Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.97K

Unrealized P&L

-$30

Hit rate

51.5%

Resolved

524

Trades

3,611

lifetime

Volume

$150.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$735

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 10-27 02:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

62% 51% -$3,429

Politics

33% 77% -$2,280

Sports

2% 29% -$333

Crypto

2% 33% -$927

Tech

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	-465	-$368	92¢	$-426	-$57	08-06 07:59
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+214	$150	68¢	$147	-$3	10-27 02:00
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-446	-$112	16¢	$-74	+$38	05-08 18:14
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	-49	-$45	97¢	$-48	-$3	05-10 09:48
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+62	$40	66¢	$41	+$1	10-21 03:38
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+0	$5	3¢	$0	-$5	08-04 08:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	79	$4.2K	2,864	1,649	+1,215	Yes	-$249	04-10 18:06
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	101	$4.1K	2,063	2,063	+0	No	+$16	03-31 20:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	19	$3.2K	1,937	1,511	+427	No	+$113	04-09 14:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	23	$3.1K	1,854	1,854	+0	No	-$51	04-07 12:21
atp jodar machac 2026 04 01	71	$3.0K	3,534	3,351	+183	Rafael Jodar	+$198	04-01 12:39
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by march 31	21	$2.4K	1,223	1,222	+1	No	+$16	03-31 20:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	5	$2.4K	1,248	1,248	+0	No	+$33	05-08 21:55
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	5	$2.4K	1,199	1,664	-465	open	—	08-06 07:59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	46	$2.0K	1,556	1,556	+0	No	-$9	04-12 19:53
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	20	$2.0K	1,040	1,040	+0	open	—	05-09 21:08
lol gen kt 2026 04 03 total games 2pt5	50	$1.9K	1,578	1,562	+16	Over	-$195	04-03 00:24
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	5	$1.9K	1,383	1,383	+0	open	—	07-07 01:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	30	$1.8K	1,480	1,193	+287	Yes	-$695	04-24 15:52
lol ami ccg 2026 04 01 game2	24	$1.7K	1,406	1,171	+235	CCG Esports	-$20	04-01 20:04
lol ami ccg 2026 04 01 game1	30	$1.7K	1,266	1,255	+12	CCG Esports	-$95	04-01 20:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	8	$1.7K	855	854	+1	No	+$9	04-07 23:33
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$1.5K	991	751	+239	No	+$33	07-12 03:03
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	19	$1.4K	725	725	+0	open	—	06-21 19:24
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	23	$1.3K	1,021	295	+726	No	+$20	04-08 03:30
will claude opus 4 6 thinking have the best ai model on april 10 2026 337	8	$1.3K	652	652	+0	Yes	-$1	04-10 11:32
val wol te 2026 04 02	32	$1.3K	1,345	960	+385	Trace Esports	+$167	04-02 09:01
atp altmaie prizmic 2026 04 02	21	$1.3K	1,563	1,535	+28	Daniel Altmaier	-$15	04-03 09:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	18	$1.2K	1,167	1,167	+0	Yes	-$940	04-07 23:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	3	$1.2K	612	612	+0	No	+$9	06-17 17:33
bkseriea pal5 pal3 2026 04 04	81	$1.2K	1,118	1,107	+11	Pallacanestro Trieste	-$315	04-03 09:14
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	32	$1.2K	746	746	+0	No	-$220	04-21 06:21
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	3	$1.2K	649	649	+0	No	-$12	06-12 16:55
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	21	$1.1K	657	657	+0	No	+$0	04-11 09:38
val t1a gena 2026 04 02	29	$1.1K	1,746	190	+1,556	Gen.G Global Academy	-$661	04-02 10:23
lol cnv ctg 2026 04 03 game1	19	$1.1K	887	878	+9	Conviction	-$93	04-03 09:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 02:27:17	Will Bayern Munich reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	Yes	BUY	111	73¢	$81	0x170db3…
10-27 02:07:06	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	61¢	$14	0xf9bdcc…
10-27 02:00:47	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	69¢	$75	0x7e4c0e…
10-26 18:45:33	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	38	20¢	$8	0xfcbce9…
10-26 07:47:23	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Mbappé	BUY	79	95¢	$75	0x84e6ab…
10-24 19:55:26	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Mbappé	BUY	79	95¢	$75	0x62b28b…
10-24 19:37:53	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	150	26¢	$39	0xcb17b2…
10-23 21:49:17	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	144	26¢	$38	0xd5bb68…
10-21 20:19:20	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	47	30¢	$14	0x1a357a…
10-21 15:38:29	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	313	33¢	$103	0x6305ad…
10-21 15:37:06	Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Messi	BUY	78	25¢	$19	0x6101ed…
10-21 03:38:12	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0x4878e4…
10-20 19:11:17	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	71¢	$75	0x9cef7e…
10-19 21:41:00	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x16fab9…
10-18 21:00:39	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x2f08c8…
10-17 14:25:06	Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0x8bab07…
10-17 14:22:06	Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	BUY	37	91¢	$34	0x406da9…
10-17 14:21:24	Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x3ca679…
10-17 14:18:36	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	SELL	187	95¢	$177	0x36b00d…
10-16 19:24:23	Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xc10680…
10-15 21:18:15	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0xeb9577…
10-13 13:20:47	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	213	6¢	$12	0xf53d67…
10-13 13:14:37	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x2a91fe…
10-13 13:13:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	SELL	311	16¢	$50	0xec10b1…
10-13 11:09:28	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	59	69¢	$40	0x7f33ae…
10-12 19:31:33	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	55	69¢	$38	0x6dcfa1…
10-11 21:12:14	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$6	0xd91c31…
10-11 21:11:19	Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0xc63030…
10-09 20:00:01	Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	60	7¢	$4	0x17542d…
