Arctic-Meet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$656

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

165

lifetime

Volume

$4.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-20 19:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

66% 0% $-656

Other

33% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$447	257	257	+0	open	—	03-14 16:02
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$397	417	417	+0	open	—	04-22 22:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	8	$331	24,572	0	+24,572	Yes	$-331	05-09 18:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$320	469	0	+469	Yes	$-320	05-01 21:46
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	4	$297	667	417	+250	open	—	05-01 21:51
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	3	$280	188	188	+0	open	—	03-20 19:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$244	169	169	+0	open	—	03-16 19:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$207	109	109	+0	open	—	04-22 22:18
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$197	345	345	+0	open	—	04-22 22:26
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$100	138	0	+138	open	—	03-05 06:41
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	03-02 10:36
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	1	$100	137	0	+137	open	—	04-06 18:24
russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	2	$94	334	334	+0	open	—	03-31 07:51
Will the US strike Syria next?	4	$81	447	28	+419	open	—	01-13 16:10
nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	1	$80	86	0	+86	open	—	03-01 06:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$70	74	0	+74	open	—	05-20 19:53
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?	1	$60	128	0	+128	open	—	03-16 19:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$60	73	0	+73	open	—	01-10 14:04
Will the US strike Somalia next?	3	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	01-10 16:43
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	03-13 11:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$45	2,560	0	+2,560	open	—	03-02 10:48
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	2	$42	200	200	+0	open	—	01-14 17:32
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 11 335	1	$30	172	0	+172	open	—	04-10 22:11
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$30	111	0	+111	open	—	04-22 22:38
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	1	$30	1,935	0	+1,935	open	—	01-10 14:14
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$30	41	0	+41	open	—	03-02 10:31
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	1	$28	0	37	-37	open	—	01-02 20:31
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	1	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	03-02 07:12
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	03-16 19:14
will binance be accused of insider trading	1	$20	502	0	+502	open	—	02-24 04:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 19:53:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	74	95¢	$70	0xcc85ed…
05-09 18:26:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x9eac98…
05-09 18:24:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7,000	0¢	$7	0xc22656…
05-09 18:20:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x421797…
05-09 18:19:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x75cc92…
05-09 18:19:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x362e46…
05-09 18:18:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xe4fe80…
05-09 18:18:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,137	0¢	$4	0x26520a…
05-08 19:06:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	435	69¢	$300	0x0b1ece…
05-01 21:51:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x662d0d…
05-01 21:51:00	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xaf5643…
05-01 21:46:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	435	69¢	$300	0x68e1af…
04-22 22:38:56	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x4eeab5…
04-22 22:36:56	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	176	11¢	$20	0x6224a4…
04-22 22:26:08	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	SELL	345	28¢	$97	0x200996…
04-22 22:24:56	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	238	82¢	$195	0x47fcb0…
04-22 22:23:52	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	417	45¢	$187	0x500d61…
04-22 22:18:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	109	99¢	$107	0x1184cc…
04-16 21:33:42	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0xf6a783…
04-10 22:11:51	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 11 335	No	BUY	172	17¢	$30	0x631c82…
04-06 18:24:57	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x1de052…
04-06 18:22:33	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xb4487a…
03-31 07:51:05	russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	Yes	SELL	334	16¢	$54	0xb7a97a…
03-28 10:14:43	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x4c1fa3…
03-23 18:20:15	russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	Yes	BUY	334	12¢	$40	0xf51c58…
03-20 19:46:07	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	No	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x56afb5…
03-20 19:44:59	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x0a1f76…
03-20 19:33:15	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x6964ec…
03-20 19:32:49	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x44102d…
03-20 19:32:39	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x84b421…
03-20 19:29:59	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	179	57¢	$102	0xf41ab9…
03-20 19:25:11	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	188	85¢	$160	0x8d4d97…
03-16 19:14:35	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0xced6d7…
03-16 19:03:47	Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?	No	BUY	128	47¢	$60	0xeb4caf…
03-16 19:00:05	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	SELL	169	85¢	$144	0x6102b3…
03-16 18:50:03	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x7091ea…
03-16 02:43:17	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x6b9e1d…
