Mature-Tray — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$95

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 07-27 21:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

43% 0% $-2

Sports

30% 0% $-1

Crypto

20% — —

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	19	$1.7K	916	916	-0	Yes	$-2	03-18 07:04
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$788	407	407	+0	No	$-1	04-27 14:26
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$687	354	354	+0	open	—	03-19 12:27
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	4	$676	346	346	+0	open	—	03-14 16:45
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$676	346	346	+0	open	—	03-28 17:08
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$675	348	348	+0	open	—	03-24 12:42
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	4	$665	349	349	+0	open	—	03-24 19:13
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$660	342	342	+0	open	—	03-25 16:27
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$449	236	236	+0	open	—	04-27 21:19
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$358	189	189	+0	open	—	03-17 18:11
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$356	185	185	+0	open	—	03-13 10:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$347	183	183	+0	open	—	03-21 20:58
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$347	181	181	+0	open	—	03-27 19:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$345	178	178	+0	open	—	03-21 05:44
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$340	176	176	+0	open	—	03-21 11:09
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$340	180	180	+0	open	—	03-17 23:28
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$338	175	175	+0	open	—	03-11 13:18
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$336	175	175	+0	open	—	03-16 04:13
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$335	180	180	+0	open	—	03-25 10:36
Netanyahu out by April 30?	3	$333	173	173	+0	open	—	03-28 11:57
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$333	175	175	+0	open	—	03-27 11:21
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$330	173	173	+0	open	—	03-26 19:01
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	2	$317	164	164	+0	open	—	04-27 09:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$215	115	115	+0	open	—	06-09 16:59
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	4	$167	88	88	+0	open	—	06-21 20:47
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$142	72	72	+0	open	—	07-25 12:04
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$134	69	69	+0	open	—	04-13 04:57
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	3	$133	48	94	-46	open	—	06-14 17:08
will turkiye reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149724	2	$132	70	70	+0	open	—	06-18 19:45
will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	2	$132	68	68	+0	open	—	06-06 21:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 21:26:33	mlb tor wsh 2026 07 27 extra innings	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x2180a9…
07-26 21:12:04	mlb lad nym 2026 07 26 extra innings	No	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x469daf…
07-26 16:49:52	mlb lad nym 2026 07 26 extra innings	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x71ff5e…
07-26 16:17:34	Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x2806b2…
07-26 10:17:00	Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xaa6936…
07-25 12:04:34	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xa1d63a…
07-25 08:03:37	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x2bd4fb…
06-21 20:47:16	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	SELL	49	94¢	$46	0x0c4b77…
06-21 16:46:35	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x055d69…
06-20 08:42:35	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x32b956…
06-20 04:39:04	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xcd9cc9…
06-20 04:04:04	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	64	96¢	$61	0x5f57da…
06-19 20:01:17	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	64	93¢	$60	0x2321ce…
06-19 08:12:41	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	SELL	38	94¢	$36	0x5545bb…
06-19 01:04:50	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x49a260…
06-18 19:45:38	will turkiye reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149724	No	SELL	70	92¢	$65	0x1bc7d9…
06-18 14:44:17	will turkiye reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149724	No	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0xa5f421…
06-16 10:39:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	42	96¢	$41	0xbca08a…
06-16 06:33:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	42	92¢	$39	0x134b00…
06-16 00:22:49	will south korea reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149710	No	SELL	51	93¢	$47	0x0d4eb3…
06-15 20:24:16	will south korea reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149710	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x12ffcb…
06-15 20:19:45	will south korea reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149710	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x07bc75…
06-15 19:49:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	66	98¢	$64	0xb8ad79…
06-15 13:46:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	66	96¢	$63	0xa47b0f…
06-14 17:08:45	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	SELL	46	93¢	$43	0xaa4ada…
06-13 09:57:09	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	68	93¢	$63	0x63f414…
06-13 01:56:00	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	68	93¢	$63	0xdba878…
06-13 01:24:43	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	93¢	$65	0xa69e1f…
06-12 19:15:15	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0x08346b…
06-12 11:59:54	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	SELL	48	93¢	$45	0x1beb81…
06-12 03:54:33	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0x8ba2d0…
06-11 14:01:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0x4cdca1…
