Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$36
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
6,473
lifetime
Volume
$117.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$196
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 06-29 03:23
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
88%
Other
12%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes -500 $-115 20¢ $-97 +$17 06-16 00:06
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +598 $39 $38 $-1 06-29 03:23
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? Yes +351 $12 $22 +$10 06-16 00:46
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026? Yes -617 $-23 $-12 +$10 06-17 14:57
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +70 $11 16¢ $12 +$0 06-16 05:55
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? Yes +303 $5 $6 +$0 06-23 22:16
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Yes +4,628 $31 $5 $-26 06-16 08:29
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +2,942 $48 $4 $-44 06-15 16:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +205 $4 $0 $-3 06-12 03:44