Legitimate-Waiter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$656

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

4,183

Trades

7,402

lifetime

Volume

$27.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$42

1 position

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-08 09:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 71% -$311

Other

19% 74% +$83

Sports

6% 61% -$57

Politics

3% 73% -$371

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-08).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No		+45	$28	94¢	$42	+$14	05-02 19:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol mvu ctg 2026 04 17	606	$1.9K	1,139	1,134	+5	Maryville University	-$11	04-17 19:45
bra pal cap 2026 04 19 cap	25	$299	281	20	+261	No	+$1	04-19 23:24
cs2 xi sng 2026 04 17	16	$217	218	0	+218	XI Esport	+$1	04-17 14:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	20	$205	217	0	+217	Yes	-$205	05-08 19:18
cs2 fnc qual4 2026 04 21	12	$194	195	0	+195	fnatic	+$1	04-21 18:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	16	$178	198	0	+198	Yes	-$178	05-02 21:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	1	$157	0	172	-172	No	-$15	06-08 09:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:45 UTC	24	$135	280	71	+208	Down	-$22	03-03 22:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$98	43	60	-17	No	+$2	06-08 09:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:55 UTC	10	$97	110	109	+1	Up	+$18	03-03 22:58
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:55 UTC	8	$91	120	119	+1	Down	+$12	03-03 22:58
ufc mic8 nik1 2026 03 28	10	$91	56	49	+7	Michael Chiesa	+$0	03-28 17:28
cs2 efa phanto 2026 04 21 total games 2pt5	3	$68	68	0	+68	Under	+$0	04-21 17:51
cs2 efa phanto 2026 04 21	4	$61	61	0	+61	Eternal Fire Academy	+$0	04-21 17:50
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	12	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	04-14 21:00
wta shymano fruhvir 2026 04 13	6	$57	60	0	+60	Iryna Shymanovich	+$3	04-14 11:01
lol dk t1 2026 04 17 game1	8	$53	27	27	+0	Dplus KIA	+$0	04-17 10:52
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	4	$52	63	0	+63	No	+$11	05-01 07:54
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	13	$49	51	0	+51	No	+$2	04-27 22:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$47	50	0	+50	No	+$3	05-01 07:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:40 UTC	6	$43	100	0	+100	Up	-$13	03-03 22:42
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:40 UTC	14	$43	200	0	+200	Up	-$43	03-03 22:43
nhl ana min 2026 04 14	3	$40	20	20	+0	Wild	+$0	04-15 02:39
chi wsz ron 2026 04 17 wsz	4	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	04-17 13:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:45 UTC	12	$37	180	0	+180	Down	-$37	03-03 22:46
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 10:10 UTC	5	$37	86	0	+86	Up	+$23	03-14 10:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:50 UTC	8	$36	90	0	+90	Up	-$26	03-03 22:51
Savannah: Liam Draxl vs Pedro Boscardin Dias	64	$35	33	32	+0	Liam Draxl	$0	04-20 22:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 21:15 UTC	10	$35	21	16	+5	Down	-$3	02-12 21:28
itc int com 2026 04 21 int	22	$32	32	18	+14	Yes	-$3	04-21 20:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 09:08:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$58	0xc2f51c…
06-08 09:07:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	172	91¢	$157	0xf40407…
05-08 20:54:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9ca0e7…
05-08 20:53:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeb7400…
05-08 19:18:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc23699…
05-08 14:05:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xfc707c…
05-08 14:05:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x92c189…
05-08 13:31:17	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x346f3f…
05-08 12:59:58	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xfb549e…
05-08 00:15:08	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc699c5…
05-08 00:14:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf7bac8…
05-08 00:05:44	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfdf279…
05-08 00:04:11	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf15dde…
05-07 19:24:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9d0f1a…
05-07 19:20:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe63b34…
05-07 16:48:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0x7d5248…
05-07 16:25:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb28a20…
05-07 15:44:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf60e11…
05-07 14:00:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 7?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf3e4c7…
05-07 13:57:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 7?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xac4638…
05-07 13:31:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xfa363a…
05-07 13:29:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x51e0a9…
05-06 14:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x4c4a14…
05-06 14:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb2fcb9…
05-05 18:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6c55fa…
05-05 18:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb3e4f6…
05-05 18:23:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x34228e…
05-05 15:54:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x21b5f7…
05-05 15:54:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd7b12…
05-05 15:54:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb5f80e…
05-05 15:54:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xca2011…
05-05 15:54:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x92334b…
05-04 16:02:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x461611…
05-04 16:01:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7d8e06…
05-04 15:57:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe6a312…
05-04 15:56:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x2ad991…
05-04 15:56:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x75e31b…
05-03 15:26:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 3?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x69fc62…
05-03 15:26:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 3?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x587ad0…
05-03 15:26:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 3?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1a7af7…
05-03 14:53:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 3?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x62baa5…
05-03 14:53:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 3?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9ab371…
05-03 14:20:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 3?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb59018…
05-03 13:20:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf055a1…
05-03 13:20:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x0884bd…
05-02 21:51:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x5df454…
05-02 21:49:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xc27471…
05-02 19:54:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x115a35…
05-02 19:53:18	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5539dc…
05-02 15:11:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x43dfb3…
05-02 12:08:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xadf671…
05-02 12:07:08	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x928839…
05-01 23:09:20	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x3014db…
05-01 22:36:22	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc2f249…
05-01 22:30:44	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x15ab6d…
05-01 09:35:52	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x888a6f…
05-01 08:49:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7a219f…
05-01 07:55:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x7739e7…
05-01 07:54:48	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0xaf53aa…
05-01 07:51:40	Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on May 1?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x68bbc7…
05-01 06:34:00	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf6d6bb…
04-30 21:03:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xddcd83…
04-30 21:03:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xffdc1b…
04-30 18:06:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xaee9ff…
04-30 18:06:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x251d7f…
04-30 18:06:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x3cca5d…
04-30 16:37:34	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb28b8a…
04-30 16:37:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x73a8fb…
04-30 16:37:18	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xaa5017…
04-30 16:35:32	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x73e2c2…
04-30 16:35:30	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x4daa56…
04-30 16:34:38	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xae3452…
04-30 16:33:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xed2590…
04-30 16:23:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x82564c…
04-30 15:38:54	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8286ee…
04-30 13:23:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x29cd92…
04-30 13:16:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x678bc2…
04-30 13:16:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe61209…
04-30 13:15:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x82eb88…
04-30 13:15:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x86c09f…
04-30 12:23:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xef94e2…
04-30 12:22:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xf5e528…
04-30 12:13:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97ca54…
04-30 12:07:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x101601…
04-30 12:07:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x3778ec…
04-30 12:05:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0d92ac…
04-30 12:01:54	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x3705f3…
04-30 11:59:18	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7c621d…
04-30 11:52:12	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xae21b7…
04-30 11:43:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf393a6…
04-30 11:42:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x6dc3b3…
04-30 11:40:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xca16b4…
04-30 11:39:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x9d5306…
04-29 20:46:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb3f45b…
04-29 20:45:36	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa5fd69…
04-29 20:05:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x277a37…
04-29 20:04:58	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4d3975…
04-29 09:50:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa1c09d…
04-29 09:49:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x4201c3…
04-29 09:47:38	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xb15098…