Scrawny-Normalisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$6

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

2,795 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$4.59K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-23

last 10-30 16:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 174 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 35% +$48

Other

22% 59% +$21

Sports

15% 75% +$182

Politics

13% 50% -$28

Tech

1% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+2,000	$2	0¢	$3	+$1	10-30 16:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	73	$216	28,087	18,946	+9,140	No	+$66	03-01 04:37
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 16	3	$212	124	123	+1	Yes	+$13	03-17 01:27
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$210	500	1,000	-500	No	+$131	07-07 02:15
will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	53	$147	9,270	6,756	+2,514	Yes	+$3	03-09 13:38
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	2	$140	104	104	+0	No	+$40	06-20 21:35
will bitcoin reach 76k march 2 8	30	$137	4,156	4,105	+51	No	+$51	03-08 22:57
will bitcoin reach 72k on march 20	25	$137	4,573	2,500	+2,073	No	+$35	03-21 01:17
will russia capture rodynske by march 31	35	$136	2,500	1,792	+708	Yes	+$17	03-21 20:19
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	3	$135	282	282	+0	No	+$35	03-15 20:10
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$132	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$34	07-07 02:16
us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	17	$125	518	488	+30	No	+$32	03-23 20:07
will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	18	$120	773	801	-28	Yes	+$75	03-28 19:34
will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	22	$117	4,044	3,740	+304	No	+$9	03-17 11:57
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$100	305	0	+305	No	-$100	10-25 22:55
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	1	$100	127	0	+127	No	-$100	06-21 00:25
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$79	844	1,000	-156	No	+$19	06-14 18:16
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	4	$74	130	130	+0	Yes	+$4	04-10 00:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 15:30 UTC	7	$68	100	99	+1	Down	+$7	03-11 15:37
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$66	200	200	+0	No	+$14	04-21 20:23
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	7	$65	100	0	+100	Yes	+$35	04-12 16:46
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$57	100	100	+0	No	+$3	05-03 11:44
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$54	200	200	+0	No	+$10	03-09 20:10
will bitcoin reach 72k on march 21	7	$53	3,000	443	+2,557	No	-$29	03-22 01:05
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	21	$50	451	41	+410	Yes	-$40	03-26 05:20
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	11	$50	2,139	2,106	+33	No	+$8	03-09 23:45
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$48	914	0	+914	No	-$48	05-25 15:15
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$43	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$5	07-07 02:14
Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?	9	$42	100	100	+0	No	+$2	03-15 18:43
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	3	$41	96	30	+65	No	-$9	05-30 17:31
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	2	$39	107	107	+0	No	+$9	04-10 01:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:05:25	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,544	0¢	$2	0x2256ed…
10-30 15:14:16	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	456	0¢	$0	0x9f6bde…
10-26 20:05:21	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	85	0¢	$0	0x36cd3e…
10-26 17:37:23	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xc470a9…
10-26 17:28:32	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0x287ba4…
10-26 00:50:32	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x0db104…
10-25 22:55:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x8f46c9…
10-25 22:54:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xe10d6e…
10-25 22:53:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x4fa19b…
10-25 22:52:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x786553…
10-25 22:52:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x8e0a2a…
10-25 22:49:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	131	38¢	$50	0xdb4d80…
10-25 14:30:56	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5e1eb5…
10-25 13:47:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0xffa225…
10-25 01:09:26	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	640	0¢	$1	0x7eb7e1…
10-24 23:02:20	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	359	0¢	$0	0xd91e7e…
10-24 23:01:45	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 24?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x99369a…
10-24 20:27:14	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x849d7d…
10-24 20:27:11	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	991	0¢	$1	0x6d4596…
10-23 23:11:09	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1,915	0¢	$2	0xf34b09…
10-23 22:37:09	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	74	0¢	$0	0x32b129…
10-23 21:32:42	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x937a9c…
10-23 21:16:21	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x4efbed…
10-23 18:04:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd31d08…
10-23 18:04:09	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	999	0¢	$1	0x53dbd4…
10-23 18:03:57	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x86b18c…
10-23 18:03:56	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	480	0¢	$0	0x09a03c…
10-23 16:43:54	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xe91e14…
10-23 00:55:51	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	214	0¢	$0	0xddf54b…
10-23 00:41:23	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,673	0¢	$2	0xd54141…
10-22 18:37:30	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	611	0¢	$1	0xa18163…
10-22 18:20:32	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xb7a480…
10-22 18:18:56	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	93	0¢	$0	0xed9054…
