Visible-Fairy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$136

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

832

Trades

1,281

lifetime

Volume

$21.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-20

last 07-11 13:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 95% -$146

Politics

20% 50% +$29

Other

10% 0% -$23

Tech

2% 100% +$3

Sports

1% 50% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	54	$4.0K	2,177	2,177	+0	No	+$29	06-17 06:06
Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?	15	$783	425	425	+0	Yes	-$3	06-18 10:33
will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	9	$643	369	369	+0	Yes	-$5	06-18 09:31
Will Dan Schwartz be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?	8	$372	200	200	+0	Yes	$0	06-18 00:19
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	2	$194	200	200	+0	open	—	06-17 03:54
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	26	$188	1,507	1,507	+0	open	—	06-14 07:42
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?	6	$132	79	79	+0	Yes	+$1	06-15 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	25	$125	223	223	+0	Down	+$2	06-02 07:36
will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	3	$124	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	06-17 08:41
will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	2	$119	80	80	+0	open	—	06-16 02:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$100	101	0	+101	Down	-$100	05-27 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	14	$95	128	73	+55	Down	+$24	06-02 12:28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	7	$92	435	435	+0	Yes	+$3	06-14 23:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	8	$81	231	231	+0	Yes	-$2	06-14 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	6	$77	71	19	+52	Down	+$8	06-03 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	16	$66	152	22	+130	Down	-$13	06-02 13:57
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	3	$63	200	200	+0	Yes	+$3	06-14 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4AM ET	17	$59	62	62	+0	Down	-$3	06-02 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	7	$57	50	49	+1	Down	+$12	06-02 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	9	$54	67	66	+0	Up	-$7	06-03 01:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	Up	+$3	05-27 08:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	05-27 10:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	-$50	05-27 08:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	05-27 10:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	05-27 04:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	05-27 05:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	05-27 06:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	05-27 06:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	05-27 09:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	05-27 04:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 13:37:05	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x582fdf…
07-07 07:38:41	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xc90cb3…
06-18 10:33:58	Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	221	91¢	$202	0x789331…
06-18 09:53:43	Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xe003b2…
06-18 09:31:23	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	SELL	150	85¢	$127	0xc38dc2…
06-18 09:21:23	Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	156	92¢	$144	0x10c31e…
06-18 09:19:31	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	SELL	150	87¢	$130	0xed842f…
06-18 09:00:28	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xfbaef2…
06-18 07:38:04	Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe862ef…
06-18 07:33:52	Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x4daecd…
06-18 07:29:14	Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x737f3b…
06-18 07:29:14	Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x0dca15…
06-18 07:29:13	Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0x268dff…
06-18 07:29:10	Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x8acf46…
06-18 05:22:26	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	52	88¢	$46	0xadd7ab…
06-18 04:58:44	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	48	88¢	$42	0xa622b4…
06-18 04:31:37	Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xe806b5…
06-18 03:27:02	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x383262…
06-18 01:39:53	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	SELL	69	89¢	$62	0x38817d…
06-18 01:23:08	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	69	88¢	$61	0x67aeed…
06-18 00:53:28	Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0xd0069c…
06-18 00:52:59	Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x4c2b58…
06-18 00:19:58	Will Dan Schwartz be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?	Yes	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0xe86b11…
06-17 23:39:29	Will Dan Schwartz be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xbc9481…
06-17 23:39:17	Will Dan Schwartz be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?	Yes	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0xb53d34…
06-17 17:08:38	Will Dan Schwartz be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x04cbdc…
06-17 17:00:46	Will Dan Schwartz be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0xe2cbe5…
06-17 08:41:10	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	SELL	34	62¢	$21	0x181b21…
06-17 08:40:20	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	SELL	66	62¢	$41	0x054bd8…
06-17 07:41:22	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x4a6ce8…
06-17 07:20:49	Will Dan Schwartz be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0x224bcd…