03-16 02:35:33	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x1e823a…
03-14 16:12:55	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xfa862a…
03-14 16:02:59	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	257	96¢	$247	0x182196…
03-13 11:48:13	will khamenei tweet every day through march 31	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x96bb4f…
03-13 11:47:51	will khamenei tweet every day through march 20	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x5472da…
03-13 11:18:15	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x634a3c…
03-13 11:15:19	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xc35246…
03-12 09:51:13	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x5b6aa0…
03-12 09:48:49	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x9403b8…
03-12 09:47:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0x27a79f…
03-10 17:48:59	will trump say kennedy this week march 15	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcc2d17…
03-10 17:48:27	will trump say miga or make iran great again this week march 15	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3189f0…
03-10 17:48:03	will trump say golf or golfer this week march 15	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4aff73…
03-10 17:47:51	will trump say radical left this week march 15	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0af35c…
03-10 17:47:39	will trump say rigged or stolen this week march 15	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3f5b04…
03-10 17:47:21	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb90ebc…
03-10 17:47:09	will trump say barack hussein obama this week march 15	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2d7c77…
03-10 17:46:55	will trump say sleepy joe this week march 15	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5ba848…
03-10 17:46:41	will trump say autopen this week march 15	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfc7bab…
03-09 06:16:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xc0e77b…
03-07 09:01:09	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x916802…
03-07 08:59:33	will trump say n word in march	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xb687fb…
03-07 08:58:45	Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x306892…
03-07 08:58:23	Will MrBeast say "Briefcase" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xa82ea6…
03-07 08:57:53	Will MrBeast say "Jet" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1bf1ac…
03-07 08:57:39	Will MrBeast say "Car" or "Supercar" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x0227ce…
03-07 08:57:29	Will MrBeast say "Donated" or "Raised" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x81ba54…
03-07 08:57:21	Will MrBeast say "Impossible" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x2c12ed…
03-07 08:57:13	Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x4af709…
03-07 08:57:05	Will MrBeast say "Challenge" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x96ec72…
03-07 08:56:57	Will MrBeast say "Contestant" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd44318…
03-07 08:56:47	Will MrBeast say "Thousand" or "Million" 5+ times during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x5cce93…
03-07 08:56:37	Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xa286a7…
03-05 06:41:23	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0xf73a89…
03-02 10:48:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x03c49d…
03-02 10:44:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x3dbff0…
03-02 10:36:47	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x77af1a…
03-02 10:31:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xef8558…
03-02 07:19:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	43	30¢	$13	0xbf6689…
03-02 07:18:27	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 8	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe669e0…
03-02 07:17:39	will trump say brics this week march 8	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa14ead…
03-02 07:17:23	will trump say hang or hanging this week march 8	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x02812f…
03-02 07:17:07	will trump say iq this week march 8	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x29ebc6…
03-02 07:16:59	will trump say nazi this week march 8	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6675f8…
03-02 07:16:49	will trump say transgender this week march 8	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc2a90d…
03-02 07:16:07	will stabilization be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4a90f9…
03-02 07:15:49	will ipad be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbf8c2d…
03-02 07:15:23	will siri be said 5 times during the nyc apple event on march 4	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0c2753…
03-02 07:12:47	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x6bd811…
03-02 07:09:13	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xcd8b68…
03-02 07:08:15	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x5d4f13…
03-02 07:07:17	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	257	78¢	$200	0xf6c35c…
03-01 06:51:19	nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	No	BUY	86	92¢	$80	0x65a7f9…
03-01 06:48:01	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x30553e…
02-24 04:40:30	will company e be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xcc608d…
02-24 04:38:40	will company d be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	119	1¢	$1	0x241df2…
02-24 04:30:54	will flashbots be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	262	0¢	$1	0x4a64b2…
02-24 04:30:30	will coinbase be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0xe76f0f…
02-24 04:29:12	will binance be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	502	4¢	$20	0x158c45…
02-12 15:09:31	us x iran meeting by february 28 2026	No	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x164b99…
01-15 22:29:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xb095b8…
01-14 17:32:38	Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0xc447c4…
01-13 20:35:14	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x28c7cd…