Voluminous-Cabin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.40K

Unrealized P&L

-$244

Hit rate

34.2%

Resolved

Trades

379

lifetime

Volume

$32.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

$1.18K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-06

last 06-30 05:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Tech

48% 36% -$6,130

Politics

26% 71% -$472

Other

19% 46% +$9

Pop-Culture

7% 50% +$191

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-30).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes		-3,432	-$940	34¢	$-1184	-$244	06-21 01:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	65	$7.8K	12,890	12,238	+652	No	-$4,984	06-30 05:18
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	29	$2.5K	4,308	2,618	+1,691	Yes	-$795	06-26 05:30
Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	20	$2.0K	3,059	1,373	+1,686	Yes	-$194	05-14 14:04
Will Trump announce Devin Nunes as the next Director of National Intelligence?	4	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$58	06-02 20:57
gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	6	$1.6K	1,209	1,209	+0	Yes	+$174	06-26 17:13
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	24	$1.4K	2,819	2,819	+0	No	-$586	06-26 05:30
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	15	$1.4K	862	666	+196	No	+$79	03-30 18:15
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	5	$1.3K	1,669	520	+1,149	No	-$687	03-31 16:15
Kash Patel out by December 31?	4	$1.2K	1,015	1,015	+0	open	—	06-23 06:23
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?	3	$1.1K	729	729	+0	No	+$194	06-26 17:13
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	6	$940	0	3,432	-3,432	open	—	06-21 01:34
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	21	$887	2,500	2,500	+0	No	-$157	05-29 14:08
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	7	$843	1,140	345	+795	Yes	-$267	06-12 12:38
Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?	9	$829	570	570	+0	open	—	06-28 14:26
Will Trump announce Richard Grenell as the next Director of National Intelligence?	4	$754	871	0	+871	No	+$117	05-23 20:55
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	4	$676	895	895	+0	Yes	-$85	06-23 06:22
Kash Patel out by June 30?	3	$539	0	920	-920	No	+$539	05-07 22:46
Kash Patel out by May 31?	7	$411	851	851	+0	No	-$201	05-19 22:11
Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor Secretary	5	$379	377	377	-0	Yes	+$7	06-11 04:49
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?	5	$360	350	450	-100	No	+$64	05-22 05:32
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	2	$359	254	254	+0	No	+$48	06-06 01:52
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	3	$336	258	258	+0	Yes	+$55	04-08 18:21
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	9	$289	0	619	-619	open	—	06-22 05:59
Will Donald Trump announce Ron DeSantis as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	2	$275	144	144	+0	No	+$10	05-23 13:52
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	7	$231	1,771	1,771	+0	No	-$71	06-23 05:56
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	2	$203	389	389	+0	No	-$22	06-22 08:24
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	3	$168	279	279	+0	No	+$8	06-23 15:33
Will Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?	4	$161	136	136	+0	No	+$24	06-16 16:35
Kash Patel out by April 30?	6	$155	2,096	0	+2,096	No	-$155	04-28 13:32
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	4	$152	272	272	+0	Yes	+$11	05-02 18:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 05:18:11	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,200	1¢	$50	0x70b6ed…
06-28 14:26:56	Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	284	72¢	$205	0x287ecc…
06-28 08:08:34	Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	11	78¢	$9	0x89e547…
06-28 08:08:20	Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x3656cc…
06-28 08:07:59	Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x90e722…
06-27 08:14:19	Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x3567f6…
06-27 08:12:41	Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	81	77¢	$62	0x133595…
06-26 17:47:59	Will Linda McMahon be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0x309bfd…
06-26 17:42:53	Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	67	81¢	$54	0x4c2b35…
06-26 17:13:59	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	Yes	SELL	445	5¢	$20	0xed91bd…
06-26 17:13:55	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?	No	SELL	444	87¢	$387	0x1918c7…
06-26 17:13:53	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	Yes	SELL	445	73¢	$327	0xac96ba…
06-26 14:28:38	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220	Yes	SELL	285	5¢	$14	0x0f5057…
06-26 14:28:34	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?	No	SELL	285	86¢	$246	0x48e64d…
06-26 14:28:22	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	Yes	SELL	285	74¢	$211	0x7b8be2…
06-26 05:30:14	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	No	SELL	856	2¢	$14	0x951c0c…
06-26 05:30:05	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,207	2¢	$30	0xa66c16…
06-25 19:27:56	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	308	9¢	$28	0xf6b2e9…
06-25 19:25:25	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	486	15¢	$74	0x7b17ad…
06-25 14:44:32	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	269	8¢	$20	0x09168a…
06-25 03:17:56	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220	Yes	BUY	730	7¢	$50	0x3e0755…
06-25 03:09:29	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?	No	BUY	729	60¢	$438	0x0ee258…
06-24 20:54:02	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	Yes	SELL	479	69¢	$332	0xab7008…
06-24 05:52:10	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	481	14¢	$66	0x9eb0e3…
06-24 05:27:58	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	197	11¢	$21	0xdfced5…
06-24 05:22:25	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	No	SELL	266	9¢	$23	0x14c1a9…
06-23 19:32:01	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	7¢	$15	0x995137…
06-23 19:31:08	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	587	7¢	$40	0x73a7e2…
06-23 18:07:28	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	421	8¢	$34	0x6dc346…
