Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$259

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

48.4%

Resolved

241

Trades

2,402

lifetime

Volume

$3.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$52

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 10-31 22:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 45% -$219

Politics

16% 64% -$16

Other

10% 80% -$4

Sports

8% 76% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-57	-$45	82¢	$-47	-$2	10-10 11:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-2	-$2	94¢	$-2	$0	04-30 20:51
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	+2	$1	88¢	$2	+$0	10-24 23:03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	10-31 22:20
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	+0	-$1	84¢	$0	+$1	10-02 08:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 18:30 UTC	67	$227	344	115	+229	Down	-$21	03-01 18:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 01:25 UTC	23	$155	297	0	+297	Down	-$85	03-02 01:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 17:45 UTC	80	$104	154	75	+79	Down	+$41	03-01 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 01:35 UTC	46	$98	122	78	+44	Up	-$20	03-02 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:15 UTC	14	$85	166	0	+166	Down	+$3	03-01 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:25 UTC	19	$84	145	0	+145	Up	+$61	03-01 18:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	118	$80	23	80	-57	open	—	10-10 11:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:50 UTC	11	$76	151	0	+150	Down	-$57	03-01 18:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:45 UTC	51	$70	118	53	+65	Up	-$11	03-01 18:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 01:30 UTC	19	$68	147	3	+144	Up	-$45	03-02 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:05 UTC	9	$68	96	0	+96	Up	+$28	03-01 18:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:35 UTC	49	$64	93	42	+51	Down	-$1	03-01 18:38
bitcoin up or down march 1 8pm et	13	$62	105	0	+105	Up	+$6	03-02 01:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 19:35 UTC	18	$50	84	8	+76	Down	-$23	03-01 19:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 22:10 UTC	15	$50	98	8	+89	Up	-$42	03-01 22:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 22:00 UTC	12	$48	66	46	+20	Up	+$7	03-01 22:02
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	29	$47	29	29	+0	Yes	+$9	04-22 17:35
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	46	$44	50	50	+0	Yes	-$4	04-22 03:07
ethereum up or down march 1 12pm et	5	$43	166	0	+166	Down	-$43	03-01 17:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 00:45 UTC	13	$42	1,075	0	+1,075	Down	-$42	03-02 00:59
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	25	$41	53	60	-7	Yes	-$8	05-18 22:11
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	41	$41	30	30	+0	No	-$1	06-29 09:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 19:00 UTC	8	$39	55	0	+55	Down	+$6	03-01 19:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 18:45 UTC	11	$36	94	2	+92	Down	+$0	03-01 18:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 19:15 UTC	6	$35	50	0	+50	Down	+$15	03-01 19:18
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	41	$35	23	23	+0	Yes	-$7	03-30 23:33
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	53	$33	22	22	+0	Yes	+$5	04-21 22:14
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals	21	$33	28	28	+0	Detroit Tigers	-$11	05-11 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 20:15 UTC	16	$29	40	14	+26	Down	-$18	03-01 20:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:55 UTC	57	$28	39	17	+22	Up	-$4	03-01 18:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 22:20:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x6d9dbb…
10-24 23:03:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x04cb8a…
10-24 16:20:26	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x86b636…
10-24 14:24:26	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x15c6e5…
10-24 13:55:53	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xeb6227…
10-23 17:47:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xd7a0fc…
10-22 21:00:14	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x322fbf…
10-22 19:43:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x5ff9a5…
10-22 19:43:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x7ae582…
10-22 19:43:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x566cbe…
10-22 19:43:35	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x93fa3f…
10-22 19:43:35	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x21be27…
10-22 10:45:44	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x2c41e6…
10-22 10:45:44	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x01b130…
10-22 10:45:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x04ad57…
10-22 08:00:44	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x7e9039…
10-22 05:59:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x047530…
10-20 22:46:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x9be9f8…
10-18 20:45:32	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x73eccf…
10-18 20:35:26	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x176e4b…
10-18 12:39:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x1b7197…
10-15 22:05:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4409d1…
10-15 21:45:41	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcd78ed…
10-15 21:22:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x70a46b…
10-15 21:06:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8c56d4…
10-15 20:37:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x079652…
10-15 20:19:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x9d1f31…
10-15 11:48:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5114de…
10-15 11:48:13	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x3e11ad…
10-14 01:12:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe309f7…
10-14 01:11:37	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x84e5cf…
10-13 18:11:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x6f3a94…
10-13 17:50:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x6a7c9e…
10-12 16:54:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xf5454c…
10-12 04:02:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x5e0df2…
10-12 02:50:56	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x0eb34a…
10-10 19:47:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x38f2c4…
10-10 11:10:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x1cea9a…
10-09 19:25:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x085216…
10-09 19:25:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x97fbc6…
10-09 19:11:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x97292f…
10-09 17:34:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xbe4fb1…
10-09 15:12:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xfd398b…
10-09 15:07:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x76b4e6…
10-09 14:58:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xf37bd3…
10-09 14:57:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x310ef3…
10-08 22:26:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x00d053…
10-08 22:20:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x1b54f6…
10-08 22:15:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xdaa3c6…
10-08 21:28:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x9e2422…
10-08 16:28:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x1e1664…
10-08 16:26:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xe55bb6…
10-08 16:25:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xf1e76b…
10-08 11:26:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x6f6b29…
10-08 11:24:08	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xf454c3…
10-08 10:48:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xf79b26…
10-08 10:41:32	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x743d6a…
10-07 23:38:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xf0e642…
10-07 20:29:05	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x77b813…
10-07 20:25:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xb2407c…
10-07 20:07:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xffe71f…
10-07 19:18:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xacb1a8…
10-07 16:33:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xc7490d…
10-07 12:38:58	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2716b3…
10-07 12:38:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xb3c587…
10-07 12:29:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x5be303…
10-06 21:54:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x5dd53d…
10-06 21:53:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x4f335c…
10-06 18:42:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xccf9b7…
10-06 01:15:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xbbb877…
10-06 01:13:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x3635d3…
10-05 21:18:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x606d55…
10-05 21:18:01	Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf9cac8…
10-05 17:35:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x1f642e…
10-05 17:35:04	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8aa98c…
10-04 20:27:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xf7819a…
10-04 20:10:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x253eae…
10-04 19:53:31	Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8fc62d…
10-04 13:29:25	Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xfc6277…
10-04 13:07:16	Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xd1f073…
10-04 12:14:10	Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x4eb2a4…
10-04 11:36:49	Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0x9c6cf4…
10-04 02:06:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x7affbf…
10-04 00:23:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xfaf17f…
10-03 22:16:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x9c6314…
10-03 21:56:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xf6ad9d…
10-03 21:28:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x87f6e1…
10-03 21:18:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xf41735…
10-03 21:16:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x6e3399…
10-03 14:20:24	Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0xd1e523…
10-03 03:02:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xca5c2c…
10-03 02:01:42	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x833959…
10-02 23:06:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x0ee3b2…
10-02 22:14:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xbd8ba1…
10-02 21:45:29	Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x34d3ca…
10-02 20:42:27	Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xfa8203…
10-02 08:05:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4ba65c…
10-02 08:05:03	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xc69000…
10-02 08:02:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x777f0e…
10-02 08:01:57	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x9d1d77…