Realized P&L (24h)
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
30.7%
Resolved (24h)
13
Trades (24h)
59
7,210 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$717
$71.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$340
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 11-03 01:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 176 days
Categories
Other
66% 49% -$563
Politics
23% 37% -$142
Crypto
5% 53% -$56
Tech
4% 37% -$54
Sports
2% 14% -$121
Pop-Culture
1% 25% -$92
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +101 $98 97¢ $98 +$0 10-30 09:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? No — +101 $100 91¢ $92 -$8 11-03 02:08
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +70 $69 98¢ $68 $0 10-30 20:46
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +59 $58 99¢ $59 +$1 11-02 15:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? Yes — +200 $19 9¢ $17 -$2 11-03 03:13
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +101 $3 3¢ $3 $0 10-30 02:11
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +70 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 11-02 09:19
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? Yes +59 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 11-02 15:08
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more? No +13 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 11-01 15:17