Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
6,490
lifetime
Volume
$117.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$200
7 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 07-20 12:02
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
88%
Other
12%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes -500 $-115 18¢ $-92 +$22 06-16 00:06
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +1,029 $62 $51 $-11 07-17 02:05
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +70 $11 26¢ $19 +$7 06-16 05:55
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026? Yes -617 $-23 $-17 +$6 06-17 14:57
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? Yes +351 $12 $14 +$2 06-16 00:46
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? Yes +465 $8 $8 $-1 07-15 17:57
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +5 $0 $0 +$0 07-20 12:02