Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$265

Unrealized P&L

+$28

Hit rate

82.3%

Resolved

134

Trades

610

lifetime

Volume

$14.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$359

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 10-31 21:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

62% 56% +$141

Politics

26% 42% -$72

Tech

8% 56% +$195

Pop-Culture

3% 100% +$6

Crypto

2% 50% -$1

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+142	$98	76¢	$107	+$9	10-29 13:22
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+98	$52	62¢	$60	+$8	10-31 15:03
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+76	$51	72¢	$54	+$3	10-29 14:03
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+73	$49	72¢	$53	+$4	10-29 19:21
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	+76	$50	62¢	$47	-$3	10-31 21:09
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+50	$32	74¢	$37	+$5	10-29 23:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	10	$752	390	390	+0	Yes	+$2	08-11 03:15
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?	20	$554	423	423	+0	Yes	+$166	07-24 16:28
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$516	339	339	+0	No	+$136	10-23 20:05
Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	5	$400	202	202	+0	Yes	+$3	09-07 14:10
Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	8	$347	290	290	+0	Yes	+$6	10-23 19:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$317	266	136	+130	Yes	+$38	07-27 06:00
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	6	$310	179	179	+0	Yes	+$48	10-04 23:13
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	3	$300	160	160	+0	No	+$11	09-13 19:41
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	6	$276	182	182	+0	No	+$73	09-17 00:08
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	16	$262	220	220	+0	open	—	10-15 16:35
Will Benoit Clermont win the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election?	3	$261	150	150	+0	Yes	+$39	10-06 22:11
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	13	$235	372	372	+0	No	+$66	08-05 17:36
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	7	$231	197	197	+0	open	—	10-09 00:24
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?	7	$231	327	327	+0	No	+$18	09-03 23:17
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?	6	$228	229	229	+0	Yes	+$22	07-21 08:59
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	3	$228	276	276	+0	open	—	09-17 17:03
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	2	$228	190	190	+0	No	+$19	08-03 13:17
Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	4	$212	163	163	+0	No	+$66	10-28 00:40
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	2	$209	109	109	+0	Yes	+$9	06-24 20:55
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	6	$201	194	194	+0	Yes	+$34	06-03 21:35
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	3	$198	200	200	+0	open	—	09-09 22:12
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	7	$186	144	144	+0	Yes	+$80	06-09 09:14
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	7	$180	108	108	+0	Yes	+$35	09-30 20:33
Will Lukáš Fiedler be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?	6	$169	117	117	+0	open	—	10-11 20:56
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	3	$162	113	113	+0	Yes	+$46	10-11 18:24
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	4	$160	105	105	+0	Yes	+$38	08-06 06:22
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	3	$154	88	88	+0	No	+$21	09-14 02:00
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	6	$147	202	89	+113	Yes	+$34	07-22 09:46
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	4	$143	164	164	+0	Yes	-$60	06-08 12:41
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	4	$143	109	109	+0	open	—	09-15 14:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 21:11:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xa40509…
10-31 21:09:03	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xc9acfe…
10-31 15:03:27	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa65768…
10-31 15:03:18	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x7a2500…
10-31 15:03:12	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	53¢	$29	0xe5c3dd…
10-31 14:56:57	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	75¢	$53	0xa79b74…
10-29 23:23:39	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xc45edf…
10-29 22:03:06	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xabf0e7…
10-29 21:03:43	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	69¢	$28	0x70c4ed…
10-29 19:21:18	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	67¢	$49	0xd63cfc…
10-29 17:34:04	Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?	No	SELL	103	3¢	$3	0x29e1d4…
10-29 14:03:41	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xac0e2f…
10-29 14:03:28	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6b1b74…
10-29 14:03:05	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	42	67¢	$28	0x7b3728…
10-29 14:02:47	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xf6c89e…
10-29 14:02:40	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xb64fe9…
10-29 13:22:44	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	69¢	$46	0x77bd49…
10-29 12:09:34	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x547e54…
10-29 12:02:20	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x6d9a89…
10-29 12:01:43	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0xd4f070…
10-28 23:28:14	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?	Yes	SELL	19	13¢	$2	0x8fd518…
10-28 22:45:23	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x7a295d…
10-28 22:44:31	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	63¢	$41	0x7c6e4a…
10-28 22:37:28	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xf2b4be…
10-28 22:36:04	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xf5a60e…
10-28 00:40:39	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0xdfba38…
10-28 00:24:06	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	160	85¢	$136	0xfc582b…
10-27 22:45:30	Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?	No	SELL	28	84¢	$23	0xe40634…
10-27 13:47:11	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0x8a1319…
10-27 13:26:06	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	117	42¢	$49	0xc0a75b…