06-23 18:06:19	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	138	8¢	$12	0x423873…
06-23 15:42:10	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xade54f…
06-23 15:40:01	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	6¢	$24	0x667406…
06-23 15:34:10	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	191	6¢	$11	0x8844a5…
06-23 15:33:53	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	191	19¢	$37	0xd895c8…
06-23 08:17:59	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x74a47c…
06-23 08:17:40	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	26¢	$20	0xfb4ad2…
06-23 08:16:50	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	21¢	$17	0xdcf59d…
06-23 08:16:43	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	No	BUY	105	20¢	$21	0x9f0f60…
06-23 07:27:53	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	21¢	$36	0xbf0c09…
06-23 07:24:05	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	22¢	$15	0xdbcac6…
06-23 07:16:31	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	15¢	$12	0xaad65b…
06-23 07:16:29	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	No	BUY	155	16¢	$25	0x37b91f…
06-23 06:58:47	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	20¢	$24	0xdb7099…
06-23 06:30:38	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	365	75¢	$274	0xecd7f8…
06-23 06:24:19	Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	7¢	$8	0xb562fe…
06-23 06:23:19	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	688	48¢	$330	0xd3bc42…
06-23 06:22:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	399	33¢	$132	0x8f63f9…
06-23 06:14:25	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	484	50¢	$242	0x100a1e…
06-23 06:13:44	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	359	50¢	$180	0x78c4b3…
06-23 06:07:04	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	21¢	$63	0xb897f9…
06-23 06:06:41	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	410	21¢	$85	0x962f73…
06-23 06:05:23	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x969d13…
06-23 06:04:59	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	No	BUY	135	16¢	$22	0xc83b4f…
06-23 05:56:29	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,086	1¢	$11	0x9c285d…
06-23 05:54:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	496	33¢	$164	0x954f8e…
06-22 18:55:10	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	30¢	$45	0xac47ca…
06-22 18:45:28	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	40¢	$18	0xf89215…
06-22 18:44:01	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	37¢	$39	0x5597e2…
06-22 18:37:43	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xcc6f87…
06-22 18:31:02	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	45¢	$39	0x7bf3aa…
06-22 18:30:55	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	58¢	$51	0x317d7b…
06-22 18:28:04	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	43¢	$67	0x895e15…
06-22 18:19:11	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	43¢	$74	0xc7a680…
06-22 18:17:13	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	233	42¢	$98	0x6992e5…
06-22 18:00:11	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,195	45¢	$983	0xdb99df…
06-22 15:56:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	395	40¢	$157	0x128228…
06-22 12:58:38	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xf58b55…
06-22 12:19:29	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	439	42¢	$186	0x2a21a5…
06-22 10:34:34	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x37f541…
06-22 10:34:28	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	430	43¢	$185	0x20c5b8…
06-22 09:32:32	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	33¢	$27	0x2d854b…
06-22 09:14:41	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	45¢	$35	0x248ec8…
06-22 09:03:55	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	537	45¢	$241	0x055875…
06-22 08:24:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	389	23¢	$91	0x218a7f…
06-22 06:12:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	500	45¢	$223	0x55a808…
06-22 05:59:35	RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	137	59¢	$81	0x49ae6b…
06-21 22:21:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	389	29¢	$113	0x8097e5…
06-21 15:31:02	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	278	59¢	$164	0x124aa7…
06-21 15:30:29	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	279	29¢	$80	0x4fce0d…
06-21 15:27:41	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	43¢	$36	0x672fc9…
06-21 14:56:07	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	698	45¢	$316	0x75dd0f…
06-21 14:19:11	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xfc98d5…
06-21 13:25:14	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	39¢	$27	0x8d0b11…
06-21 13:22:52	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	570	40¢	$227	0xdbe010…
06-21 12:21:56	RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	143	46¢	$66	0xb402de…
06-21 11:35:40	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	No	SELL	108	28¢	$30	0xdc3fcb…
06-21 11:34:43	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	228	28¢	$65	0x0ce8f8…
06-21 11:31:01	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	No	SELL	194	29¢	$57	0xd94232…
06-21 11:30:10	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	147	30¢	$43	0xcc7ca0…
06-21 11:29:01	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	211	37¢	$78	0x65a1dd…
06-21 09:46:37	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	25¢	$27	0xd1404d…
06-21 09:36:59	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x7a6a3e…
06-21 09:32:38	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	No	SELL	722	26¢	$185	0x589ea5…
06-21 09:30:55	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	No	SELL	184	26¢	$47	0x437207…
06-21 09:25:47	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	27¢	$30	0x4a7af8…
06-21 08:57:44	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	388	26¢	$102	0xda3351…
06-21 08:55:11	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	28¢	$20	0xf5eebe…
06-21 08:48:11	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	No	SELL	135	29¢	$39	0x26c781…
06-21 08:47:22	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x9b0ef3…
06-21 08:14:47	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	No	SELL	152	26¢	$40	0xe87fe1…