Hateful-Contract — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$559

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved

743

Trades

4,495

lifetime

Volume

$17.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 06-14 13:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 49% +$350

Other

24% 30% -$231

Politics

16% 64% +$473

Tech

0% 0% -$33

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 0 39	9	$277	164	119	+45	No	+$1	04-17 14:55
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$247	290	147	+143	No	+$47	04-23 23:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	4	$230	293	132	+161	No	+$30	04-23 23:06
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	2	$189	152	147	+4	Yes	+$102	04-22 12:51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	7	$188	210	210	+0	No	+$20	04-28 02:31
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$175	125	125	+0	Yes	+$75	04-28 02:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$167	127	127	+0	No	+$83	05-03 11:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	3	$161	120	120	+0	No	+$77	04-27 17:06
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 0 39	8	$155	161	126	+35	No	+$37	04-15 08:59
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	29	$147	409	158	+251	No	-$13	04-18 09:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 22:40 UTC	23	$133	138	82	+56	Down	+$29	04-09 22:44
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?	3	$131	95	95	+0	Yes	+$57	06-02 09:13
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 65 89	25	$128	220	167	+53	Yes	+$36	04-15 15:47
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	4	$128	94	92	+1	Yes	+$53	05-13 15:51
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	12	$125	349	335	+15	No	+$9	04-16 07:13
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	22	$123	291	106	+185	Yes	+$165	04-17 14:54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	3	$123	81	81	+0	No	+$39	04-28 02:35
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 580plus	2	$116	58	58	+0	No	+$0	04-17 09:08
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 140 159	2	$116	58	58	+0	No	+$0	04-18 10:48
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	3	$112	96	96	+0	Yes	+$73	05-05 23:53
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 115 139	13	$112	1,174	321	+853	No	-$25	04-18 10:52
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	17	$110	115	91	+23	No	-$6	04-15 15:38
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	2	$109	0	210	-210	Yes	+$25	05-04 14:20
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	2	$102	72	72	+0	Yes	+$39	05-02 02:45
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	2	$93	81	81	+0	No	+$30	05-08 15:35
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	2	$90	63	63	+0	No	+$27	05-03 11:06
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 80 99	2	$90	45	45	+0	No	+$0	04-18 10:49
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 160 179	2	$90	45	45	+0	No	+$0	04-18 10:49
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 100 119	2	$90	45	45	+0	No	+$0	04-18 10:49
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 120 139	2	$90	45	45	+0	No	+$0	04-18 10:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 13:40:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	38¢	$27	0x61474e…
06-11 10:22:30	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0xb9e56d…
06-11 10:20:55	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x9ef678…
06-02 09:38:17	Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?	No	SELL	55	30¢	$17	0x56a750…
06-02 09:15:20	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?	Yes	SELL	29	42¢	$12	0x93b564…
06-02 09:14:43	Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	SELL	60	21¢	$13	0xe32d0d…
06-02 09:13:51	Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x9acab9…
06-02 09:13:35	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?	Yes	SELL	85	99¢	$85	0x0366af…
06-02 09:13:07	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x5263b5…
05-22 08:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdf0449…
05-22 06:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9d5609…
05-21 23:59:50	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf020f4…
05-21 18:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x388805…
05-21 12:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x51cc56…
05-21 12:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6c080f…
05-21 09:30:03	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x309d01…
05-21 08:29:23	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xead9f2…
05-21 08:27:59	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x064280…
05-21 08:27:22	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x11d9a0…
05-21 03:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x34e23c…
05-20 18:45:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x949052…
05-20 11:59:54	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x922bd5…
05-20 09:15:04	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc4512e…
05-20 08:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd9153d…
05-20 08:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x95fbee…
05-19 08:59:59	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x5932cd…
05-18 23:30:04	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0x21df7f…
05-18 23:30:02	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0xb59e3c…
05-18 20:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0xb815c1…
05-13 15:52:16	Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	No	SELL	35	88¢	$31	0x2c8082…
05-13 15:51:18	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	92	98¢	$90	0x175096…
05-11 16:44:11	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x5ad412…
05-08 15:35:07	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	81	76¢	$61	0xdf2346…
