Realized P&L (90d)
-$300
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
54.9%
Resolved (90d)
1,491
Trades (90d)
4,585
6,908 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$29.1K
$69.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$274
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 10-30 03:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 172 days
Categories
Other
67% 49% -$560
Politics
23% 36% -$141
Crypto
5% 53% -$56
Tech
4% 33% -$49
Sports
2% 14% -$121
Pop-Culture
1% 25% -$92
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +108 $102 95¢ $102 +$1 10-29 17:56
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +105 $101 97¢ $102 +$0 10-30 03:14
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M? Yes +40 $38 100¢ $40 +$2 10-29 10:51
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +20 $18 98¢ $20 +$2 10-28 13:44
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? No +129 $8 5¢ $7 -$2 10-29 13:56
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +101 $3 3¢ $3 $0 10-30 02:11
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +21 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-28 13:38
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? No +20 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-26 01:36
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M? No +40 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 10-29 10:36