06-11 07:56:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x404f7c…
06-11 07:21:21	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	58	92¢	$53	0x530417…
06-11 01:18:22	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	58	93¢	$54	0xfb4034…
06-09 21:39:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	49	91¢	$44	0xf8592f…
06-09 17:34:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	49	93¢	$45	0x96a02d…
06-09 16:59:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	62	94¢	$58	0x2240ed…
06-09 09:55:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0x813d3d…
06-06 21:58:04	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	SELL	68	97¢	$66	0x49fe52…
06-06 13:56:12	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	68	97¢	$66	0x9fd53d…
06-05 16:38:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	90¢	$58	0x5fd5a2…
06-05 11:36:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	64	92¢	$59	0x3899f6…
06-04 08:18:46	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0x5c3109…
06-04 01:10:00	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x867fe2…
06-02 20:41:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	53	92¢	$49	0xc5dcd7…
06-02 15:34:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	53	93¢	$50	0x11e5cb…
05-23 11:53:07	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$47	0xea12e8…
05-23 03:48:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x7e6b06…
05-19 04:22:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	52	91¢	$47	0x4e73f4…
05-18 20:18:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0x9db2f5…
05-18 10:34:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x28b3a8…
05-18 05:27:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0x14d7ab…
04-28 02:30:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x05bfdf…
04-27 21:48:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x1c8b66…
04-27 21:19:20	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	55	93¢	$51	0x272257…
04-27 15:04:22	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0xe61155…
04-27 14:26:56	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	66	96¢	$64	0x049e87…
04-27 09:17:26	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	66	96¢	$64	0x08b399…
04-27 09:07:14	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	164	97¢	$159	0xd125ec…
04-27 03:56:46	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	164	97¢	$159	0xfe3bd1…
04-23 10:08:50	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	65	93¢	$60	0xd3d3dd…
04-23 01:18:06	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	65	95¢	$62	0x94ef52…
04-15 21:07:26	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 spread away 2pt5	FC Bayern München	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xf1bd61…
04-15 12:40:50	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 spread away 2pt5	FC Bayern München	BUY	65	98¢	$63	0x3f9a07…
04-13 04:57:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	69	98¢	$67	0x0070fb…
04-12 21:59:37	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	69	98¢	$67	0xcc9dce…
04-11 22:14:41	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	67	95¢	$63	0x5a712b…
04-11 14:13:09	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	67	95¢	$64	0x225f89…
04-11 00:41:55	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$54	0x565eb0…
04-10 19:27:55	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$54	0x57d624…
04-10 13:11:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0xc35cbd…
04-09 21:53:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x4c8f36…
04-09 06:41:57	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0x3737b0…
04-09 01:39:01	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x04f369…
04-09 00:51:31	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	69	95¢	$65	0x54da0b…
04-08 20:48:21	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	69	95¢	$66	0x0316f0…
03-28 17:08:27	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	176	98¢	$172	0xee9716…
03-28 13:05:49	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	176	98¢	$172	0xedb6bf…
03-28 11:57:45	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	173	96¢	$167	0xe6bd69…
03-28 05:28:47	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0x01870f…
03-28 05:20:51	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	166	96¢	$160	0xfc9009…
03-27 19:51:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	181	97¢	$175	0xab48bd…
03-27 11:25:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	181	95¢	$172	0xb5f636…
03-27 11:21:11	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	175	95¢	$166	0x09ed0b…
03-27 05:19:07	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xd2c20d…
03-27 05:18:35	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	22	95¢	$20	0xcf2aae…
03-27 05:13:53	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	150	95¢	$143	0x0265c9…
03-26 19:01:19	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	173	96¢	$165	0xe0150c…
03-26 12:23:21	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	173	95¢	$164	0x28b602…
03-26 12:03:39	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	168	96¢	$161	0xa66430…
03-26 05:49:57	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	168	96¢	$162	0x22c322…
03-25 16:27:19	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	165	96¢	$158	0x2df01f…
03-25 12:15:57	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	165	96¢	$159	0xee1d9f…
03-25 10:36:33	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	180	93¢	$168	0x17ce2b…
03-25 03:15:05	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	180	93¢	$167	0xc17713…
03-24 19:13:15	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	166	97¢	$162	0x916b6b…
03-24 13:32:17	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	166	98¢	$162	0x124cb1…
03-24 12:42:49	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	172	96¢	$166	0x274ccb…
03-24 07:54:19	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	172	97¢	$166	0xfaa169…