Harsh-Sequel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.93K

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

3,750

Trades

12,877

lifetime

Volume

$197.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$300

7 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 10-31 12:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 44% -$4,508

Other

3% 45% -$276

Sports

1% 15% -$223

Tech

1% 0% -$917

Politics

0% 50% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 723 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$130	84¢	$169	+$39	10-21 00:15
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	+85	$101	82¢	$69	-$32	10-16 12:56
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+60	$27	72¢	$43	+$16	10-18 10:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	+30	$10	27¢	$8	-$2	10-26 14:28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	+20	$8	34¢	$7	-$1	10-26 14:28
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	+50	$9	6¢	$3	-$6	10-26 14:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+40	$6	1¢	$0	-$6	10-26 14:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	22	$936	1,198	1,198	+0	No	+$287	10-27 05:34
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	16	$693	1,731	1,331	+400	No	-$347	06-12 15:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 12:40 UTC	4	$684	500	500	+0	Down	+$154	06-24 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$508	400	400	+0	Down	+$138	06-14 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 05:15 UTC	5	$497	450	450	+0	Down	+$199	06-25 05:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 10:35 UTC	4	$495	496	301	+196	Down	+$173	06-17 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	33	$492	400	400	+0	Down	+$212	09-28 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:05 UTC	26	$481	400	400	+0	Up	+$217	09-19 16:07
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	6	$466	292	292	+0	No	+$95	10-27 04:46
fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	3	$445	250	250	+0	Over	+$54	06-26 00:51
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	8	$439	497	412	+85	open	—	10-16 12:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:30 UTC	7	$435	500	500	-0	Up	+$273	09-20 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 02:50 UTC	3	$425	300	300	+0	Down	+$130	06-18 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:30 UTC	14	$423	300	300	+0	Down	+$117	06-10 00:32
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	54	$422	632	632	+0	Yes	-$47	10-30 13:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 14:30 UTC	21	$418	420	420	+0	Down	+$205	09-19 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 10:25 UTC	10	$411	400	240	+160	Down	+$155	06-14 10:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 23:45 UTC	3	$407	300	224	+76	Down	+$75	06-24 23:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:40 UTC	13	$406	300	300	+0	Down	+$120	09-30 08:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 06:30 UTC	7	$402	500	398	+102	Down	+$252	06-19 06:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 11:00 UTC	5	$390	300	300	+0	Up	+$54	06-11 11:01
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?	17	$386	1,150	650	+500	Yes	-$3	10-21 13:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 05:00 UTC	5	$381	400	400	+0	Down	+$237	09-22 05:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:35 UTC	3	$380	273	273	+0	Down	+$91	06-09 19:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 06:00 UTC	10	$380	400	400	+0	Up	+$220	06-18 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 23:35 UTC	13	$380	310	276	+34	Up	+$109	06-22 23:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 02:25 UTC	5	$372	200	200	+0	Down	+$16	10-01 02:29
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$371	1,715	1,715	+0	No	-$5	06-26 11:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 18:25 UTC	3	$371	400	300	+100	Down	-$19	09-28 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 11:50 UTC	17	$366	300	226	+73	Down	+$115	06-24 11:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 12:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x11bfa0…
10-31 12:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x19a0d1…
10-31 11:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	70	8¢	$6	0x08dcc1…
10-31 11:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xa49dab…
10-31 11:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x36f765…
10-31 11:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x64a0e8…
10-31 11:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x9d1d5d…
10-31 11:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xf87a91…
10-31 11:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1ca515…
10-31 02:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x0c50fc…
10-30 23:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xbd388e…
10-30 20:53:30	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x07b0b2…
10-30 20:41:19	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x544d35…
10-30 20:30:51	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x50a33b…
10-30 20:27:18	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xb25d79…
10-30 20:27:16	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0xfaea83…
10-30 20:27:16	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x65e2e8…
10-30 20:26:37	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x9e835b…
10-30 20:15:16	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xe090f9…
10-30 20:12:37	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc3f161…
10-30 19:43:31	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xd88f35…
10-30 19:42:13	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x28696b…
10-30 19:36:51	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xc7c0d7…
10-30 19:27:27	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xdcd172…
10-30 19:24:51	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x3456e7…
10-30 19:17:25	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xf88766…
10-30 19:04:49	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xa91f7d…
10-30 15:27:36	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x2f68e5…
10-30 15:25:13	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xfa4d4e…
10-30 14:52:57	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xeae459…
10-30 14:27:37	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x3ddd6b…
10-30 14:21:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0xd81333…
10-30 14:17:57	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x760c4a…
10-30 14:09:03	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	SELL	37	82¢	$30	0x11b9db…
10-30 14:08:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	SELL	25	82¢	$20	0x154ee7…
10-30 13:56:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0xe2b3fb…
10-30 13:42:09	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xc96246…
10-30 13:42:09	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x3919ef…
10-30 13:40:42	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	70¢	$10	0x6c64ac…
10-30 13:07:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x913688…
10-30 12:40:16	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xbcde19…
10-30 12:36:48	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x90471f…
10-30 12:23:24	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9bd3a0…
10-30 12:23:16	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xb0a82c…
10-30 12:15:15	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0xdbc0b8…
10-30 12:06:21	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x264319…
10-30 12:02:03	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,850 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	2¢	$2	0xdd2797…
10-30 12:01:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,850 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	2¢	$2	0xdef28c…
10-30 10:38:27	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x32e0db…
10-30 10:30:13	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	56¢	$20	0x5d3780…
10-30 08:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x797a58…
10-30 08:50:16	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x3eced1…
10-30 08:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x8e8458…
10-30 08:31:33	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x990eeb…
10-30 08:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xd9efd3…
10-30 07:29:04	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0x70f488…
10-30 07:23:28	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xd49a2c…
10-30 03:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x4449ef…
10-30 03:04:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xa74fbd…
10-30 02:39:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	19	34¢	$7	0xfb65bd…
10-30 02:39:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	18	33¢	$6	0xaa7b2e…
10-30 02:21:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	36	45¢	$16	0xb19265…
10-30 02:21:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0x21d1c9…
10-30 02:20:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	16	46¢	$7	0x6b53cd…
10-30 02:20:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	37	46¢	$17	0x850126…
10-30 02:20:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	16	46¢	$7	0x3de7ca…
10-30 02:19:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0xe5244e…
10-30 02:19:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	26	47¢	$12	0x93c832…
10-30 00:46:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	48	55¢	$27	0x8f5e48…
10-30 00:46:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x10f699…
10-30 00:44:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	49	55¢	$27	0xaebd59…
10-29 11:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xa7890b…
10-29 11:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xacc16c…
10-29 11:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xb85010…
10-29 10:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xe59d82…
10-29 10:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x0a4eb3…
10-29 10:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa34a2f…
10-29 10:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xc74cee…
10-29 09:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xe29b3a…
10-29 09:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	65	67¢	$43	0xf96a43…
10-29 09:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0x4a9211…
10-29 09:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x955c7d…
10-29 07:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x3fe6b7…
10-29 07:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x90fedd…
10-29 06:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x75a5f5…
10-29 06:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x05df0c…
10-29 03:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x2ada38…
10-29 03:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0x1bdf07…
10-29 03:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x043057…
10-29 03:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0x34bfb0…
10-29 03:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x09315c…
10-29 03:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	60	74¢	$44	0x303618…
10-29 03:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x111314…
10-29 03:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x5248db…
10-29 03:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x41f32e…
10-29 03:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0x30b639…
10-29 03:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x945e85…
10-29 03:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x8a92b4…
10-29 03:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x56d063…
10-29 03:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x0813b4…