp martine jover 2026 03 23	Pedro Martinez	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xa45f1f…
03-24 05:04:51	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0xd3716d…
03-24 04:46:13	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x20e0ed…
03-22 05:19:43	bitcoin above 74k on march 22	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x224066…
03-20 05:48:57	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 400 419	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xe21da2…
03-20 04:01:57	nhl ana utah 2026 03 20	Utah	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0xaea52e…
03-18 11:05:09	ethereum above 2100 on march 18	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x0904c1…
03-18 09:31:17	atp perrica carabel 2026 03 18	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	9	63¢	$5	0xfc5485…
03-17 06:07:39	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 340 359	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x468803…
03-16 08:35:07	ethereum above 2000 on march 16	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x8e8f87…
03-14 12:07:29	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0xc0e580…
03-13 10:07:19	bitcoin above 66k on march 13	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x252050…
03-12 05:15:59	ethereum above 1700 on march 12	No	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0xe90e02…
03-12 05:15:29	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 12	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x7f9757…
03-12 05:13:33	bitcoin above 76k on march 12	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$2	0x67c6dc…
03-12 03:26:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 12	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0xedc12e…
03-12 02:52:51	atp vasa jianu 2026 03 12	Eero Vasa	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x1fad86…
03-10 08:39:59	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 10	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x7b93cf…
03-10 08:39:29	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 10	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0xb7993c…
03-10 08:35:55	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 10	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x867c65…
03-09 07:34:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 9	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x235c3a…
03-09 07:26:35	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x5e1a8a…
03-09 07:06:13	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x153cb7…
03-09 07:03:45	nhl utah chi 2026 03 09	Utah	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x14b71f…
03-09 07:01:57	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$131	0xac4348…
03-09 06:46:25	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x86af6f…
03-08 06:59:29	bitcoin above 72k on march 8	No	BUY	132	100¢	$131	0x0fdf63…