10-24 14:26:41	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x94caf3…
10-23 20:41:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0x240ee8…
10-23 20:05:06	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	339	96¢	$326	0xafe3f9…
10-23 19:50:48	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	149	59¢	$88	0x1d5650…
10-23 19:18:12	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	339	56¢	$190	0xf1180c…
10-23 13:24:08	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x22956b…
10-23 08:21:05	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x18407c…
10-23 06:43:00	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xbf769e…
10-23 06:41:36	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	51	64¢	$33	0x9f8b83…
10-22 04:49:08	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x5049b7…
10-21 18:09:33	Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?	No	BUY	28	63¢	$17	0xb234f4…
10-19 00:59:11	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	97	62¢	$60	0xc4ca5f…
10-19 00:15:23	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	154	56¢	$86	0x71742c…
10-18 19:58:39	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0xe3441e…
10-18 15:10:23	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xadacab…
10-18 14:59:06	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	65¢	$23	0xbadad5…
10-17 14:54:56	Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?	No	BUY	91	66¢	$60	0x6050de…
10-17 14:54:15	Will Tom Dyas win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	154	71¢	$110	0xd380d4…
10-15 22:32:03	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xda9110…
10-15 22:26:15	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x0c9bf9…
10-15 22:26:05	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xcf3b4e…
10-15 22:20:05	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x962d62…
10-15 22:18:54	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	SELL	24	57¢	$14	0xc9816c…
10-15 21:49:32	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	49	65¢	$32	0x24e65e…
10-15 16:35:14	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x387a03…
10-15 16:33:34	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	65	62¢	$40	0xe9d307…
10-15 10:00:20	Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?	No	SELL	55	85¢	$47	0xa27217…
10-14 00:28:28	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	65¢	$25	0x33d5dc…
10-13 20:38:09	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x7d4e09…
10-13 20:36:52	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x8e5472…
10-13 14:11:55	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x836a2e…
10-13 14:09:11	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xb70649…
10-12 16:08:14	Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?	No	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x0c9a3f…
10-12 07:00:19	Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?	No	BUY	115	48¢	$55	0x05b867…
10-11 20:56:44	Will Lukáš Fiedler be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x658dc7…
10-11 18:36:51	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	22	73¢	$16	0x419758…
10-11 18:30:15	Will Lukáš Fiedler be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?	No	SELL	82	91¢	$74	0x941e9d…
10-11 18:29:18	Will Lukáš Fiedler be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?	No	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0xd6b811…
10-11 18:24:13	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	Yes	SELL	113	92¢	$104	0x349805…
10-11 11:50:24	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	56	52¢	$29	0x07a60b…
10-11 11:37:51	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	57	51¢	$29	0x3f8cbf…
10-10 21:53:16	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x6057c6…
10-10 21:51:58	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x0fe58a…
10-10 21:48:09	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf0edc6…
10-10 15:38:21	Will Lukáš Fiedler be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?	No	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x8fea72…
10-09 15:58:40	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	61	54¢	$33	0x12985d…
10-09 04:19:13	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xabb490…
10-09 04:17:16	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x79a9b5…
10-09 04:17:16	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x47a7bc…
10-09 04:17:16	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x30245c…
10-09 04:17:09	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xa90855…
10-09 01:17:57	Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?	No	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xdf8d8f…
10-09 00:24:30	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	92	63¢	$58	0xfaed4e…
10-09 00:06:35	Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?	No	BUY	53	59¢	$31	0x9d6dbf…
10-08 22:29:32	Will Lukáš Fiedler be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?	No	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xaac06d…
10-08 22:13:38	Will Lukáš Fiedler be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x4e89e0…
10-08 10:15:54	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x3fe82d…
10-07 23:51:49	Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?	No	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0x9f2d89…
10-07 22:50:14	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x87a6e7…
10-07 22:49:11	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	55	58¢	$32	0x1dbdac…
10-06 22:11:48	Will Benoit Clermont win the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0x356626…
10-06 20:26:41	Will Benoit Clermont win the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xac64e3…
10-05 00:00:55	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xfdb66d…
10-04 23:31:10	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x5ef58e…
10-04 23:30:43	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	33	64¢	$21	0x47483b…
10-04 23:30:35	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x58528f…
10-04 23:27:10	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe07e7f…
10-04 23:13:11	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0x8050e8…
10-04 20:49:17	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	130	74¢	$96	0x56e006…
10-04 20:48:22	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0x79698d…