06-17 07:12:50	Will Dan Schwartz be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0x5cd388…
06-17 06:06:29	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	65	77¢	$50	0x05e9ff…
06-17 04:19:16	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x90d7e7…
06-17 04:13:01	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	104	90¢	$94	0x20d2cb…
06-17 04:01:23	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x35f19a…
06-17 04:00:58	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x313eb4…
06-17 03:56:19	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x2f86fa…
06-17 03:56:19	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	71	89¢	$63	0x27fdaa…
06-17 03:54:26	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	44¢	$88	0x644060…
06-17 03:48:26	Will Dan Schwartz be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0x78401e…
06-17 03:43:47	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	92	91¢	$84	0xee0ada…
06-17 03:43:47	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x5b6435…
06-17 03:43:13	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	88	90¢	$79	0x914528…
06-17 03:42:31	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x0e9c18…
06-17 03:42:22	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x6abf1a…
06-17 03:41:22	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xb5e4a1…
06-17 03:41:06	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0x973bf8…
06-17 03:40:34	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xa343b1…
06-17 03:37:52	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x660bb5…
06-17 03:34:58	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x070116…
06-17 03:31:34	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xce2505…
06-17 03:29:03	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	85	89¢	$76	0x46321d…
06-17 03:28:34	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0xe7b953…
06-17 03:25:28	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x4d6d39…
06-17 03:20:25	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x8cd88a…
06-17 03:12:42	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xef9bab…
06-17 03:09:12	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xce397f…
06-17 03:07:34	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xc51342…
06-17 02:23:25	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	300	92¢	$276	0x184163…
06-17 02:21:43	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x923612…
06-17 02:16:25	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	75	93¢	$70	0xc309a7…
06-17 02:08:52	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	360	93¢	$335	0x5c2549…
06-17 02:07:28	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	75	91¢	$68	0x55c4f7…
06-17 01:13:44	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	75	92¢	$69	0x5bc2f5…
06-17 01:12:22	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	75	92¢	$69	0x524940…
06-17 01:03:47	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	69	92¢	$64	0xeed55e…
06-17 00:46:50	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0x4c0fde…
06-17 00:44:49	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	24	92¢	$22	0x4eda1d…
06-17 00:18:22	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x14a8a6…
06-16 23:52:34	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	70	92¢	$64	0xc3bf28…
06-16 23:50:16	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	17	92¢	$16	0x093fcf…
06-16 23:47:14	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xa47a86…
06-16 23:46:59	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xb920d2…
06-16 03:11:01	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa44a2c…
06-16 03:03:34	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x363ee8…
06-16 03:03:18	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xf483b3…
06-16 02:32:19	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	No	SELL	80	74¢	$59	0xac9988…
06-16 02:19:39	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x7fd267…
06-16 01:52:01	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x3e355c…
06-16 01:27:39	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xbbfc64…
06-16 01:27:30	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xf0e92d…
06-16 01:27:28	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xec6c44…
06-16 01:27:21	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	130	92¢	$120	0x3038e5…
06-15 08:18:07	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	No	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0x93253d…
06-15 07:53:06	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x42875f…
06-15 05:26:19	US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0xfebba7…
06-15 05:24:15	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xcf1765…
06-15 04:47:40	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	Yes	BUY	29	82¢	$24	0x55de27…
06-15 04:39:24	US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x54e502…
06-15 03:41:18	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xdd5b00…
06-15 03:37:09	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	Yes	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x2c7267…
06-15 03:03:19	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xb27a19…
06-15 01:20:06	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	51	11¢	$6	0x302056…
06-15 01:20:00	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0xb21dce…
06-15 01:03:58	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xd0e58f…
06-14 23:27:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	185	12¢	$22	0x6d9c44…
06-14 21:01:34	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xfb2a71…
06-14 17:46:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	4	12¢	$1	0x8d7ebc…
06-14 17:44:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	181	12¢	$21	0x5f9004…