10-08 19:45:57	Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	198	8¢	$15	0xa56e0e…
10-08 19:44:26	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	BUY	60	18¢	$11	0x7d0fff…
10-07 10:15:18	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?	No	BUY	92	82¢	$76	0xc3a11d…
10-07 10:14:29	Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?	Yes	SELL	61	80¢	$48	0xb7798c…
10-07 10:14:02	Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	SELL	120	62¢	$75	0xfda778…
10-05 18:19:40	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	37	59¢	$22	0x40b1ae…
10-05 18:10:40	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	36	43¢	$15	0x381875…
10-05 17:42:55	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	83	19¢	$15	0x53ca93…
10-05 17:11:17	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	37	21¢	$8	0xdd6a87…
10-05 16:06:23	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	131	94¢	$123	0xb81a83…
10-02 12:36:50	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	163	24¢	$39	0x15334e…
10-01 21:39:59	Will Roma finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xcfda48…
10-01 21:38:26	Will Liverpool finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x3e83c6…
10-01 21:36:12	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x12d1b3…
10-01 18:31:39	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	131	92¢	$120	0xc80e5e…
09-30 19:59:14	Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0xb3b04b…
09-30 19:48:33	Will Fenerbahçe finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0x35e062…
09-30 16:55:41	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x57f56e…
09-30 13:37:08	Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	204	99¢	$203	0x7b3319…
09-29 20:52:41	Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	BUY	62	65¢	$41	0xa5fdd4…
09-28 14:48:56	Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x4cd114…
09-28 14:47:45	Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	BUY	120	15¢	$18	0x65a26a…
09-28 14:47:21	Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0x833be8…
09-28 10:38:09	Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x383f48…
09-21 10:57:23	Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	107	85¢	$91	0xe025e4…
09-20 19:24:23	Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	389	4¢	$16	0xd79077…
09-20 19:24:23	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	143	2¢	$3	0x9aafc1…
09-17 19:01:04	Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	67	60¢	$41	0x3d4e81…
09-17 08:04:28	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	1,329	39¢	$520	0xce1aa0…
09-11 09:05:54	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xb9d0d5…
09-01 19:41:18	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	BUY	31	25¢	$8	0x6cb6bf…
09-01 19:39:19	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	55	22¢	$12	0x5c171f…
09-01 14:44:39	Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	311	5¢	$16	0x4d68cb…
08-31 20:44:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	BUY	148	26¢	$39	0xbfebc7…
08-31 13:52:06	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	131	18¢	$23	0x4eac67…
08-31 13:51:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x7125b8…
08-31 13:51:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	Yes	BUY	63	12¢	$7	0xa5f880…
08-31 13:50:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xeabec1…
08-29 07:57:48	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	55	19¢	$10	0x5b9078…
08-27 19:31:39	Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?	Yes	BUY	61	32¢	$19	0xf00852…
08-26 21:53:16	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	71	27¢	$19	0xd5fb4c…
08-24 08:16:42	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by August 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd139a2…
08-21 14:11:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xf22797…
08-21 14:10:43	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	99	41¢	$41	0x3620c0…
08-20 22:29:10	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	59	13¢	$8	0xcabf0e…
08-18 10:21:27	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by august 31 20260728191134998	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xa4fe99…
08-14 13:34:39	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	35	22¢	$8	0x1cb120…
08-12 20:48:12	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by august 31 20260728191134998	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x40ad04…
08-10 15:26:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	BUY	58	44¢	$25	0x609748…
08-09 16:09:49	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	106	27¢	$29	0x06b5a4…
08-09 13:27:51	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	175	27¢	$47	0xa80a18…
08-09 13:27:27	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	77	27¢	$21	0xae838f…
08-08 11:05:34	will kylian mbappe finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x8e5801…
08-06 07:59:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	725	87¢	$630	0xe68118…
08-05 20:52:42	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7fe7e8…
08-04 08:21:44	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	257	4¢	$9	0x342913…
08-04 02:36:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	667	22¢	$147	0xd0a261…
08-03 22:54:09	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x0c8b00…
08-03 21:56:57	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	973	4¢	$35	0x024f25…
08-03 20:05:20	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x501083…
08-03 19:41:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xf2c2be…
08-03 19:41:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xe70163…
08-03 19:41:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x6c5f93…
08-03 19:41:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	39	45¢	$17	0x38c57b…
08-03 19:41:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0xf94bc2…
08-03 19:41:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xcb7a46…
08-03 19:41:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0xcaec7f…
08-03 19:41:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xbe98b9…
08-03 19:41:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x8b58b9…
08-03 19:41:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x791a58…
08-03 19:41:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0x774b05…