Realized P&L
+$8.05K
Unrealized P&L
-$777
Hit rate
45.4%
Resolved
599
Trades
8,703
lifetime
Volume
$150.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$3.45K
26 positions
First seen
2026-06-05
last 10-30 02:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Crypto
58% 9% -$13,290
Other
27% 8% +$11,868
Politics
15% 25% +$9,632
Sports
0% 0% -$134
Tech
0% 0% -$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 633 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +496,000 $992 0¢ $1.7K +$744 09-11 00:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +9,340 $538 6¢ $514 -$25 10-15 05:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +6,510 $822 5¢ $312 -$510 10-15 07:55
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +17,871 $186 1¢ $188 +$2 08-18 14:26
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,574 $233 2¢ $148 -$86 08-31 04:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 October 26-November 1? Yes +5,200 $222 3¢ $143 -$79 10-30 00:08
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +2,500 $125 4¢ $110 -$15 09-01 14:36
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +311 $50 16¢ $51 +$2 10-27 23:17
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? Yes +662 $32 6¢ $42 +$9 10-27 23:00
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +294 $23 13¢ $38 +$15 08-31 04:29
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,000 -$13 2¢ $37 +$50 10-15 08:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1? Yes +213 $31 15¢ $32 +$1 10-29 23:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Yes +27,890 $1,687 0¢ $28 -$1,660 09-15 20:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30? No +227 $45 9¢ $20 -$25 10-29 23:55
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +800 $8 2¢ $19 +$11 08-18 14:42
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +200 $13 5¢ $11 -$3 09-01 01:42
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4,600 $5 0¢ $7 +$2 09-11 11:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30? No +7 -$1,322 86¢ $6 +$1,329 10-30 02:22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? Yes +3,208 $29 0¢ $5 -$24 10-29 05:06
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,500 $3 0¢ $2 -$1 08-22 21:35
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +23 $431 10¢ $2 -$429 10-15 07:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 30? No +143 $4 1¢ $1 -$2 10-29 23:47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +5 -$54 15¢ $1 +$54 09-28 07:58
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +420 $13 0¢ $1 -$13 06-13 04:44
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10 $23 3¢ $0 -$23 10-15 08:00
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 No +5 $101 4¢ $0 -$101 10-15 15:05