05-08 15:34:17	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?	Yes	SELL	106	41¢	$44	0xb6e0db…
05-08 15:23:55	Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xf39c74…
05-08 15:23:13	Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?	No	SELL	13	52¢	$7	0x44644f…
05-06 22:04:42	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	No	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x3c5e59…
05-06 15:56:50	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x16d222…
05-06 15:30:00	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	57	23¢	$13	0xaca8c1…
05-06 15:23:22	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0xb658a2…
05-06 11:59:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	40¢	$28	0x564126…
05-06 11:32:48	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?	Yes	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x286107…
05-06 11:28:58	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x117c87…
05-06 09:15:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa2694d…
05-06 09:15:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x86059b…
05-06 07:09:16	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?	No	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0x5221d4…
05-06 02:58:02	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?	No	BUY	35	44¢	$15	0x589b34…
05-05 23:53:36	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	96	96¢	$92	0x0d6fe4…
05-05 17:03:12	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x01dbdb…
05-05 16:58:24	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xf6e644…
05-05 14:34:56	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	27¢	$7	0xc2a36e…
05-05 12:47:06	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0xff4405…
05-05 12:47:06	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	65	21¢	$14	0x364214…
05-04 14:20:40	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	126	60¢	$76	0x2954c3…
05-04 14:20:36	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	84	39¢	$33	0x8dc014…
05-04 08:54:24	Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xf1f6e0…
05-04 02:47:12	Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x8d2f5a…
05-04 02:46:52	Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	133	21¢	$28	0x88873f…
05-04 01:54:14	Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x8ea408…
05-03 19:16:38	Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?	No	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x3602b0…
05-03 18:51:58	Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?	No	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x723df8…
05-03 18:09:54	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x303fdb…
05-03 14:40:34	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0x45b1be…
05-03 11:06:54	Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	63	94¢	$59	0xd2afd6…
05-03 11:06:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	127	98¢	$125	0x7d5853…
05-03 09:45:32	Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x129cf0…
05-03 09:37:58	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	Yes	BUY	114	24¢	$27	0xa2f6b9…
05-03 07:18:26	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0xd82747…
05-03 04:12:00	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	BUY	1	38¢	$1	0xe0d785…
05-03 01:02:18	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xd7bb0a…
05-03 01:02:06	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	92	40¢	$37	0x78adde…
05-02 23:01:18	Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	103	36¢	$37	0xae462e…
05-02 14:35:50	Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?	No	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0x526f20…
05-02 13:55:20	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	19¢	$10	0x4958e9…
05-02 13:14:52	Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?	No	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0x03a3ec…
05-02 12:53:16	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?	Yes	BUY	89	21¢	$19	0xd984c6…
05-02 12:48:40	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?	Yes	BUY	87	21¢	$18	0xbb7cd5…
05-02 05:42:08	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x10c928…
05-02 04:34:20	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0xf949e2…
05-02 03:06:40	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?	Yes	BUY	95	39¢	$37	0xedb598…
05-02 02:45:54	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0xc47f6b…
05-02 02:45:46	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0xe33a57…
05-02 02:23:48	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x916e08…
05-02 00:50:16	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x35bffc…
05-02 00:43:48	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xa17327…
05-02 00:43:48	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x844587…
05-02 00:43:46	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xfeffcb…
05-02 00:43:46	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xebdc45…
05-02 00:43:46	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xd3d67c…
05-02 00:43:46	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xc48a7c…
05-02 00:43:46	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xbcb8b8…
05-02 00:43:46	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x9c0959…
05-02 00:43:46	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x3ecec8…
05-02 00:43:46	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x148694…
05-02 00:43:44	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xf54d76…
05-02 00:43:44	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xe8a115…
05-02 00:43:44	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x963c58…
05-02 00:43:44	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x8c2657…
05-02 00:43:44	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x7ebc8c…
05-02 00:43:44	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x3167fd…