Vital-Vernacular — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-06 10:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 100% +$4

Other

27% 100% +$2

Politics

9% 100% +$1

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No		+4	$3	94¢	$3	+$0	08-02 08:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	1	$191	191	+191	No	+$0	06-02 07:17
bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	1	$191	191	+191	No	+$0	06-11 03:24
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	1	$191	191	+191	No	+$0	06-07 01:44
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?	1	$191	191	+191	No	+$0	05-30 08:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$190	190	+190	No	+$0	05-13 09:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	1	$190	190	+190	No	+$0	05-27 06:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	1	$190	190	+190	Yes	+$0	05-23 07:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	1	$190	190	+190	No	+$0	05-16 07:31
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$189	189	+189	No	+$0	05-08 11:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$189	189	+189	No	+$0	05-11 06:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 11	1	$187	187	+187	No	+$0	03-11 07:44
ethereum above 1400 on march 6	1	$187	187	+187	Yes	+$0	03-05 03:21
bitcoin above 60k on march 26	1	$186	186	+186	Yes	+$0	03-25 07:41
ethereum above 2300 on april 3	1	$186	186	+186	No	+$0	04-03 01:25
bitcoin above 86k on february 2	1	$186	186	+186	No	+$0	02-02 02:25
ethereum above 2400 on february 8	1	$186	186	+186	No	+$0	02-08 07:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	1	$184	184	+184	No	+$0	04-30 09:42
bitcoin above 72k on april 18	1	$184	184	+184	Yes	+$0	04-18 02:31
ethereum above 2000 on february 28	1	$184	184	+184	No	+$0	02-28 11:02
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 580plus	1	$183	183	+183	No	+$0	01-02 03:55
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 620 639	1	$183	183	+183	No	+$0	01-20 07:11
bitcoin above 84k on january 8	1	$182	182	+182	Yes	+$0	01-07 06:15
ethereum above 3600 on january 16	1	$181	182	+182	No	+$0	01-16 08:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	1	$180	180	+180	No	+$0	05-06 02:22
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 520 539	1	$180	180	+180	No	+$0	02-14 11:04
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 240 259	1	$180	180	+180	No	+$0	01-24 06:36
bitcoin above 86k on january 11	1	$180	180	+180	Yes	+$0	01-11 02:51
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	1	$180	180	+180	No	+$0	04-22 03:39
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	1	$180	180	+180	No	+$0	04-07 09:46
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 20	1	$177	177	+177	No	+$0	03-20 06:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 10:07:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1ff730…
10-24 16:33:48	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5607c7…
09-15 03:50:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x77e303…
09-15 03:46:00	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x856eb5…
08-02 08:39:57	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xe371d4…
08-02 08:36:17	Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa96818…
06-11 03:24:19	bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0x7e8ca2…
06-07 01:44:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0x70adad…
06-02 07:17:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0x9b2ec1…
05-30 08:52:56	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0xe98630…
05-27 06:14:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x6857e3…
05-23 07:40:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xc8ef80…
05-16 07:31:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x27746a…
05-13 09:45:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xcd33c5…
05-11 06:54:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0x93b04a…
05-08 11:14:02	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0x49ac78…
05-06 02:22:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xf6962d…
04-30 09:42:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x33f587…
04-22 03:40:14	Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3e488e…
04-22 03:39:52	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x87f8bb…
04-18 02:31:32	bitcoin above 72k on april 18	Yes	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x3ccf52…
04-13 07:22:23	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xafb4a8…
04-13 07:22:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x731264…
04-13 07:22:03	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xdce2c9…
04-07 09:47:11	highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 23c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb1d1e2…
04-07 09:46:49	Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x79e73a…
04-07 09:46:31	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe21d42…
04-07 09:46:21	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x5223d1…
04-03 01:25:23	ethereum above 2300 on april 3	No	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0x0f2edd…
03-29 09:51:20	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be greater than 13m	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x240bc8…
03-29 09:51:06	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x12993d…
03-25 07:41:31	bitcoin above 60k on march 26	Yes	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0x8aff73…
03-20 06:27:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 20	No	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0x5f7bce…
03-20 06:27:19	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5bcfb6…
03-20 06:27:01	val t1a mir1 2026 03 20	T1 Academy	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9db70d…
03-15 09:25:05	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x8fff1b…
03-11 07:44:45	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 11	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0x616aa6…
03-05 03:21:43	ethereum above 1400 on march 6	Yes	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0xf6d458…
02-28 11:02:31	ethereum above 2000 on february 28	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x1fde83…
02-28 11:02:09	elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 140 164	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x968e15…
02-28 11:02:05	bitcoin up or down on february 28	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5d6549…
02-14 11:04:17	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 520 539	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xfe0a9d…
02-08 07:30:25	ethereum above 2400 on february 8	No	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0xf0b128…
02-02 02:25:42	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0x05a549…
01-24 06:36:12	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 240 259	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xec395d…
01-24 06:36:00	highest temperature in london on january 24 11corhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x633c47…
01-24 06:35:42	will mercy opening weekend box office be greater than 14m	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc79936…
01-20 07:11:08	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 620 639	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0x5511a8…
01-16 08:37:14	ethereum above 3600 on january 16	No	BUY	182	100¢	$181	0x94e812…
01-16 08:36:58	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1200 1239	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1353f9…
01-16 08:36:50	will moonshot have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x447133…
01-11 02:51:32	bitcoin above 86k on january 11	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xc084ab…
01-07 06:15:45	bitcoin above 84k on january 8	Yes	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x405743…
01-07 06:15:33	new stranger things episode released by wednesday	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x007260…
01-07 06:15:17	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4a852f…
01-02 03:55:27	elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 580plus	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0xc66d42…