Triangular-Mastoid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$294

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-16 15:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

59% — —

Crypto

26% 100% +$3

Other

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No		+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	06-01 12:01
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	06-01 12:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	3	$172	325	0	+325	open	—	06-16 15:38
btc updown 5m 1776741300	4	$41	57	54	+3	open	—	04-21 03:18
btc updown 5m 1776741900	4	$14	19	18	+1	open	—	04-21 03:28
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-16 14:59
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-16 14:59
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-16 14:59
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-16 15:00
btc updown 5m 1776741600	3	$7	62	11	+51	open	—	04-21 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	6	$6	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-06 06:34
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-16 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-06 10:44
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-01 12:04
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-01 12:01
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-01 12:01
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-01 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-08 08:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 15:38:43	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x79e703…
06-16 15:00:29	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x11fa6c…
06-16 15:00:11	Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x0a96c4…
06-16 14:59:59	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xbfa7a6…
06-16 14:59:50	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xe609f5…
06-16 14:59:37	Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x221e43…
06-16 14:59:26	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x011c03…
06-16 14:55:19	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	BUY	260	53¢	$138	0xc6e51f…
06-01 12:04:59	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x312638…
06-01 12:03:38	Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9ebc76…
06-01 12:03:29	Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x463743…
06-01 12:01:51	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x90e301…
06-01 12:01:37	Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa92dcf…
06-01 12:01:20	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3f62cf…
06-01 12:00:54	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x12bc0d…
06-01 12:00:41	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a8ddb…
06-01 12:00:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbaf838…
05-08 08:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5a1595…
05-06 10:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x55826a…
05-06 10:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xffc05c…
05-06 10:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x3b86cf…
05-06 10:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$2	0x02a4fb…
05-06 10:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5b009b…
05-06 10:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb016c8…
05-06 10:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x9a6867…
05-06 06:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xdb3773…
04-21 03:28:16	btc updown 5m 1776741900	Down	SELL	8	6¢	$1	0xd07a45…
04-21 03:27:34	btc updown 5m 1776741900	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa05ea2…
04-21 03:27:20	btc updown 5m 1776741900	Up	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0xa6f30a…
04-21 03:26:32	btc updown 5m 1776741900	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9c99a6…
04-21 03:24:20	btc updown 5m 1776741600	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6c5b5a…
04-21 03:23:26	btc updown 5m 1776741600	Down	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x3f2f05…
04-21 03:20:56	btc updown 5m 1776741600	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xa94061…
04-21 03:18:38	btc updown 5m 1776741300	Down	SELL	54	47¢	$26	0x7ccfd6…
04-21 03:16:34	btc updown 5m 1776741300	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xfd75ab…
04-21 03:16:28	btc updown 5m 1776741300	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x77ffaf…
04-21 03:15:54	btc updown 5m 1776741300	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xfc13ac…