10-22 18:08:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$0	0x8b0eca…
10-22 18:06:03	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0xbb32d0…
10-22 17:54:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,776	0¢	$2	0x38be59…
10-22 17:38:02	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	134	0¢	$1	0x412f28…
10-22 15:59:32	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	224	0¢	$0	0x6a5351…
10-21 00:26:14	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 20?	Yes	SELL	562	0¢	$1	0x0bf0d8…
10-21 00:21:54	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 20?	Yes	SELL	214	0¢	$0	0x317605…
10-20 23:26:36	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	313	0¢	$0	0xb8b133…
10-20 23:25:41	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	327	0¢	$0	0xfff846…
10-20 23:02:26	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0x7a353f…
10-20 20:51:11	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xc1d01d…
10-19 18:09:15	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 19?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$2	0x6b1e27…
10-19 18:04:30	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x678086…
10-19 00:06:02	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5a03ab…
10-18 20:17:29	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x068d18…
10-18 14:19:02	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x33b156…
10-18 01:54:32	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 17?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x5547f0…
10-18 01:47:11	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 17?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x3208ff…
10-17 23:30:32	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x7f7b9e…
10-17 21:30:23	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 17?	Yes	SELL	612	0¢	$1	0x7291e0…
10-17 17:57:17	will bitcoin reach 84k on october 17 2026	Yes	SELL	388	0¢	$1	0x122ae0…
10-17 16:30:48	will bitcoin reach 84k on october 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x497d1c…
10-16 23:42:20	will bitcoin reach 86k on october 16 2026	Yes	SELL	144	0¢	$0	0x4ea1b5…
10-16 17:40:20	will bitcoin reach 85k on october 16 2026	Yes	SELL	410	0¢	$1	0x861c7c…
10-16 16:42:24	will bitcoin reach 85k on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x88ce95…
10-16 16:03:25	will bitcoin reach 85k on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	367	0¢	$0	0x90732c…
10-16 15:58:22	will bitcoin reach 85k on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xf3e7a5…
10-16 15:52:52	will bitcoin reach 86k on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xa9cb50…
10-16 15:51:03	will bitcoin reach 86k on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x2f7f16…
10-16 13:53:31	will bitcoin reach 86k on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	86	0¢	$0	0xb2ac08…
10-15 23:45:21	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 15?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xe8724e…
10-15 23:44:51	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xec4d14…
10-15 20:30:39	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 15?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x3dc162…
10-15 13:48:38	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x206786…
10-14 23:53:51	will bitcoin reach 85k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	8,000	0¢	$8	0xda8ede…
10-14 20:59:22	will bitcoin reach 86k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1,964	0¢	$2	0x7a4a05…
10-14 19:35:21	will bitcoin reach 86k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x44f8f2…
10-14 00:43:07	will bitcoin reach 87k on october 13 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x589f7e…
10-14 00:43:03	will bitcoin reach 86k on october 13 2026	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x2131f8…
10-14 00:05:19	will bitcoin reach 86k on october 13 2026	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x3a5ca1…
10-13 23:27:00	will bitcoin reach 86k on october 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,985	0¢	$2	0x58b154…
10-13 18:44:45	will bitcoin reach 87k on october 13 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x81e302…
10-13 18:28:43	will bitcoin reach 87k on october 13 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x7734b0…
10-12 20:06:48	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x48401e…
10-12 19:49:48	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x9a3d64…
10-12 19:40:47	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x1a58df…
10-12 19:32:39	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xdde690…
10-12 19:23:12	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x6e449f…
10-12 19:14:42	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x629a32…
10-12 19:07:39	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x91822f…
10-12 16:56:35	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xf26b1f…
10-12 14:30:57	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x46f891…
10-12 14:22:42	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	106	0¢	$0	0x631335…
10-12 14:17:33	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x26ccf5…
10-12 12:55:50	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x7f40f0…
10-10 22:09:16	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	994	0¢	$1	0x93a87d…
10-10 20:14:43	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0xf48fcc…
10-10 20:14:09	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	563	0¢	$1	0xab4ceb…
10-10 20:11:58	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	387	0¢	$0	0x0e398a…
10-10 20:11:34	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	443	0¢	$0	0x8c3394…
10-10 00:51:19	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	1,902	0¢	$2	0xb5f84b…
10-10 00:36:37	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x48fe2e…
10-09 22:01:11	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x41cc81…
10-09 22:01:05	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x56cb93…
10-09 22:00:59	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x40125b…
10-09 22:00:53	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xea7ad9…
10-09 22:00:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd7d54c…